In his SEC preview, Matt Melton puts up a fascinating chart that perhaps sheds some light on why Georgia seems to get close but never quite there lately.
He goes on to break those totals down as follows:
That’s some clear separation there between Georgia and the elite teams in the conference. Much of it can be pinned on defenses that have done a subpar job of converting turnovers into touchdowns. The question is how much of the disparity can be attributed to luck and how much to design. (If it’s mainly the former, you’d have to say Richt is due.)
Off the top of my head, I can’t say with any certainty how much that’s cost the Dawgs over those six seasons. But it’s not hard to come up with one game where it sure as hell did.