From his “Turnovers = Turnaround” post yesterday:
… As I previously stated, if a team received bad breaks the year before, they will usually be headed for better fortune the following year. In the past 17 years, there have been 208 teams that have finished the season minus double-digits in turnovers. Of those 208 teams, 143 (69%) have had better records the next year! Teams with a negative double-digit TO ratio had the same or stronger records 80% of the time since 1996. Which teams are headed for better fortunes and better seasons?
Last year a record high 17 teams made the “Going Up” box which meant they had suffered negative double digit turnovers in 2008 and were poised to receive better fortune. Of the 17 teams, 13 (or 76.5%!) had a better record than 2008, 1 had the same record and only 3 of the 17 (17.6%) had a weaker record.
As you can see, Georgia is number two on that chart, with a bullet. It’s one of only two schools there that finished 2009 with a winning record.
Oh, by the way Alabama and Arkansas, something to keep in mind…
Teams with a positive double-digit TO ratio had the same or weaker record 77.0% of the time since 1996.