Tag Archives: Boise State Broncos football

More Boise State thoughts

I wasn’t the only one who took a look at Boise State’s opener from last season for some insight.  Over at Team Speed Kills, Year2 did the same and shared a few observations about what he saw, like this one:

… Watching Boise’s defense felt a lot like watching Auburn’s defense from a year ago. If you’re running it up the middle on them, or they guess correctly about what you want to do, they will stop you. They got a fair amount of pressure in the backfield too. However when Tyrod Taylor had time to throw, he picked apart the Bronco secondary. He posted a 169.2 passing efficiency for the game, his second-highest of the season against good teams. It would have been even higher if not for two obvious pass interference penalties that Boise’s secondary committed to prevent long plays from succeeding. Boise State also had issues with Taylor’s athleticism, as it doesn’t have elite athletes on defense to combat the other team’s elite athletes.

For what it’s worth, Aaron Murray’s passer rating in last year’s Auburn game was 170.83.  And I doubt Boise State will be trotting out anyone like Nick Fairley.

But here’s the easier said than done part of his analysis.

… What Mike Bobo will want to do is find ways to get his elite athletes in space. Orson Charles sticks out to me as the biggest potential mismatch, but he’s got some good ones in Tavarres King and Isaiah Crowell also. He’ll also need to be productively unpredictable because you can gash Boise if the defense guesses incorrectly. BSU’s defense also had a distinct bend-but-don’t-break flavor to it, so Bobo can’t get impatient and stop taking what the defense gives him.

This part is spot on, though.

… If Georgia can come into it focused and treat it like any other game, it will have an excellent chance to win. I just don’t know where this team will be at mentally in the wake of last year, after the hype of the “Dream Team” recruiting class, and with the desire to vindicate the head coach.

Hell, nobody knows right now.

If I had to lay out my three keys to the game in descending order, this is what I’ve got:

  1. The lines on both sides of the ball have to play well.
  2. Whatever funk grabbed this team last season at crucial moments has to be fully banished.
  3. Mike Bobo needs to show up for an entire 60 minutes without thinking of the word “balanced”.
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Filed under Georgia Football

They’re studying Boise State. Now you can, too!

… Murray said he and offensive coordinator Mike Bobo began discussing the gameplan for the opener Tuesday.

“We’ve been studying Boise all summer long,” Murray said. “We feel like we’ve got a pretty good grasp on them with what we need to do, with receivers and tight ends. They know what they’re doing with their routes.”

One thing they’ve probably been watching closely is last year’s opener for the Broncos.

First observation:  if Georgia’s running game can get some traction, Boise will be susceptible to play action.  No real surprise there, as line play is going to be the key to Georgia winning.

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Filed under Georgia Football

Time to start looking at Boise State.

With less than two weeks to go until the Dome, I thought it might be worth checking out a little news about the opponent:

  • OBNUG has a summary of Boise State’s fall scrimmage game.  The impression left is that the defense, particularly the defensive line, was ahead of the offense.  There are some interesting notes about special teams play (one area where the Dawgs should enjoy a sizeable advantage over the Broncos) and drops by the wide receivers.
  • College Football Zealots Boise State preview is a good mix of stats – “During that 24 game win streak the Broncos played just four teams that were ranked in the Top 25 due to them playing in the WAC. If you take out those four games against ranked opponents the combined winning percentage of the Broncos foes during that 24 game win streak was just 41%.” – and a Q&A with someone from OBNUG.

Speaking of that Q&A, here’s a nice example of Preseason Homerism to chew on:

In our exit survey you discussed the importance of the season opener against Georgia. Where do you see the Broncos having the match-up advantages?

The Broncos defensive line should match up well against Georgia’s offensive line, especially with the recent spate of Bulldog drama at the position. Generally, I think the Bronco defense is set up well against the Georgia offense. BSU may be able to take away the run with its front six or seven and let the secondary hang back and take away passing options for Aaron Murray. I would expect Georgia’s defense to have some early success against Boise State’s offense (size advantage on the line, first game of the season, etc.), but as the game goes on, that matchup should even out.

Funny how it works out like that.

37 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football

Sunday morning buffet

Eat those damned bagels any way you want to.

21 Comments

Filed under ACC Football, Auburn's Cast of Thousands, BCS/Playoffs, College Football, Georgia Football, It's Just Bidness, SEC Football, Wit And Wisdom From The Hat

Monday morning buffet

The Beatles are here to remind you that September 1st isn’t far away.

Dig in:

  • Rivals doesn’t think this year’s Georgia squad is as good as the Virginia Tech team that lost to James Madison last year.  Ouchy ouch.
  • Is Caleb King worth a second-round draft pick?  This guy thinks so.
  • The NCAA tests the principle that hell hath no fury as a booster scorned.  Good luck with that, Miami.
  • As my dad would put it, Gordon Gee has a bad case of diarrhea of the mouth and constipation of the brain.
  • Andy Staples makes a great case about why Texas A&M wants to switch conferences.  But he’s not as convincing when it comes to why the SEC needs TAMU.
  • Gary Danielson describes Florida’s last season as a “train wreck”.
  • I’ll take Matt Hinton’s SEC forecast in a heartbeat.
  • The University of North Dakota sure has a unique problem.

16 Comments

Filed under Gators, Gators..., General Idiocy, Georgia Football, It's Just Bidness, Political Wankery, SEC Football, The NCAA

What can’t happen in the Dome.

From Bill Connelly’s sobering preseason analysis of Boise State:

… Boise State was outstanding in the way that they knocked opponents on their heels immediately; even in their two closest games (the Virginia Tech win and the Nevada loss), they went up 17-0 in the first half each time. They struggled a bit late in games — Tech scored 16 points in the second half to tie, Nevada scored 17 points in the fourth quarter to do the same — but they proved just how much the first half matters. Do well enough in the first half, and it might not matter what you do late.

If Georgia is looking up at a seventeen-point deficit in the first half, it’s going to be ugly, ugly in the Dome.  And, yes, as Bill notes, there were teams that clawed back into games with the Broncos last year after being down early.  But with the Dawgs’ brittle psyche, who knows if they’re capable of that?

One more thing – Boise State is not some current version of 20o7 Hawaii, all show on offense and nothing on defense.  Compare what I wrote about that Hawaii team before the Sugar Bowl…

… Hawaii is ranked 41st nationally in scoring defense. Ignoring strength of schedule for the moment, consider the school that Hawaii is tied with in that category: Florida. Georgia scored 42 points against Florida. Georgia Tech, against whom Georgia put up 31 points, is ranked 18th. Auburn, ranked 5th nationally and giving up eight points per game less than Hawaii, allowed Georgia to score 45. If the Dawgs can hang those numbers on Florida, Tech and Auburn, why the hell should we expect Hawaii to do better?

And that’s without factoring in strength of schedule considerations. Steele, in his infinite wisdom, says Florida checks in at #9, Auburn at #38 and Georgia Tech at #63 in national SOS. Hawaii ranks 119th. It’s simply not realistic to expect Hawaii to do a significantly better job of holding the Dawg offense in check than those three schools did.

… with what Bill has to say about BSU’s defensive line (by comparison, the Broncos were 2nd in scoring defense last season with Sagarin’s 81st-rated strength of schedule).

Ten different linemen registered at least two tackles for loss, and eight return this fall, led by a pair of outstanding, and identically productive, ends: Shea McClellin (22.5 tackles, 13.5 TFL/sacks, 1 INT) and Tyrone Crawford (22.5 tackles, 13.5 TFL/sacks, 1 PBU). But it is at tackle where Boise shines. A four-headed monster of Billy Winn (19.5 tackles, 9.5 TFL/sacks), Chase Baker (19.0 tackles, 6.5 TFL/sacks), Ricky Tjong-A-Tjoe (17.5 tackles, 6.5 TFL/sacks) and Mike Atkinson (7.0 tackles, 2.5 TFL/sacks in four games) returns to manhandle the interior of mid-major and major conference lines alike. The squatty (6-foot-0, 312 pounds!) Atkinson is perhaps the best of the bunch, but he was suspended for the last nine games of the season for disciplinary reasons. This is a great line either way, but it could be even better if he keeps his head on straight. If Georgia fans are looking for something over which to wring their hands about their season opener against Boise State, this is it. The ‘Dawgs could do alright against a Boise offense working in some new pieces, but their thin offensive line could get blown up.

No, they’re not as big as Georgia goes on the d-line, but they’re not a bunch of midgets, either.  There’s enough depth and experience to go along with that to challenge the Dawgs’ offensive line all evening.

The Broncos’ secondary can be exploited, but of course that begs the question whether Georgia has the weapons with which to attack it.

Ironically, given what happened last year, if Georgia can make this a four-quarter game, I think it stands a good chance of winning.  Get down big early and it’s likely to be a long night.

47 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football

Yeah, well, I suppose that could be the case.

Bill Connelly has a rebuttal to those of us who dismiss Boise State’s gaudy stats on the basis of its schedule strength.

… Boise State’s defensive line was rather incredible last year. Our natural tendency is to talk down mid-major lines — surely they’re not big enough or athletic enough. But as I mention in today’s Boise State profile, Boise State’s line was big (ends over 250, tackles over 295) and incredibly deep. Ten players registered at least two tackles for loss (eight return in 2011), and the Broncos finished in the Top 5 in both Adj. Sack Rates and Adj. Line Yards. It is difficult to prove yourself to any major degree when taking on a mostly weak schedule. But if you completely dominate that schedule, you still prove something. Boise State completely dominated.

Like it or not, Dawg fans, you might as well prepare for a tougher game than the 2005 match up was.

57 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

The (point) spread spreads.

I don’t think this constitutes an “easy win”, but it’s worth noting that the Las Vegas Hilton has moved the line on the Boise State-Georgia game back out to Georgia +3.

14 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football

“This game should be a easy win for Boise State.”

Evidently that’s because Georgia will be forced to start Alec Ogletree at both linebacker and safety.  Playing the Broncos with ten men on defense will certainly make things tough.

OBNUG, get thee an editor.  And an updated roster.

*******************************************************************************

UPDATE:  Travis Fain adds a thought or two about editorial standards.

92 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, The Blogosphere

Sunday morning buffet

Dig in, people.

  • The Dawgs want to fix last season’s fourth quarter woes.
  • Who’da thunk the Gators would ever play the overlooked-as-motivation card?
  • Here’s another reason not to like the Logan Gray, designated fair catch artist, move.
  • We know the Vol defense is thin.  How thin?  With Malik Jackson’s injury, Tennessee doesn’t have a single returning starter from last year’s front seven suiting up right now.
  • Don’t expect to see Kwame Geathers moving to a 3-4 end slot early on (sensible, if you ask me).  But note that nobody’s saying anything about who plays tackle when Grantham shifts to a 4-2-5 nickel package.
  • Here are some Boise State practice notes.
  • Sometimes, it’s worth remembering this“Georgia’s Mark Richt is one of only seven coaches in major college football history to rack up 90 victories in his first nine seasons, sharing company with those as recent as Urban Meyer and Bob Stoops and as distant as Amos Alonzo Stagg.”

45 Comments

Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Gators, Gators..., Georgia Football, Stats Geek!