Daily Archives: November 30, 2009

Mike Bobo steps up.

One of the keys that most people pointed to for Georgia to have a chance against Georgia Tech was time of possession.  Georgia wound up achieving its goal of holding Tech under its season average.  Interestingly, while there was certainly a measurable effect on the number of plays the Jackets ran, the stats show that there was more to the end result than that.

Going into the game, Georgia Tech was averaging ten more plays on offense (69.36) than it was allowing on defense (59.36).  Georgia actually allowed roughly four more plays per game on defense (64.72) in its first eleven games than it ran on offense (60.64).  Tech wound up running six more plays Saturday night (64) than did Georgia (58).  As you can see, Georgia really didn’t do more than narrow the margins; the seasonal trends still played out.

What else made the difference, then?  Two things:  turnover margin and yards per play.  For only the second time all year, Georgia won the turnover battle.  The Dawgs also enjoyed a significant edge in yards per play, gaining 7.2 ypp to Tech’s 5.3 ypp.  And if you look at the Jackets’ seasonal stats, all of that mattered.

The Tech defense yielded similar or worse ypp numbers in four other games this year, all of them wins:  7. 2 against Mississippi State; 8.2 against FSU; 7.4 against Virginia Tech; and 7.5 against Vanderbilt.  Tech didn’t have an advantage in ypp in any of those games.  But Tech was +4 in turnover margin against MSU and had significant possession advantages against Virginia Tech (70-45) and Vanderbilt (82-53).  The FSU game was the (slight) puzzler, statistically speaking, as the Seminoles had one more possession on offense than Georgia Tech, went +1 in turnover margin and were even on ypp.  (FSU did have 65 yards in penalties compared to Tech’s 9, though.)

What all these numbers suggest is that Mike Bobo called a great game.  (Georgia’s ypp number against Tech was 1.3 ypp above its season average going into the game.)  Georgia needed to control the game throughout and Bobo made sure that happened.   As I said in the wake of the Auburn game, if you’re a good offensive coordinator, taking what the other guy gives you until he stops it is where you start.  Tech never had an answer for the Georgia running game and Bobo resisted any urge he might have had to get cute with the playcalling.  Tech had nothing else to counter with.  And that, in the end, was your ball game.

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Filed under Georgia Football, Georgia Tech Football, Stats Geek!

My Mumme Poll ballot, Week 13

Nothing new in my top five, but a little shake up elsewhere:

TOP FIVE

  • Alabama
  • Cincinnati
  • Florida
  • Texas
  • TCU

BEST OF THE REST

  • Boise State
  • Georgia Tech
  • Iowa
  • Miami (FL)
  • Ohio State
  • Oregon
  • Virginia Tech

COMMENTS

  • As emotionally satisfying as it would have been, I honestly couldn’t drop Georgia Tech out of the top twelve completely after Saturday night’s loss.  The fact is that they did just enough to have a puncher’s chance at the end of the game.  That being said, the Jackets clearly have the weakest defense of any team on the list above and it won’t surprise me at all to see them lose again this year.
  • If I left Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech in the top twelve, I couldn’t justify excluding Miami at this point.  All three ACC schools seem joined at the hip right now.
  • The schedule is killing Penn State.
  • Figuring out which school would take Pitt’s place wasn’t the hardest call for me this week.  Deciding whether Cincinnati or Boise State should get a top five nod was.
  • Total time spent on ballot:  35 minutes.

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It seemed like it took a lot longer, sometimes.

Just for kicks, here’s the breakdown of the time each game took this year for Georgia, via cfbstats.com:

The Georgia Tech game, to no one’s surprise, was the second fastest game of the season.  But check out that Tennessee Tech number.

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