Even the most rabidly pessimistic Dawg fan would have to admit that Aaron Murray’s play to date has been a pleasant surprise. In fact, you could argue, judging from this statistical comparison with four of his predecessors, that he’s not getting enough credit for his start.
Two things in particular which jump out from those numbers are (1) how consistent the redshirt freshman has been…
Another telling statistic is the variation in the passer ratings for each quarterback over that five game span, i.e., the difference in each player’s efficiency between their best game and their worst game over the five game stretch described above.
Greene: 131.1 (215.5 – 84.4)
Shockley: 157.7 (236.6 – 78.9)
Stafford: 94.2 (203.3 – 109.1)
Cox: 156.31 (256.00 – 99.69)
Murray: 18.19 (157.27 – 139.08)
What this tells me is that Murray, despite not having the gaudy statistical game that all of these guys had at one point during their five game stretches, is far more consistent – at least to this point in the season…
and (2) that he’s amassed those stats despite only having A.J. Green as a target in one game (a game in which Durham didn’t play, by the way).
His early play has caught his head coach by surprise.
“Aaron has done well. I think he’s thrown for over 60 percent. I don’t know exactly how many TD’s he’s thrown but his touchdown-interception ratio is very good. He’s making decisions that are very wise so far. He just hasn’t thrown the ball up for grabs. Even the pick last week, it was a situation where he might have held the ball a hair or two too long, but he was getting hit as he released it and didn’t see the guy coming. He’s overall made very good decisions on not throwing the ball up for grabs. I think his ability to run is even better than I thought it would be. His ability to avoid trouble and to actually cross the line of scrimmage and get some first downs, that’s been even better than I thought it would be. I knew he was a good athlete, but I didn’t know he would be able to make that many plays. There are times where he needs to get to his second receiver a little bit quicker, and he needs to be a little more accurate here and there like most guys. To wrap up what he’s done considering he’s a first-year starter and a freshman, he has done very well. I’ve been pretty proud of him.”
*********************************************************************
UPDATE: It looks like Murray won’t have his full ensemble of receivers this week, either.