After surfing the ‘net and listening to the radio and TV pundits, I think it’s safe to say that this is a consensus opinion on how tomorrow’s game lays out for most folks.
I’m going to stick with a comment I made a couple of weeks back, though. Barring the usual turnover disclaimer, I think the SECCG boils down to which John Parker Wilson shows up.
Take a look at cfbstats.com’s passing game log for ‘Bama this season. Whatever adjective you might want to use to describe JPW’s year to date, “consistent” isn’t likely to be your first choice. I’m not saying he has to turn in a game like he did against Georgia for the Tide to have a chance to win (although that sure wouldn’t hurt), but if he gives an effort tomorrow like he did against Tulane or even LSU – where he got bailed out by a worse performance from the opposing QB – I don’t see how ‘Bama can stay in the game.
The good news if you’re a ‘Bama fan is that Wilson saved his three best performances for big games – against two ranked opponents and the Iron Bowl. It doesn’t get any bigger for Alabama this year than tomorrow.