I’m not going to predict Florida’s or South Carolina’s fate tomorrow (I’m especially clueless about Florida-Auburn), but there sure is a lot at stake, particularly for the Gators.
Auburn is a game with huge consequences for Florida. Win and Muschamp’s team continues to control its destiny. Lose and the chance of winning the East gets very, very slim. Not only would the Gators have to run the table with the rest of their conference schedule, they’d also have to have both Georgia and South Carolina lose another SEC game. That’s a lot to hope for.
From a purely Georgia perspective, though, I’m not sure Florida winning or losing on the Plains matters so much, simply because I think the Dawgs have to win in Jacksonville no matter what to have a legitimate shot to get back to Atlanta at season’s end.
That’s not the situation in Starkville. As long as Georgia and Florida keep winning, South Carolina can’t lose. One slip up and the ‘Cocks lose their tiebreaker advantage with the Dawgs.
One other scheduling note to consider: for all the focus on which of the three has the hardest path against the West, it’s also important to remember which of them have games left against the weakest teams in the East. South Carolina has already played Vandy and Kentucky; Florida has yet to play Vanderbilt. Georgia hasn’t played either, until tomorrow. (By the way, if you now lump Tennessee in with those two, keep in mind that South Carolina’s record in Knoxville is 1-14.)
How do you think things will look in the East around 11:00 tomorrow night?