In a blog post that’s filled with all sorts of illogical non sequiturs, Dennis Dodd tosses this notion out:
Meanwhile, March Madness is perceived as the best, fairest way to decide a national champion.
Really? By whom, pray tell?
Look, we all love the tournament, but to suggest that a six-round, single-elimination tourney is the fairest of the fair is silly. Hell, the nickname’s a clear indication that what’s most attractive about it is the Cinderella factor.
If the true goal of a postseason is to find the best team in a given sport, single-elimination isn’t the optimum approach.
… Before this NBA season, Paine ran similar simulations, using the actual NBA season structure, and found that the best team has about a 48% chance of winning the title. So his latest results suggest that the NBA’s structure more than doubles the chances of the best team winning compared to an NFL-like season. An earlier study by Pro Football Reference’s Doug Drinen suggested the best NFL team wins about 24% of the time. So enjoy the Super Bowl, but don’t assume the winner is the NFL’s best team. Nor is the NBA champ, necessarily, but the chances are far higher.
Believe it or not, I’m not bringing this up to suggest that it’s the BCS that’s the superior format. It’s to remind everyone that, as Ed Gunther has so eloquently put it, “… in the end, it all boils down to whether or not you want your champion to be the best (even if that’s disputable) or if you want them to be undisputable (even if they’re not the best).”
Oh, and the money, of course. In the end, that’s what the postseason is really about, at least for the folks running it.