Dawg stat watch: what it takes to win, week 4.

If you’ve followed me on this so far, you know the drill: there are seven statistical categories that Georgia excelled in for the three years that it’s gone to the SECCG under Richt (you can read the background on my analysis here). They are

  1. Hold opponents under 17 points per game.
  2. Finish at least +8 in turnover margin.
  3. Average better than 380 yards per game on offense.
  4. Finish in the top five in total defensive yardage.
  5. Finish in the top three in first downs.
  6. Finish no worse than third in passing yardage.
  7. Finish no worse than third in sacks.

I’m keeping track of the Dawgs’ progress in each of these statistical categories during the 2007 season. Here’s where Georgia stands in these categories after the ‘Bama game:

  1. Points allowed per game: 17.2
  2. Turnover margin: -2
  3. Total offense per game: 364 yards
  4. Total defense per game: 282.5 yards, 2nd in the conference
  5. First downs: 79, 7th in the conference
  6. Passing yardage per game: 223.2, 6th in the conference
  7. Sacks: 9, 2nd in the conference

They aren’t gaining any serious ground in the offensive categories, but the good news there is that the next two games are against #s 11 & 12 in the SEC in total defense. The bigger concern is that Georgia still isn’t making any headway in turnover margin. The Dawgs survived a -1 in Tuscaloosa, but that’s something that will come back to bite them, just as it did last year, if they don’t start making improvement there.

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