One of the more valuable services Matt Hinton provides is his annual reminder that, quite simply, “(t)he better your recruiting rankings by the gurus, the better your chances of winning games, against all classes.”
You want an illustration of what that means? Okay, here’s a handy chart:
No, there are no guarantees in life. There are plenty of five-star busts. There are any number of unheralded recruits who turn out to be raging success stories. But when your typical five-star player has a ten-times better chance of becoming an All-American than does your average three-star recruit (and a one hundred-times better shot than a two-star kid!), then you have to play the odds if you’ve got the opportunity to do so. It’s simple math.