I’ve got a couple of good statistical exercises to share with the interested Georgia fan.
First, Year2 finds – again – that penalties don’t have much of an effect on wins and losses over the long haul. I know a lot of Dawg fans like to harp on the high number of penalties Georgia has incurred over the past couple of seasons as a key factor in why things went awry, but the truth is that plenty of winning teams draw lots of flags.
On the other hand, I doubt there’s a single person who followed Georgia’s 2008 season who would be surprised by this:
Here is the bottom line. There is value in determining who gained worthwhile momentum during the last 3-5 games of the season, but you should not spend even five seconds attempting to derive value in bowl performances.