I guess it’s Statistics Day at Get The Picture. College Football Outsiders tipped me off to this post at California Golden Blogs, about a different metric for assessing quarterback efficiency. Given the nature of the college game these days, this makes a lot of sense:
… Utah State sports economist David Berri devised a more intuitive formula that addresses some of the common criticisms lobbed at the passer efficiency rating. Berri calls his measure the QB Score and it looks like this:
QB Score = Total Yards – (3 x Plays) – (50 x Turnovers)
The traditional passer efficiency rating tends to take on a “more is better” approach: if players throw a bunch of TDs and hundreds of yards, they can get away with a fairly high turnover rate. Berri’s measure has a different philosophy: if you generate yards and avoid turnovers, you will be rewarded…
A conference by conference application of Berri’s formula yielded this for the SEC:
SEC Player QB Score Efficiency Rating Cam Newton, Auburn 1645 182.0 Greg McElroy, Alabama 1106 169.0 Aaron Murray, Georgia 729 154.5 Ryan Mallett, Arkansas 630 163.7 Mike Hartline, Kentucky 482 146.4 Chris Relf, Mississippi St 360 141.0 Ryan Aplin, Arkansas St 123 133.3 Jarrett Lee, LSU 80 119.9 Matt Simms, Tennessee -118 129.3 Stephen Garcia, South Carolina -181 148.7 Larry Smith, Vanderbilt -296 94.3 Tyler Bray, Tennessee -486 142.7 Jared Funk, Vanderbilt -581 102.0 Jeremiah Masoli, Ole Miss -618 121.1 Jordan Jefferson, LSU -635 114.7 Spencer Keith, Kentucky -689 111.3 John Brantley, Florida -693 116.4
Nice year, John Brantley.
Seriously, though, Aaron Murray acquits himself quite nicely there, better than Ryan Mallett. And notice how big a gap appears between Murray and last year’s other heralded freshman quarterback, Tyler Bray.
One related item worth noting: Kellen Moore is good. You would think that Cam Newton’s running ability would have pushed him past Moore in QB Score, but that wasn’t the case. Let’s hope Todd Grantham comes up with a few wrinkles for the Georgia Dome.