I’m not predicting Mark Richt’s fate here, but something to consider if 2011 goes south in a very bad way is how McGarity goes about choosing a successor. It’s a decision that most Richt haters and change-worshipers brush off, but as this chart by the estimable Bill Connelly demonstrates, where you shop for the replacement matters big time.
Two-year change at BCS Conferences Based on Coaching Type
Coaching Type N 1st Yr
Applicable 2010 Teams College Assistant 30 -0.8% +1.4% Florida State, Kentucky, Louisville, Vanderbilt BCS Conf. Coach 18 +0.5% +5.4% Notre Dame, Texas Tech, USC Non-BCS Conf. Coach 12 -0.8% +2.3% Cincinnati, Kansas, South Florida, Tennessee Fired BCS Conf. Coach 5 +2.0% -1.1% NFL 7 -7.6% -4.8% FCS Coach 4 -5.0% -16.0% Virginia Grand Total 76 -1.2% +0.8%
It’s pretty much a no-brainer to go after a successful college head coach. Keep that in mind the next time you see a wish list circulate.