More stats for you this morning, as we look at what might be fueling Georgia’s surge this season.
Bruce Feldman has a good piece up on Iowa State’s offensive coordinator and his philosophy about winning what he calls the “double positive”. What’s that?
… Herman’s big on preaching to his players about trying to win “the double positive,” he explains of his biggest stat barometer.
“If you win the turnover battle and the ‘explosive’ game, stats say you win the game 97 percent of the time. [Emphasis added.] We preach that to our kids daily. I think I read a study a few years ago about it and it’s certainly held up in all of my years as a coordinator. I think there’s maybe been one game where we lost them both and still won the game and that happened this year against Northern Iowa.”
Herman defines explosive plays as running plays of 12+ yards and passing plays of +16 yards.
I thought I’d take a stab at seeing how that applies to Georgia’s season.
Turnover margin was the easy part to run down. This season, the Dawgs are undefeated in the six games in which they have a positive turnover margin and they’ve lost the only game with a negative one (which leaves them 2-1 in games with a balanced margin).
Unfortunately, I couldn’t find where Marty tracks explosive plays on a game-by-game basis, so unless I find somebody else with a database on that, it’s something I’ll have to count by hand (that sounds like a good subject for an offseason post). But you can find season totals for big running and passing plays at cfbstats.com, and those show that Georgia is on the right side of these stats as well.
- Offensive running plays of 10+ yards: 63 (1st in the SEC)
- Defensive running plays of 10+ yards: 35 (3rd in the SEC)
- Offensive passing plays of 20+ yards: 31 (2nd in the SEC)
- Defensive passing plays of 20+ yards: 20 (4th in the SEC)
By the way, you may notice that Georgia’s conference standing in those statistical categories is better on offense than it is on defense. There’s something else you can blame on Bobo.