Jerry Palm’s Playoff Projection

This would cap a pretty good season for Georgia, no?  Or would you feel disappointed that the Dawgs wound up just outside the top four?

As a side note, Palm is projecting that Georgia Tech’s bowl streak comes to an end. (And that’s with ten ACC teams going to the postseason.)  That probably wouldn’t be such a good thing for the genius.

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64 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Georgia Tech Football

64 responses to “Jerry Palm’s Playoff Projection

  1. Does that mean we lose the SEC championship to Alabama once again? I’m not going to lie..I’d be super bummed.

  2. I would rather go to Miami than Dallas (for the Cotton Bowl), but a season like that would work for me. Nothing wrong with being in one of the big bowl games for recruiting and the experience for the players.

  3. I’d be in the middle with it. It means we would have beaten most / all our big rivals again (for me that’s tenn, fla, the barn, tech) but ANOTHER bammer loss & more wasted talents that didn’t win a championship (Gurley, AJ, Murray..etc). So good & bad. Some accomplishment but probably a big ‘same ol same ol’ feeling unfortunately.

  4. Jack Klompus

    Boy, he really went out on a limb with those playoff predictions. I think it would be a huge step for us and I think I’d call it a great season. However, I can’t say I wouldn’t be disappointed, especially getting that close, again and there would probably be some heartbreaking “if only” loss in there

  5. SCDawg

    Interesting to me that he has GA, USC, and Clemson all in the top tier bowls, and all three teams play each other this year. He also has Auburn there, and Auburn plays GA and USC.

    • Macallanlover

      Yes, it doesn’t look like he worked through that very well, or at all. Schedules are so much the underweighted factor in determining playoffs, and bowls. Look at UCLA’s schedule, if they make that far it would be very impressive and might mean I don’t want to see them across from us in a bowl with Hundley at QB.

      As to the Senator’s question, any CFB fan who isn’t happy with a Top 10 finish is being unrealistic (unless he play a gimmee schedule like Ohio has done for every year….for decades. I would love to get to Atlanta, and would certainly love to win the SEC title, it would mean our questions were answered favorably this season. With what is shaping up on the recruiting front, winning the East and/or the SEC this season would be just what we need to get the troops on board to be dominant for the next few years.

      • Bulldawg165

        “any CFB fan who isn’t happy with a Top 10 finish is being unrealistic”

        For once, I agree with you.

        • BulldogBen

          Maybe, but is it unrealistic to think that Georgia would have only 1 title in almost 75 years?

          • Bulldawg165

            It’s not, but I think even the most extreme of people from this “MNC or bust” crowd would be a LOT more accepting of the program’s success (or lack thereof) if we had a few more top 5-10 finishes, which would at least show that we’re typically in the hunt.

            There is some luck involved, but not nearly as much as folks on here would like for you to think. As it is, we’ve been 1-loss SEC champions once during Richt’s tenure, so we don’t have a lot of room to complain about things not going our way on the BCS selection front.

            (And before anyone goes there, we have no room to complain about 2007 either considering LSU jumped us AFTER beating the Tennessee team that absolutely humiliated us, and their two losses weren’t nearly as bad as ours)

  6. It pains me, but I think Tech will have a pretty good year. That offense still works, and Ted Roof did nice things with their defense last year. Playing in that division… they should be near the top of it and should make a bowl game. Duke, a down Va Tech, and Miami are only competition, and I see Tech taking down at least one of them. There’s an easy 6 wins on their schedule and if the defense keeps trending upwards I could see 9 wins.

    And really, a bowl-eligible Paul Johnson team is another year of fish fry on the flats, and that’s a good thing for us.

  7. DawgPhan

    I really dont think that Oklahoma makes the playoff. And it is even less likely that the Pac 12 doesnt get a team into the playoff.

    • Disagree on OU – they are getting a lot of love due to the win over Alabama last year. If they run the table, get style points in the Red River Shootout and hammer Tennessee out of conference, they’re going to be in the playoff.

      If Oregon or UCLA goes unbeaten, the Pac-12 champion will be in.

      • DawgPhan

        Yeah I dont think the OU is going unbeaten. I also dont think that it will take an unbeaten Pac 12 team to get them into the playoffs.

        The Big 12 is easily the worst of the big 5 conferences and the Pac 12 is nearly as good as the SEC is. UCLA, Oregon, Standford, USC, and Washington are all going to be very good to great team.

        Oklahoma and Baylor might be the only 2 top 25 teams in the Big 12.

        • Bulldawg165

          I think a 1 loss SEC champion gets the nod over all other 1 loss teams, and ahead of undefeated teams from non-major conferences.

          However, I think you’re selling Oklahoma short a bit. They did beat Bama, who many on here believe was the best team in the SEC, and they did it without a fluke FG/TD. They also (and I realize how dated this is, but the stereotype about Big 12 existed then, too) played Florida closer than every SEC team not named Ole Miss in 2008. I bet they run the score up on Tennessee this year too, and I’m gonna get a kick out of it.

          • I bet they run the score up on Tennessee this year too, and I’m gonna get a kick out of it.

            You can bet your bottom dollar Big Game Bob will do so in the hopes that he can brag about beating the Vols worse than many SEC schools do.

        • Sorry about the Pac 12 reference – I misinterpreted your comment. I think a 1-loss Pac-12 champion is very likely in. What will be interesting is what happens to the SEC champion if the team happens to have 2 losses …

          If OU doesn’t go unbeaten, they clearly don’t belong in my opinion. If they run the table, it will be hard to keep them out.

      • Bulldawg165

        If they run the table they deserve it

  8. Nickle

    As long as we do 1 of these 2, we can’t lose this year:
    1) Roll with Hutson as long as he keeps winning
    2) If he stops winning, get the backup ready for 2015

    Either way, we win. The only way we lose is if Hutson keeps losing, and we don’t get the backups ready for 2015.

    Then we’re right back here again.

    • Macallanlover

      I agree with you but don’t expect it to happen. Richt is very loyal and especially appreciative for Mason sticking around so I think he starts all the way through. I would let the two backups play the games after/if we get eliminated from the SECCG. Like you, I am not looking forward to a first time starter at QB in back to back seasons. At the least I would like to see considerable quality playing time for the two backup contenders whenever the opportunity arises, it isn’t like Mason is going to get deprived of any records or awards by sharing time with Ramsey/Bauta/Park.

  9. LanceG

    If we have a great run with Hutson, or if our No 2 gets lots of experience, I’m good.

    Knowing Richt’s record with 1st year Qb’s, I expect it to be 8 wins like it was Stafford, Green, Cox, but not as bad as 6 wins with Murray.

    DJ had played in a lot mroe games than Mason when he took over, so throw him out, he’s the exception.

    Hunker down, twill be a long, sad season.

  10. LanceG

    And I expect our DB’s to get lit up!

    Front 7 looks strong, as do our rb’s. Wr’s/TE too many injured.

  11. LanceG

    Positive outlook:
    We did finish in the top 10 once in the last 5 years

    Negative outlook:
    We did not finish in the top 10 4 out of 5 of the last 5 seasons

    • Bulldawg165

      Alternative outlook: We’ve only finished in the Top 25 twice in the past 5 years.

      • JCDAWG83

        But; our coach is a good Christian man and averages 9 wins a season. What more can a program expect for the pittance Richt is paid?

  12. PTC DAWG

    I would call this a successful year myself. I’m not in the camp that if you don’t win it all you are a failure. That just sets you up for, well, failure.

    • Well said – I used to be there and found that it was difficult to deal with the “failure.” I got a little more laid back about it and think about success is having a team that plays hard all the time.

      • Cosmic Dawg

        think about success is having a team that plays hard all the time.

        Seriously. As I believe Bulldawg165 brought up the other day, failure was not the SECCG vs Bama…but UCF, Colorado, 2012 in Columbia, etc.

        • I totally agree with you, but we have a segment of our fan base that is to the point of saying if we don’t win the national championship, the season is a failure. I was absolutely frustrated with the 3 games you mention above. Those games were absolute failures. Alabama was not a failure or a success, but a game where we laid it all on the line and came up short.

        • Dog in Fla

          “failure was not the SECCG vs Bama”

          What kind of fan base would we be if we ever let The Circle of Failure ever intersect with The Greatest Moral Victory Ever

        • Bazooka Joe

          2012 in Columbia is why I think we win that game in 2014….

  13. DugLite

    I’d travel to the Cotton Bowl. I have always wanted the Cotton Bowl to choose an Eastern team, but it never happened that I can remember.

    • W Cobb Dawg

      I think ut lost to Kansas state not too many years ago. But I can’t think of any other SECE team in the cotton bowl in the past 15 years or so.

      • Duglite

        I forgot about UT. I remember UGA playing Texas and winning. There have been several years where UGA was passed over for a SECW team in the Cap1/Citrus or Outback bowls. I wound up ok with it because it pushed us to a lower bowl that was easier to attend.

  14. uglydawg

    I believe Mike Bobo and the Dawgs beat Texas in the Cotton Bowl in the mid 80s.

    • GaskillDawg

      QB john Lastinger scored a late TD for the winning points in a 10-9 win over Texas in the January 1, 1984 Cotton Bowl. Mike Bobo would have been in grammar school.

    • DawgPhan

      You win the GTP comments for today.
      Congrats. Every time I see a post from you I will just remind myself that you thought that Bobo was the QB for the “What time is it in Texas” game.

      Congrats.

      ps It is always ten to nine in Austin,

      • Russ

        Great game. Loved the look on the once smug Texas fan’s face behind us after the game. I also remind my Texas wife of this every so often.

    • Russ

      Bobo lit up Wisconsin in the Citrus Bowl in ’97. I think he had something like 22 completions in a row.

  15. Dog in Fla

    The last thing Big Game Bob wants in Jerry Palm’s Playoff Projection is a rematch with Nick because this time, it will not be an exhibition

  16. This is just me. I’m the epitome of the reasonable Georgia fan, always happy with ten wins and delighted with Top Ten. This year I’m kind of hungry. You know when you have a big appetite and your wife says, “How about T. J. Applebee’s?” And you know that’s just not going to do it. You have to have a steak as well as it can be cooked. Every now and then the Big Dawg has to eat something better than Kibbles and Bits. It’s not reasonable to expect big things with our secondary and Hutson Mason’s one year, and I don’t expect or demand it. But I sure want it. Watching Clemson and Auburn in the Orange Bowl and another Bama championship game isn’t going to give me many jollies. We’re due something bigger than a noon New Year’s bowl.

    • Dog in Fla

      “We’re due something bigger than a noon New Year’s bowl.”

      We’ve been overdue for so long even the bad cop has forgotten about us

    • JCDAWG83

      We are what we are Saxon, a noon New Year’s bowl team. We’ll manage 8 or 9 regular season wins and that will keep the majority of the fan base happy enough to keep sending in the checks and talking about “if only” and “next year”. I’ve come to accept it, but I don’t like it.

  17. I don’t believe “we are what we are,” JC. I believe we can be what we commit to be, and that we’re headed for something better. I don’t know if this is the year, but I refuse to buy into a cynicism based on the past. If that stuff worked, there wouldn’t have been any South Carolina fans in the stands for their three straight 11-win seasons. We found out Florida wasn’t guaranteed to be a winner, and Auburn wasn’t guaranteed to be a loser. Nothing stays the same, as that’s why we keep watching.

    • JCDAWG83

      I’ll pull hard every year, but after 40+ years of watching I have learned how things work in Athens. Florida will fire Muschamp if he doesn’t win 8 games this season (they might fire him if he does win 8 but loses to us). If we went 4-8 this season, there would be no pressure at all on Richt next season. The only way Richt will legitimately have any pressure on him will be if the program becomes embarrassing for the university, wins and losses are not the driving force in Athens. As long as we win 8 games a season, beat tech, and don’t have a major scandal, the admin and fans will be happy. A look at the numbers since 2007 tells the whole story. We may stumble into another SEC championship at some point. Florida and Tennessee are not going to stay down, they will do what it takes to get back in championship form and South Carolina has moved past us by making some bold moves too. Auburn is totally committed to winning championships and will boldly cheat to get them. Bama is committed to winning championships and they will pay whatever it takes to hire and keep good coaches. We were moving in the direction of an elite program until the 2008 season. I don’t know what happened, but something happened and we have become a program that can’t seem to win the important games and manages to lose a game or two a season that we should win. We keep obviously bad assistant coaches for years longer than we should and show up for at least one game a year totally unprepared. You are absolutely correct; we are what we commit to be, and right now we are committed to being a good, but not great, football team.

      Our fans are happy with almost winning a championship every few years and are satisfied with 8 win seasons. The powers that be at Butts Mehre can tell that by the checks that come in every year. Like I said; I don’t like it, but it is what it is. I’ll keep on pulling for the Dawgs until I die, maybe they will manage to put together another magical season.

  18. TankJ

    I’ve begun to wonder if it’s even Mark Richt’s goal to win a BCS. He never talks about it.

    If that’s your goal, you tank a year every few to rebuild and get guys experience. Instead of trying to eek out an 8 win season.

    If that’s your goal, you play Hutson Mason every few series last season in every game.

    • Dog in Fla

      He doesn’t want to jinx the no-hitter

    • I’ve begun to wonder if it’s even Mark Richt’s goal to win a BCS. He never talks about it.

      Ever try Google? I found this in about five seconds.

      The 13-year coaching veteran joined a live edition of ESPN’s SportsCenter on Monday and he did not shy away from the issue at hand.

      “We want one. I want one. Our fans want one.”

      There is some part of our fan base I really don’t understand.

      • TankJ

        Thanks for looking that up, makes me feel a wee bit better. In most interviews, he usually says “Well, we focus on winning the East.”.

        Gives out SEC East rings and stuff.

        Are you saying you don’t understand what I wrote?

        Besides Richt’s 12 win season in 2012, he’s really averaged 8 wins a season the other 4 (2009 + 2010 + 2011 + 2013 = 32 wins = 8 wins a year out of 13 games, counting the Bowl).

        He’s not really mad about it. But that’s really nothing to be thinking you’re a great coach or whatever.

        • TankJ

          You also don’t ever be left with a year when you have a QB with limited experience.

          It’s poor planning, but it’s happened over and over and over and over, Richt never seems to

          THINK AHEAD.

      • TankJ

        I’ll never understand how most of the UGA blogs talk about Richt as if he’s had an amazing run the last few years.

        Just hasn’t.

        Even taking the one year of 2012 into account, it’s still been a very lackluster 5 years overall, barely cracking the top 15 in the final AP Poll except 2012.

        Is that good enough? I don’t understand these “But this year is different” UGA bloggers.

        Unfortunately, with Richt, it’s usually not been different since 2009. Same result every season but one.

        5 seasons. 1 top 15 finish.

      • TankJ

        Perhaps you can think of a year where Richt seemed to be thinking ahead, and rotating his quarterbacks evenly so the future starter got valuable experience.

        DJ got rotated in about 25% in 2004, and it worked, won an SEC Champ in 2005.

        But Richt abandoned that practice.

      • JCDAWG83

        I don’t think there is any doubt that he wants one. The problem seems to be that he doesn’t do the things to get one. The inexplicable scholarship reduction in 2011 where he left 6 or so scholarships on the table. Keeping Martinez around until the defense was almost comical in their ineptitude and lack of respect for the coaches. The total ignoring of special teams for the past few years. The statement at the end of last season that “there would be no changes to the staff” after everyone in the nation saw that Grantham was not a college defensive coordinator. Keeping a cancer like Rodney Garner around for years while Garner failed to contact top in state recruits and threatened to leave every year by applying for every defensive coordinator job and keeping racial tension simmering among the coaching staff. Allowing the team to show up to at least one game, usually a fairly important one, every year looking like they have not given any thought at all to football for the preceding week.

        I know Richt wants a championship, just like I want a yacht and a super model wife and millions of dollars in the bank. Unfortunately, neither one of us is doing the things we need to do to get the thing we want.

        • TankJ

          I really don’t think he’s mad about the last 5 years of poor non- top 15 finishes except 2012.

          Just don’t think he loses any sleep over it.

          I also don’t think Richt is very good at diagnosing the problem and fixing it.

          Exhibit A, punt return has gotten worse 5 years in a row in yards.
          Exhibit B, can’t field an SEC top 3 rushing backfield in 8 or 9 years straight. This is the SEC man.

          Why can’t he fix that stuff?

          • Exhibit B, can’t field an SEC top 3 rushing backfield in 8 or 9 years straight.

            You know what makes for poor trolling? Repeating the same goofy stat under different monikers.

            Adios, muchacho.

        • …and keeping racial tension simmering among the coaching staff.

          Wait, what? Never heard that one before. How do you know that?

  19. TankJ

    I hate it when Richt says this over and over in interviews or something like it:

    “We’re focused on winning the SEC East. And the winner of that game naturally would be expected to be playing for the BCS championship. … So that’s our goal every year”

    • Gene Simmons

      It seems like Spurrier used to say something very similar when he was at UF. He won tons of SEC crowns. Anyone think he is a bad coach? A failure? Even close? Still he has one MNC. Attainable goals. Winning the conference should always be first priority IMHO. Get a grip.

  20. For all of you football experts who take shots at Richt’s talk about winning the East, you can’t win the SEC if you don’t win the East, and you aren’t going to make the playoff without at least winning your division. Winning the division has to be a goal in the regular season because it’s the only goal you can control.

    Some people aren’t going to be happy until CMR leaves Athens whether he has a title or not. I hope you get about another 8-10 years before you get your wish, and he retires as the most successful coach in UGA history.

    • Gene Simmons

      THIS +1000

    • Macallanlover

      You can’t ed-u-ma-cate people that stupid eethomas, just let them try to sell their agenda against CMR to others who don’t get it. Richt has plenty of support because he is smart enough to start with winning the East and then the SEC…..nothing after that goal is within his control. But the time is coming…..