Daily Archives: October 13, 2009

Mumme Poll results, week six

Without further ado, here are the current rankings:

Rank Team Votes (top five)
1 Alabama 444      (443)
2 Florida 444      (441)
3 Texas 440      (400)
4 Virginia Tech 433      (350)
5 Southern Cal 399      (165)
6 Iowa 386
7 Boise State 377
8 Cincinnati 350
9 Miami 348
10 Ohio State 323
11 LSU 298
12 Oregon 271
13 TCU 264
14 Nebraska 113
15 Penn State 92
16 Oklahoma 63
17 Kansas 53
17 Georgia Tech 53
19 South Florida 51
20 South Carolina 37
21 Oklahoma State 16
22 Auburn 15
23 Notre Dame 10
24 BYU 9
24 Houston 9

COMMENTS

Take a freakin’ bow, people.

If you’ll indulge me, let me go back for a second to review what our mission statement is.

The Mumme Poll is an ongoing attempt… to construct a viable method to rank Division 1 college football teams without the bias and potential conflicts of interest that affect other polls, particularly the USA Today Coaches Poll.

In my humble opinion, based on the above results, we’re off to a great start.

The purpose behind the Mumme Poll isn’t that we’re necessarily trying to come up with different results from what you see in the other polls.  Nor do we see this as an exercise in “predictive accuracy”, whatever in the hell that is.  (Besides, polls are supposed to be reflective of schools’ bodies of work, not predictive – which is one reason why we don’t start the MP voting until week six is in the books.)

With our mousetrap, we’re simply out to catch credible poll rankings in a way that reduces at least the perception as well as the actuality of bias/conflict of interest, and to do so with a format that minimizes the effort that the coaches would have to engage in, in order that the likelihood of their participation in the poll vote would be much greater than what we perceive it to be at present.

What I see in that first set of rankings makes me think we’re definitely on the right track.  Particularly since we’re doing it within the mechanism of a fan-based vote, rather than with so-called experts.  And because we’re also doing it without the feedback that the BlogPoll utilizes as its way of addressing the bias/conflict issue – which works, but from a practical standpoint, couldn’t be carried over to the Coaches Poll.

So like I said, take a bow.  And those of you who were worried about the weird votes on some of the dry run ballots can relax now.

Here are a few specific observations:

  • The first thing that jumped out at me in the rankings is… well, the first thing.  Alabama and Florida being in a virtual dead heat strikes me as (1) being a fair reflection of what the two schools have accomplished so far this season and (2) a good example of why preseason polls muck things up.  In the Coaches Poll, ‘Bama has moved into second, but is still behind Florida because the Gators hold a 50-10 margin in first place votes.  The AP still has the Tide ranked third, while the Harris Poll has Alabama and Texas tied for second.  There’s only one reason for that.
  • A total of 444 ballots were cast.  My gut feeling was that a more than ten-fold increase in the number of voters this season would result in fewer ties and a more likely chance that a top 25 would come out of the vote.  And that certainly looks to be the case.  (In fact, there are another 15-20 teams that received votes outside of our top 25.)
  • We banned two voters, one of whom was being a clown, the other of whom was trying to make a point about freedom of speech.  We deleted one other ballot and put the voter on probation, because he failed to respond to our inquiry about some of his selections.
  • Georgia, which had 339 school-affiliated voters participate this week, didn’t receive a single vote.
  • Interestingly enough, voters affiliated with SEC schools had Florida and Alabama in a tie, with Florida at #1 on the tiebreaker.
  • The highest ranked school that received no top five votes is Penn State.  The lowest ranked school to receive a top five vote is South Carolina.
  • An overwhelming number of voters compiled their ballots in less than 30 minutes.  In fact, a substantial majority did it in less than fifteen.  That’s much faster than last year.

You can comment below, or, if you’re registered, hie thee over to the MP site and do it there.

**********************************************************************

UPDATE: Here are the BlogPoll results for week 6, if you interested in the comparison.

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8 Comments

Filed under Mumme Poll

Afternoon mystery theater

Here’s more shit that Nick Saban doesn’t have time for:

… I can’t play video games, either. I just never grew up doing it. Pac-man, I was 27 years old when that came out. I just kind of missed it. It hasn’t been a problem to this point but it may be in the future.”

Nobody understands Mitch Mustain.

USC coach Pete Carroll approached junior quarterback Mitch Mustain before Monday’s practice and asked a simple question.

“I asked Mitch, ‘What’s going on?’” Carroll said. “I told him he’s throwing different. He said he didn’t know. He’s just doing it.”

Nobody knows why it happens, but Al Groh’s annual October save-my-job drive has started.  It’s almost poetic.

There’s angst, consternation and more often than not a mob figuratively calling for a coach’s head. Then comes the turnaround, accompanied by glee and even greater befuddlement at a team’s striking dichotomy.

And Charlie Strong still can’t find a head coaching job.

“If you look at what has happened in 2009, clearly there have been some changes in our society and I think there will continue to be change,” Strong told The Post last night. “I just have to continue to work hard, do my job and everything will take care of itself.”

College football – a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma.  Or something, anyway.

21 Comments

Filed under College Football

He said “in-bred”. Heh.

David Climer’s advice to Mark Richt might resonate a little bit more if he got all of his facts straight.

Judging from what has happened this year, including the debacle at Tennessee last Saturday, Richt made a mistake when he elevated Willie Martinez to defensive coordinator two years ago.

43 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Media Punditry/Foibles

I’m so proud.

I made Brian Cook’s “This Week In Schadenfreude” column in TSN.

13 Comments

Filed under GTP Stuff

Where things stand, continued.

Better get used to exciting news like this, Dawgnation.

Music City Bowl executive director Scott Ramsey believes Georgia, Tennessee, Arkansas and Ole Miss are the current SEC candidates for his Dec. 27 game.

Not enough for you?  Then, how about this?

… Vanderbilt is not only holding its homecoming game Saturday, but is making the game a blackout by asking fans to dress in black.

By the way, I’m planning on being there on Saturday, so I’ll report back on the atmospherics in Nashville for you.  I won’t be wearing black.

11 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football

SEC Power Poll Ballot – Week Six

With Auburn and Georgia getting smoked on the road last Saturday, SEC victory chains are beginning to resemble Moebius strips.  When you get down to it, though, it’s Alabama’s and Florida’s world.  The rest of the conference is just living in it.

  1. Florida. I’m surprised at the number of people who aren’t impressed with the Gators’ win.  Go into Baton Rouge on a Saturday night with your star quarterback running on less than all cylinders, run the ball into the center of the line more times than Georgia will the rest of the season, yet still win by ten over the #4 team in the country while holding said #4 to less than 200 yards total offense all sounds like a damned solid show to me.
  2. Alabama. These guys just grind away… and win.  Essentially a 1 and 1-A ranking with Florida.
  3. LSU. I guess so.  But it’s more by process of elimination than anything else.
  4. South Carolina. See #3, above.
  5. Ole Miss. You know what?  The Rebels’ defense is good.  Too bad Jevan Snead isn’t.
  6. Auburn. You knew their defense was shaky going in, but watching Arky shut down that offense for a long stretch doesn’t bode well for the Tigers.
  7. Arkansas. You figure this team out.  I can’t.
  8. Tennessee. Give them credit for a perfect game plan.  Not that Georgia’s much of a challenge these days, but still…
  9. Georgia. If the NCAA tracked a talent/results ratio as an official statistic, the Dawgs would rank 118th in that category, too.
  10. Kentucky. Showed a pulse against South Carolina, but lost.  That’s why they’re tenth.
  11. Mississippi State. They fight, they lose, they eleventh.
  12. Vanderbilt. I wish the SEC would add an extra school to the conference this week, just so I could rank the ‘Dores thirteenth.  They’ve earned it.

8 Comments

Filed under SEC Football