This is the most pessimistic preseason outlook about Georgia I’ve seen so far:
… Georgia has been a fairly popular pick to win the East, largely because they lucked into missing Bama, Arkansas and LSU from the West. However, Georgia was simply not a particularly good team in 2010, and they lost a lot in the draft (3rd most in SEC), and they only have 10 returning starters (including QB), and they had a +10 turnover margin in 2010 that is unlikely to repeat itself. That’s a lot of baggage to overcome if they want to make serious noise in the SEC. Like with Florida, it’s certainly possible, but it’ll be a tough road. And it’ll be an even tougher road to hit 9+ wins, as that target could be all but over before late September if they start 0-2. Don’t be stunned if this team has at least three losses before they play Florida (who usually beats them); Boise, South Carolina and Tennessee are all nasty tests, and both of the Mississippi schools are capable of pulling out a win.
There’s no question that if Georgia starts out 0-2, the bottom could fall out, relatively speaking (a 5- or 6-loss regular season). But at this point, who the hell knows what’s going to happen out of the gate?
And I’ve got to say, if that computer model is so down on Georgia, it’s hard to see how it can be so positive about Tennessee, which has less depth (particularly on defense), worse special teams and a tougher conference schedule than do the Dawgs. All I can come up with is inertia and how the last month of the 2010 season concluded for both schools.