Monthly Archives: October 2008

Brief admin note

Alright, I’m outta here.  I won’t have a computer with me, so no posting until I get back.

Once again, there is a Sunday night game, so the window for Mumme Poll ballots will be Monday 9:00 AM to Tuesday 9:00 PM.  My ballot will be posted Tuesday and the Week 10 standings will be published Wednesday.

Everyone have a great rest of the week.

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12 Comments

Filed under Mumme Poll

First (and last) thoughts on the WLOCP

I’m leaving later today to join the caravan on I-95, so I’m getting my say in a day earlier this week.

First, let’s get the obligatory picture out of the way:

Urban Meyer still wishes hed have thought of this first.

Urban Meyer still wishes he'd have thought of this first.

OK, now we can move on to this year.  For the most part, anyway.  Here’s what I see as the keys to this year’s game.

  1. Withstand the early burst. I don’t think the Gators want to answer the Celebration with some sort of stunt of their own.  I think what Meyer and the boys want to do instead is to come out and overwhelm Georgia from the opening kick with offensive speed, special teams and the unfortunate early turnover – something akin to what they were able to accomplish in Knoxville earlier this year.  Georgia can’t be looking up at the short end of a 21-0 score at the end of the first quarter and expect to make that up.
  2. The long drive is your friend. I’m going to say something sacrilegious here:  as much as I love the 68 yard touchdown runs and the long bombs to Green, I’m going to love the fourteen-play, eight plus-minute drives even more this Saturday.  The more Stafford stays on the field, the less Tebow does.  That’s a win-win in my book.
  3. Make the freakin’ tackles. By far the most troubling thing from the LSU game was the shoddy tackling we saw from the defense.  Reshad Jones – I hope – has been frequently reminded this week that kill shots are only fine if they actually bring the ball carrier down.
  4. Sweat the small stuff. Special teams and turnovers.  Florida blocks punts.  Brandon James is the best punt returner Georgia will see this season.  The Gators are +10 in turnover margin.  Georgia needs to avoid losing any of these battles to win this game.
  5. Make Tebow throw the ball to beat you. I suspect the Gator offensive plan is to show the GPOOE™ the runner to open up the run for Demps and Rainey and to sell that funky bend-the-knee play action pass he does well.  The Dawg defense can’t bite on this; job #1 is to get a handle on the Gator running game and dictate when Florida has to throw.  The tackles have to do much better this week than they did against LSU’s Scott.
  6. Take advantage of the Florida secondary. I’m still not convinced they’re world beaters back there.  They haven’t really been tested much this season by an offense that can run and throw, since LSU got run out of the Swamp early and couldn’t stick to a balanced offensive game plan.  Bobo needs to follow up his brilliant game last week with another jewel.

As for the psychology of this game, I think it’s a little overblown, although, in a way, I hope it’s not.  If Florida comes out too geeked up as a result of having the Celebration pushed in its face all week (hell, all year), that could backfire on it.  But the real reason I don’t think it will matter too much is because of an excellent point Paul Westerdawg made here after last year’s WLOCP – by pulling that, Richt essentially wrote a check for this year’s game that this team is going to have to cash.  He’s raised the stakes for his players and I can only hope that he’s using that to get the team ready.  Given the fact that he’s been pushing most of the right buttons this year (except for the Blackout, ugh), I feel pretty good about that.

My bottom line for this week is the same as last week’s.  If both teams show up to play, I think Stafford makes the difference and walks away with his second win in Jacksonville.  And when’s the last time we could say that about a Georgia quarterback?

18 Comments

Filed under Gators, Gators..., Georgia Football

2008 Las Vegas Sports Consultants Top 30, Week 9

The top seven remain unchanged from last week.

Rank Team Rating Previous Notes
1 Southern Cal 113.6 1 Had to work at Arizona.
2 Texas 112.2 2 Hung tough in tight game.
3 Oklahoma 111.9 3 Offensive show at K-State.
3 Florida 111.9 4 Scoring machine over Kentucky.
5 Penn State 110.9 5 May have leaped biggest hurdle.
6 Georgia 108.9 6 Huge road win at LSU.
7 Alabama 108.5 7 Tide stays unbeaten with key road win.
8 Missouri 107.4 10 Happy homecoming over Buffaloes.
9 Texas Tech 107.3 8 Ready for shootout with Texas.
10 Oklahoma State 105.9 11 No shame in defeat at Texas.
11 Ohio State 105.6 9 Losses to #1 and #5.
12 LSU 104.7 12 Ouch…. Bitten by Bulldogs.
13 Texas Christian 103.6 13 Horned Frogs are hard to handle.
14 California 103.4 16 Host the Ducks before trip to SoCal.
15 Oregon 103.0 20 Boat raced Devils in their backyard.
16 Brigham Young 102.9 15 Letdown from loss at TCU…
17 Arizona 102.6 18 Gave Trojans a tussle.
18 West Virginia 102.5 19 Come from behind win over Auburn.
19 Utah 102.3 17 Heading to New Mexico.
20 Kansas 102.1 13 Couldn’t contain Red Raiders.
21 Florida State 101.9 27 Seminoles handle the Hokies.
22 Boise State 101.6 22 Broncos earned tough win at San Jose.
23 Tulsa 101.2 23 Had to rally for win Sunday night.
24 South Carolina 101.0 25 Host the Volunteers this week.
25 Oregon State 100.9 26 Arizona State comes calling.
26 North Carolina 100.5 NR Tar Heels continue solid play.
27 South Florida 100.0 23 Louisville had the answers.
28 Boston College 99.9 20 Stubbed their toe at North Carolina.
28 Nebraska 99.9 NR Steady move up for Huskers.
30 Michigan State 99.8 NR Spartans own solid 7-2 mark.

Interestingly, these guys see Florida as only a three point pick on Saturday.

LSU was seemingly undervalued early in the season.  Now it seems a little pricey at #12.  On the other side of the coin, the Utes and Boise aren’t getting much love.

3 Comments

Filed under College Football

“Richt shot himself in the foot in the discipline category.”

You know, it’s fine by me that an Orlando Sentinel writer wants to measure the head coaches at Florida and Georgia and find that Mark Richt comes up a little bit short.  But it’s reasoning like this that flat out drives me up the wall:

Discipline: Advantage Meyer. Richt wasn’t going to win this with 10 player arrests since January and two unclassy logo-stomping incidents from his team last year.

Seriously, Jeremy Fowler, why do you want to go there?  First of all, I truly believe that no rational head coach wants problem kids in his program, and I don’t think Meyer or Richt are crazy in that regard.  But how do you brush over little details in Gainesville like firing AK-47s in public places and dead people’s credit cards being stolen?  I don’t see where either program has the high ground in moral superiority right now.

And as for logo stomping, how convenient of you to gloss over this moment.

Look, next time just say “I like Urban better” and save us the commentary.  You’ll come off looking better.

22 Comments

Filed under Gators, Gators..., Georgia Football, Media Punditry/Foibles, Urban Meyer Points and Stares

The man is a genius… a genius, I tell you.

As if you needed it, Chris Low has further proof of the amazing job Stacey Searels has done this season.

… This is the fourth different combination the Bulldogs have used this season, and according to Brett Edgerton in ESPN’s Stats and Analysis department, the youngest starting five by far among the top 10 teams in the BCS standings this week. No other team in the top 10 of the BCS standings starts even one freshman in the offensive line. [Emphasis added.]

The only other Top 25 team that’s as young in the offensive line is Florida State, which also starts three freshmen and two sophomores. Minnesota starts two freshmen and two sophomores, while Boise State starts two freshmen and one sophomore.

Just a reminder – Georgia ranks second in the SEC and eighteenth nationally in sacks allowed.  And, no, you can’t give the o-line all of the credit here.  But it does deserve the lion’s share.  And compare what this bunch has been able to do compared with their 2003 counterparts.  I can’t say enough about what Searels has accomplished.

5 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football

I did it… my way.

Que the strings:

In a season that largely has gone to the dogs, Tennessee head football coach Phillip Fulmer opted for a more subdued approach in his Tuesday press conference rather than the animated, defiant demeanor that followed last month following a blowout-loss to Florida.

“I’m not a dog that barks and then runs into the house. I’m going to do my job on a daily basis, or bark from inside the house,” said the Vols’ embattled coach. “I’m going to do my job and do it the right way. That’s all, there’s only so many hours and only so many things you can fix at one particular time and lay my head on the pillow at night and know I’ve done it and done it right and had a lot of success doing it.”

I’m not sure what that means, but it sure smells like a man who’s resigned to an unhappy fate.

3 Comments

Filed under The Glass is Half Fulmer

The gold standard

If you want to know how celebrity status is measured on campus in Athens, just ask Darryl Gamble.

– Saturday, Gamble had the biggest game of his life. Monday, he was an instant star around campus. So how has life changed since he returned two interceptions for touchdowns against LSU?

“It’s been a lot more hectic. A lot more people know who I am when I’m walking to class and stuff. I guess it’s more of being a Knowshon around campus.[Emphasis added.]

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Filed under Georgia Football