Big week in the conference:
- Georgia’s giving 32.5 against Vanderbilt.
- Kentucky is getting 10 against South Carolina.
- Auburn is favored by 8.5 over LSU.
- Tennessee is a one-point underdog against Florida.
- Alabama is giving 4 against Ole Miss.
- And Texas A&M is favored by a point against Mississippi State.
Georgia opens as a 19-point favorite over Tennessee. Too much?
To my loyal South Carolina readership who’s found fault with me for ranking Georgia ahead of South Carolina in this week’s Power Poll despite 35-38, please take note that Bovada still rates the Dawgs’ chances to win a national title better than the Gamecocks’.
Bovada has post some over/under player stats. Here’s what it’s got for Todd Gurley:
NCAA 2014-2015 Season -Total Rushing Yards – Todd Gurley (Georgia)
NCAA 2014-2015 Season -Total Rushing Touchdowns – Todd Gurley (Georgia)
Looks like some baby-splitting going on there, based on his first two years’ production. If he stays healthy, those numbers are way below his freshman results.
Would you put money on it, either way?
Sporting News has an overview of how the bets are flowing in Las Vegas on this college football season. You won’t find most of the action too surprising, but it does seem like there’s some money being thrown Georgia’s way right now. At the Wynn, Georgia’s national title odds have gone from 50-1 to 35-1. And one of the computer sites has moved the odds on the Dawgs winning the SEC from 13-2 to 4-1. How much of that do you figure is smart money versus fan enthusiasm.
Speaking of the latter, who’s betting Florida to win the national title at the MGM? 18-1?
The Golden Nugget has published lines on its 2014 college football games of the year. Here’s where Georgia starts out:
- Clemson, +9
- South Carolina, -3
- Tennessee, +17
- Vanderbilt, +24
- Missouri, +7
- Arkansas, +14.5
- Florida, +9
- Auburn, +1
- Georgia Tech, +14
One game as a dog, and that’s basically chalked up to home field advantage. The other three games are Kentucky and two cupcakes, so if Georgia lives up to the lines, you’re looking at an 11-1 regular season there. Takers?
Chase Stuart plugs all 200 games into his SRS formula to come up with a set of preliminary rankings, and spits Georgia out as a number seven. (That leaves Georgia as the best team in the East, but only fourth best in the conference.) I’d probably argue that’s a little low for a team that only loses once and beats Auburn, but what do I know?
Obviously, take this for what’s it’s worth, but if you think Vegas is pretty good making these kinds of assessments, well, then…