Thanks, college football!

I’m not really sure how I came across this, but, hell, it’s worth sharing.  Speaking about the 2012 presidential campaigns, some experts posited an interesting observation about the role college football played.

What do Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, Florida, and Wisconsin (states that were neither solidly Democrat nor Republican) have in common?  The audience will tell you that these states not only gave their electoral votes to Obama but also possess some of the largest concentration of college football fans.  Now one might ask – is this merely coincidental or does a link really exist?  If it does, what should we make of it?  Do college football fans love Obama more than Romney?  Not necessarily.  Did Obama outspend Romney in his purchase of ad time during televised coverage of college football games? While it is certainly true that Obama had a tremendous advantage in the number of ads placed during college football games, any good political scientist who is vigilant about spinning a causality story will not conclude that Obama won the election because he did more to appeal to college football fans than did Romney.  What they can conclude however, is that Obama’s advertising activities during college football season were part of an overall campaign effort that differed remarkably from that of Romney not only in terms of strategies but also in terms of goals and objectives.

Say what you will about the man’s politics, he knew how to campaign effectively.  So what is it about college football that Obama’s camp found useful in reaching potential voters?  And what, if anything, did Romney’s folks miss about that?

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133 Comments

Filed under College Football, Political Wankery

133 responses to “Thanks, college football!

  1. paul

    Romney missed pretty much everything. Well before the process even began we all knew the republicans would nominate Romney and he would lose badly. That’s why everybody got so excited whenever someone like Bachmann or Gingrich appeared to be gaining some traction. Perhaps we might actually get another candidate! Not so much.

  2. Skeptic Dawg

    I not so sure it was Obama’s campaign strategies there successful, but rather the bus loads of illegal Haitians he drove to voting sites.

  3. TennesseeDawg

    That could explain why Craig James wasn’t elected

  4. Andy

    Georgia, Alabama, and Texas have vast amounts of college football fans, and Romney did very well in those states (as well as every other SEC state outside of Fla). I think Obama’s success had more to do with broader demographics and geography than the amount of college football fans.

    • So his campaign was wasting money?

      I don’t think judging voter preferences in other parts of the country based on voting patterns in the South makes much sense.

      • Andy

        College football advertising may have had a small effect in super close states like Ohio and Florida, I’ll grant you. But Obama also won Illinois, Minnesota, and Iowa- states which border most of the states mentioned in the link, but with much less of an avid college football following. The results in Penn, Wisconsin, etc have more to do with the region of the country. Kerry won Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan in 2004. Was that because of college football too?

        • I’m not asserting causation. I just want to know what Obama’s folks were thinking when they pursued the attention of CFB fans in those states.

          • Hogbody Spradlin

            Not a lot of mystery to me. They thought there were more Democrats among college graduates in those contested states, and college football gets your advertising in front of lots of college graduates. Keep in mind it’s still panning for small nuggets. The idea makes sense in the states mentioned above, even Florida.

            Obama didn’t advertise much on football games in the Heart of Dixie, but he didn’t advertise much on anything in the Heart of Dixie. I don’t know what you got in Atlanta, but on the Grand Strand I saw very few presidential campaign ads for either side. Both had conceded that South Carolina was going for Romney.

      • Turd Ferguson

        “I don’t think judging voter preferences in other parts of the country based on voting patterns in the South makes much sense.”

        But it makes sense to assume that neither Obama nor his campaign would be responsible for wasting money?

  5. John Denver is full of shit...

    …that dumb people’s votes, count just as much as smart people’s votes.

    • You callin’ college football fans dumb? ;)

      • John Denver is full of shit...

        50-50. I am probably on the wrong side of that too…
        I was thinking of the students when I typed that.
        Considering how malleable students in college are.
        But, lets face it, a plethora of college football fans admire shiny shit like moths to a flame.

        After this I’m done, promise. Let’s all stop voting until we can have a receipt printed out of our vote…ummkay?

  6. mwo

    I honestly believe the last two Presidential elections were affected more by skin color than any previous elections in history. It sounds ugly but I believe it is true.

    • I’m sure if Lee Atwater were alive, he’d agree with you.

      I mean, considering the vast majority of persons of color couldn’t vote until after the Civil War, then had their votes suppressed during Jim Crow, that’s a helluva belief.

      • mwo

        I have a 13 year old daughter who was amazed when I told her about Jim Crow and the pre 1964 laws. She asked me how the USA survived as long as it did with idiots running it. I told her it was just blind luck and intolerance.

        • JAX

          It didn’t survive – it thrived. If that’s due to blind luck and intolerance then I’m a NFL player.

          • DawgPhan

            Holy shit…it is rare to see people public lament the repeal of Jim Crow laws.

            • JAX

              LOL. The ability for people to read into nothing is amazing.

              • DawgPhan

                Didnt really need to “read into” anything..you put it all out there for everyone.

                • JonDawg

                  Comment removed by administrator.

                  Obviously, nobody takes me seriously.

                  • JonDawg

                    Not at all true. I am a little disgruntled that my ranting (which was clean) was removed, but understand I had not read to the BOTTOM of the comments to see where you made an attempt to reign it in. Not defiance, just a matter of timing. So I guess you can climb off of that cross anytime, Senator.

                    • I’m not on a cross. I’m just bored shitless with you people.

                    • JonDawg

                      I am certain that you haven’t ran out of “shit” (in your words, shitless), because it is that which you are full of :) Sorry to hurt your fee fees, but that’s what you get when you incite a discussion over politics. You are very pompous sometimes, and its unbecoming of you. Feel free to censor anything you like, but understand it makes you a %$#*ing hypocrite when you use phrases such as “wandered too far off the reservation” and “you people”. Go ahead and delete this too, because 1)it was meant specifically for you, and if I had your email I would have sent it there, and 2) because it calls your objectivity into question, and raises some very valid points on “do as I say, not as I do”. Your welcome

                    • My e-mail address appears for all to see on the Contact page at the blog.

                      I’ll leave this comment up, since you’re unhappy with me.

    • Sh3rl0ck

      I think skin color affected the last two elections very little. Those with a hue similar to Obama wern’t voting for Romney or Gary Johnson anyway. Obama won because of the votes from single white women. If you ended Women’s suffrage, the New Deal would go away.

      • uglydawg

        “Those with a hue similar to Obama weren’t voting for Romney or Gary Johnson anyway” makes the point…the “hued” folks you speak of vote pretty much as a block…that block belongs to the Dems in the last two elections. So that makes the point that race was a factor.
        Explain how his approval numbers are still high amongst that group and very low with everyone else …without considering race. It’s just reality. It doesn’t make anyone a racist to acknowledge the truth.

        • Sh3rl0ck

          I will grant that skin color has almost everything to do with Obama’s continued approval ratings with Blacks. My point was that Black Americans, as a general block, vote Democratic regardless of the candidates skin color. To say that race was a big factor in the past two elections is to say that Blacks would have overwheliming voted Republican if the election had bee between Herman Cain and Hillary Clinton. They didn’t vote for Obama because he was black. They voted for him because he was a Democrat.

  7. JAX

    Florida went blue due to five counties – dade, broward, palm beach, Alachua (UF), and Leon (FSU). The south florida three are all controlled by carpetbagging northeasterns and jews, the latter two are obviously college towns that succeed despite their hyper-tax, hyper-liberal governance. But to the post’s point – all heavy CFB areas.

    As for Florida’s governor, Rick Scott soundly defeated Alex Sink who also recently lost the (un)affordable healthcare act “referendum” in Clearwater (YES!), so we’re in no way a “blue” state like the run-down union states.

    The I-4 corridor is also very important to this state and it was basically split in 2012. Look for major changes in ’16 as the liberal’s run gets long in the tooth. Florida will be red again in 2016.

    And remember – annoy a liberal, work hard and he happy.

    • David K

      Keep telling yourself that while you push your anti-women’s rights, anti-immigration, anti-gay rights, anti-poor people, anti-Evolution believing, pro-astronomical Defense spending agenda. Watch those voters turn Red. Yay! I want to be a Republican! BTW, I work hard and am very happy.

      • JAX

        Conservatives don’t want voters like you, we know you’ll never drop your ideology. But we will get the independents, and that should worry you.

        As to your other points – you should stop listening to the msnbc mouthpieces and start thinking for yourself. None of what you say is necessarily true if you would just listen to the other side for a change.

      • Turd Ferguson

        “X sounds like a conservative; therefore, X hates poor people.” The recent divorce of American liberalism and critical thinking has been amazing to watch. And Republicans will begin reaping the benefits this November.

        • heytogoober

          American liberalism isn’t the only party to have kicked critical thinking out of the house. Poor thing just can’t seem to find a comfortable companion since Buckley, et al., left us.

          • Turd Ferguson

            Oh, you’re certainly right about that. I recently moved to a new state, and for the first time in a long time, I’m not a registered Republican. Just can’t really associate myself with that party these days.

            But nonetheless, all signs currently point to a Red November.

      • And you are a delusional moron, who thinks it’s cute to label people with different opinions, that are based on facts and truth, as “anti” everything.
        Let me know when you want to move from our country – I will buy your plane ticket.

        • stuckinred

          I fought for “our” country and no one like you is going pull that love it or leave it crap on me.

  8. Scorpio Jones, III

    Did I stumble into a Mark Bradley column?

  9. Macallanlover

    When your rob Peter to pay Paul you can always count on Paul’s support (vote). The fear of voting ourselves excessive benefits has always been the biggest threat to our system of government. Our rate of spending is unsustainable yet we don’t have the balls to reduce spending as we vote more costly programs in. Flying the Red, White, and Blue plane into the ground has nothing to do with college football, or race, it requires an informed electorate and the leadership to make the necessary changes.

    • … it requires an informed electorate and the leadership to make the necessary changes.

      We’re doomed.

      • JonDawg

        Yes, we are. Simply due to the fact that not enough mother’s told their children that “For someone to get something without paying for it, someone else has to pay for it without getting it” that she told me and my sister. Needless to say, that stuck in my mind, but not my sister’s.

      • uglydawg

        We’re doomed because the tick on the dog’s back has gotten bigger than the dog.

    • stuckinred

      Yea, because if people don’t vote the way you do they are stupid. Back to the poll tax and literacy tests so the confederacy can rise again.

      • Scorpio Jones, III

        “The fear of voting ourselves excessive benefits has always been the biggest threat to our system of government.”

        Mac, what do you mean here?

        • JAX

          He means that the greatest threat to any democracy is the tendency of the electorate to vote for more entitlements/handouts, to the point where those filling the bucket are outnumbered by those who are taking from it. There are many ways to state this, but ultimately it decreases the workforce and creates a society dependent upon larger govt and excessive socialized “benefits”. No society can prosper under that scenario b/c the worker bees eventually stop producing.

        • Macallanlover

          It is like a narcotic Scorp, we just cannot take away the free money once we start, even when we see catastrophic abuse. Politicians are afraid to cut the flow of freebies, even to those who are not citizens. I suspect if JFK were writing his Profiles in Courage chapters today he would be hard pressed to find a politician who puts his/her character before their vote. The way to power in today’s government is promising something good, with no effort or pain.

          No one wants to see humans lacking for food, medical help, opportunity, or happiness (Conservatives and liberals agree on this), the argument is how do you draw the lines of how to help the truly needy without rewarding the bloodsuckers. Our government has proven to be incapable of this and our system rewards those who just hand the goodies out….deserved or not. Even much of our private giving to charities is usurped by mismanagement and fat cats who drain the dollars from their intended purpose, donate selectively.

    • Always Someone Else's Fault

      I remember reading the doomsday editorial columns on deficit spending and trade deficits starting in 1982. Reading the paper with my father was one of the sure times of day I could get some of his attention. Too bad more people weren’t paying attention back then. Three decades of bad habits are tough to break.

      • Macallanlover

        Do the math. We wake up every morning to another $5 billion dollars of debt, and we have our foot on the accelerator. Do you really think this is responsible management, or can be maintained? How long does the world support our excesses just to keep the dollar as the world’s currency? Think they love us? Printing of fiat money to cover debts can only last so long. What happened in Germany around WW1, and in a few South American countries since the turn of this century are just a glimpse of what will happen when the world’s largest economy crashes. Everyone can make their own decision, the facts seem clear to me.

        And the real beginning, imo, was in the mid 60s with Johnson’s Great Society, then Nixon taking us off the gold standard. Now our currency is backed by nothing but our goodwill, and we have exported so much of our manufacturing capacity while transitioning to a service economy. Don’t worry, the cause can be debated all you want, the size of this crash will crush conservatives and leftists. But sticking your head in the sand will keep you worry free for a while longer. World events can speed this up, but crunch time is very near anyway, imo.

        • Always Someone Else's Fault

          Projecting much? I didn’t assign blame. If we have to cram it into our R-v-D binary, then it’s been a mutual-blame political problem on afterburners for 3 decades. But we keep sending them back.

          • Macallanlover

            I am assigning blame. I am not a member of either party (although I feel the Dims are far and away the most dangerous), and hate what the two parties have become as the extremes drive the bus these days. I am a conservative financially, and when it comes to security; I run moderate to liberal on social issues. I just have no one else to vote for but the Republicans, which is more a vote against the Dims. And I am assigning blame, Johnson and Nixon signed those laws into effect, start with them, then add the imbeciles who did nothing to correct the dangerous course we are on. No projecting to it, we are in deep shit, really deep shit. And there is plenty of blame to go around, but let’s blame the voters who have no clue about the issues or cannot see past their own personal “primary issue” which causes them to ignore the larger problems.

            • Always Someone Else's Fault

              We agree on more than we don’t, so I don’t want that missed here. That said….

              Reagan, Bush and Bush racked up more than 11 trillion in debt. The latter Bush accounts for half of that. The final 4 years of the Clinton administration saw balanced budgets, and people even even turned off the national debt clock. That proves it can be done in the modern era and that the social programs passed in the 1960s are not deterministic in budget matters.

              Another example: Bush II and a Republican Congress passed a massive pharmacy give-away in late 2004 out of fear of losing Florida, with long-term costs running in the trillions. Sorry, I have seen far more Republican irresponsibility in my lifetime than Democratic.

              But, we agree that a system of professional politicians probably makes some of these issues untouchable until the pain of same exceeds pain of change.

              • Macallanlover

                You may be right, we certainly have common ground but we interpret the “balanced budget” and piling up the debt differently. the programs that have driven the debt to incredible levels are on programs that are clearly Dim driven, and defended. Individual Presidents cannot be saddled with the responsibility, although they can help lead the people in the right direction. The budget for any given year is not the issue, dramatic swings in economic realities control income, and events mean we have to increase spending above plan levels.

                W, through no fault of his own, was hit with a crisis that lead to gigantic spending on domestic and international fronts. No one faults Roosevelt for the costs of WW2, I cannot fault Bush for what we had to spend on Homeland Defense, Iraq, Afghanistan, or Katrina. We can debate some of the individual components of each but extraordinary events were beyond their control. Bush warned about lax banking regulations before the housing debacle but Pelosi and certain Committee heads failed to rain in the policies which led to the 2008- 2009 housing debacle. There is enough blame to go around for many elected officials from both parties, but the real sin is not stepping up to the plate when reality was confronted. We need leadership but I don’t see anyone in the entitlement camp showing awareness of what is coming, poor and rich will be impacted severely but you know who will get hit first. More people died from starvation than bullets in Bosnia.

  10. stuckinred

    “carpetbagging northeasterns and jews,” Wow, just wow.

    • Scorpio Jones, III

      He’s a known quantity, Stuck, I guess Bluto missed his savior faire.

    • Hackerdog

      Clumsily stated, yes. But demographics is certainly the primary reason SE Florida votes differently than the rest of the state.

    • JAX

      Maybe you should visit south florida occasionally and tell me what is inaccurate about that description. I’ll save you the time and inform you that dade (Miami), broward (Ft Lauderdale), and PB (Bowka Raton) are all areas comprised of relocated northeasterns and those who believe in the jewish faith (otherwise known as jews). “Carpetbaggers” is a term used by southerners since the civil war to describe, you guessed it, residents of the northeastern US who chose to relocate to the south. Jews are well, jews.

      Both constituencies tend to vote heavily democratic, hence the strong blue vote in those three municipalities. Look at the correlation of high taxes and municipal budget debts b/t those areas and those they left up north.

      I’m sorry if you were offended. Try growing a backbone and implementing some tolerance. You know, the word that’s on the bumper sticker that you’ve stuck to the back of your prius.

      • Turd Ferguson

        Yes, but you clearly forgot that we live in an age in which labeling people is automatically bigotry … apparently. You can call a Jewish person many things, but don’t you dare call him ‘a Jew’. That upsets people like stuckinred. And if someone’s from the Northeast, you’d better not call him ‘northeastern’. That’s just … well … I’m not quite sure what it is. But don’t do it.

  11. AthensHomerDawg

    Would it be nice to go to a place where there were no republicans?
    “PART ONE: Illinois

    A State with No Republicans! Very interesting… Makes you want to move there, doesn’t it? A wonderful state with zero Republicans – The State of Illinois.

    Some interesting data on the ‘state’ of Illinois …

    ·        There are more people on welfare in Illinois than there are people working. Chicago pays the highest wages to teachers than anywhere else in the U.S. averaging $110,000/year. Their pensions average 80-90% of their income. Wow, are Illinois and Chicago great or what? Be sure to read till the end. I’ve never heard it explained better. Perhaps the U.S. should pull out of Chicago?
    Body count: In the last six months, 292 killed (murdered) in Chicago.
        221 killed in Iraq;
        Chicago has one of the strictest gun laws in the entire US.
    Here’s the Chicago chain of command:
        President: Barack Hussein Obama
        Senator: Dick Durbin
        House Representative: Jesse Jackson Jr.
        Governor: Pat Quinn
        House leader: Mike Madigan
        Atty. Gen.: Lisa Madigan (daughter of Mike Madigan)
        Mayor: Rahm Emanuel
        The leadership in Illinois – all Democrats.
            Thank you for the combat zone in Chicago. Of course, they’re all blaming each other.
            Can’t blame Republicans; THERE AREN’T ANY!
        Chicago school system rated one of the worst in the country. Can’t blame Republicans; THERE AREN’T ANY!
    State pension fund $78 Billion in debt, worst in country. Can’t blame Republicans; THERE AREN’T ANY!
    Cook County (Chicago) sales tax 10.25% which is the highest in country. Can’t blame Republicans; THERE AREN’T ANY!
        This is the political culture that Obama comes from in Illinois. And he is going to ‘fix’ Washington politics for us?  
    George Ryan is no longer Governor, he is in prison.
        He was replaced by Rob Blagojevich who is, that’s right, also in prison.
    Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. resigned.
        He and his wife both are in prison also.  
    

    The Land of Lincoln, where our Governors and Representatives make our license plates. What?

    As long as they keep providing entitlements to the population of Chicago, nothing is going to change, except the state will go broke before the country does.

    “Anybody who thinks he can be happy and prosperous by letting the Government take care of him better take a closer look at the American Indian.”

    “Don’t forget Detroit, another great example of a Democratic empire.”

    • JAX

      Wonderful post AHD, well timed. You can also add California and NY to the list, but don’t expect a working man liberal to believe you b/c they don’t exist.

    • Hank

      Don’t throw that on the Indians, they only agreed to avoid extinction.

    • 100% truth. Good old “sleep with the fishes” Rahm Emanuel. What a freaking criminal he is. Along with his former boss, the thug Obama.

      • DawgPhan

        everyone knows you wanted to type the n-word when you said thug. Why not embrace it?

        • Macallanlover

          How utterly stupid. You need to learn the definition of the word racist, it has to do with letting race influence/determine your preferences/decisions/votes. If you think for one moment that is what all this is about you are a retard, or just bigoted. Either way, it is always sad to see in an adult.

        • Actually that word never entered my mind. Don’t paint me with your misplaced bias. I don’t have a biased bone in my body. The pastor of my church is black. One of my closest friends is black. Get over it and don’t marginalize me, just because you are safe behind your keyboard.

        • He is a “thug” because he operates by using force and disregard, even disdain, for anyone he disagrees with. He is lawless and has not upheld the oath he took to “faithfully” execute the laws of the United States. He cannot change a law to accommodate his pathetic political agenda, at least not legally. Your problem is, like all liberals, you instantly play the race card, because apparently, you cannot ‘embrace’ facts and truth, so like a little kid on a school yard you start calling people names. Grow up….

        • uglydawg

          DawgPhan…you’re guilty of prejudicial thinking there, are you not?

  12. Tommy

    The Obama campaign made a big investment in data science and machine learning. Anyone who’s studied Big Data will tell you that the first mistake of Big Data analysis is worrying about causality. It’s all about correlation. You focus on the what, not the why. You find these weird linkages where there’s a high correlation, and you don’t ask questions, you just exploit.

    Think about the Target story when they sent that teenage girl all those coupons for pregnancy products before her dad knew she was pregnant. Obama’s data scientists saw something about those states and college football. and they went for it. I doubt even they could explain it to you.

  13. Always Someone Else's Fault

    Nothing’s more American than football right now, and let’s face it, part of the campaigns against Obama focused heavily on, shall we say, non-traditional elements in the man’s biography. Advertising in CFB probably hit for a number of tactical (electoral, fund-raising) and strategic (branding, post-election perceptions) target factors on the campaign checklist.

  14. stuckinred

    Secede again goobers.

  15. Always interested to hear that we are running out of money to pay Social Security but we apparently are not running out of money to hand out to freeloaders and miscreants on welfare. Those that have paid in to Social Security DESERVE a full payment of their benefits. They EARNED it. It is only the fault of the socialistic, tax and spend Democratic party that they ROBBED the Social Security bank to pay for their entitlement programs. Obama is a pathetic, feckless moron, overmatched by the requirements of his position, who feels that every time he opens his lying mouth, he can issue edicts to the supposedly unwashed and intellectually deprived citizens he rules over lawlessly and great things will happen. He and liberal cronies spout about “income inequality” yet they are creating the 1% society through a system of meritocracy, where you get rich because you know someone. For a model of this type of government see China: The top 100 officials in the Chinese government have a net worth of $40 billion. How did they get that money when they have never held a private sector job? You figure it out. Right -they TOOK it from their citizens. We are just a couple steps away from this type of society with criminals like Obama in charge. Laughable to see that stalwart of balanced reporting in the media, Brian Williams of NBC, talking about his “shock” about the “crisis” of income inequality when he made $13 million last year. The irony of his shock is only exceed by his hypocrisy in making such a statement. He is firmly placed in the “1%” he decries. What a joke. Like all liberals, they love to wring their hands, but keep all their money in their pocket and take YOURS.

    His inadequacy is most recently embodied in the failed foreign policy of his administration, including John Kerry and prior to him, Hilary “what does it matter now” Clinton. These people are poison, the worst thing that has ever happened to our country.

  16. I Wanna Red Cup

    What is that rule of etiquette? You should not talk politics and religion at cocktail and dinner parties? We should extend that to college football blogs. Can’t we all just get along and not yell and call each other names? Is there room for respectfull discourse and honest differences of opinion? Nah.

    • AthensHomerDawg

      The azaleas have really put on a show at Callaway Gardens. If you haven’t gone yet don’t miss this treat. Don’t skip breakfast in the Plant Room either. There are so many things to chose and they have a Rey coffee that is very good. I like many of the Costa Rican coffees and prefer them over some of the blends from Brazil. Do you have a favorite? ;-)

      • I Wanna Red Cup

        I like strong, black coffee. We should have some some time, maybe after a UGA victory. Or bourbon.

      • uglydawg

        What color are the azaleas? If they missed a color or if they have too much of one color, I’m not going.

      • Scorpio Jones, III

        I have come to like a Mexican coffee…bold, earthy…just a touch of joie de vivre…really nice in the morning. A Northeastern Jew introduced it to me.

        • AthensHomerDawg

          Try Trung Nguyen. It’s a Vietnamese coffee. My dad who was in SAC developed a taste for it and we seemed to always have it around. My mother in law a 3rd generation Jew from Lithuania liked it too. My father in law an ex PT boat driver that worked Civil Service at RAFB was a big Maxwell House guy. He was a Catholic and like a drop or two of spirits in his brew. I am richer for having known and loved them both.

        • JAX

          but I bet they made you pay for it.

  17. paul

    Ron Burgundy: Boy, that escalated quickly… I mean, that really got out of hand fast.
    Champ Kind: It jumped up a notch.
    Ron Burgundy: It did, didn’t it?

  18. stuckinred

    We get to hear “red white and blue” and “carpetbagger” in the same thread. ” “When fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross.”

  19. stuckinred

    I really appreciate your work here and I’m sorry this degenerated just like an ABH thread.

  20. I used to follow political campaigning very closely, back when I thought it made any difference who won or lost. My armchair QB assessment is that Obama ran possibly the best re-election campaign of the modern era.

    He had few first-term accomplishments (that were popular), so his team did what an unpopular incumbent must: Kill Romney is how they themselves described it.

    Contrary to conventional wisdom, in elections white males, particularly single white males, are one of the most important swing demographics. At the margin they will switch parties, “vote the man not the party’, or stay home with much greater frequency than other demographic groups (women, minorities, evangelicals, union members, etc). The Obama team carpet bombed the swing states with negative ads on Romney, something like 10:1 negative/positive, and Romney was an easy target, obviously. Obama needed a low-turnout “base” election to win, and negative campaigning “works” in that it drives down turnout. Where can I advertise where I can reach huge numbers of white males?

  21. stuckinred

    You leave Pittman’s “Thug” comments and delete mine?

  22. Hogbody Churchill

    ‘The best argument against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.’

  23. Normaltown Mike

    In the most significant state (Ohio), the race was already lost by football season. Because of the drawn-out primary, late convention and campaign finance law, Romney had little to no money to run in Ohio over the summer, while Obama was able to pillory the Bay State Rockefellar as the most vile capitalist since Daniel Plainview.

    Regardless, Romney was a poor candidate in appealing to blue-collar disaffected rust belt types and he failed to connect, causing millions that voted for McCain in 2008 to stay home in 2012.

  24. stuckinred

    I’ll remember that, as long as I say incredibly stupid, racist dog whistle stuff before I am warned it’s ok. Thanks for the clarification.