The standard warning about correlation not be the same thing as causation notwithstanding, this is pretty striking data from Bill Connelly:
Last year in the SEC, teams with big-time No. 1 targets (defined here as receivers averaging at least 10.0 yards per target) went a combined 27-10 in conference; teams with No. 1’s averaging fewer than 10 yards per target went just 21-35 (15-33 if you remove LSU’s trend-bucking Tigers).
A.J. Green was one of those targets.
I don’t have target data for Georgia’s receivers for this season, but if you compare receiving stats for this season against last year’s, you’ll see that overall yards per catch numbers are lower, by almost two ypc. The only receiver in 2011 who might meet Connelly’s definition is Orson Charles.
The passing stats show that the Dawgs are throwing the ball more this year, but have shortened the passing attack. Given the struggles with pass blocking, that’s probably wise. But you wonder how much they’re going to miss the deep game they had with A.J.