For Auburn to have a real shot today, it seems to me that it’s going to have to do something about big plays.
We all know Georgia’s story on offense about that – the Dawgs are currently ranked third in the country in offensive plays of 20 yards or more. (Texas A&M, which destroyed the Tigers 63-21, is first.) But when you run through the full comparisons on big plays, it looks especially grim for Auburn:
- Auburn – 73rd on offense; 96th on defense
- Georgia – 3rd on offense; 25th on defense
What makes those numbers even worse from Auburn’s standpoint is that one thing Georgia’s defense has done well all season is force three-and-outs. It ranks third nationally forcing 50 three-and-outs, an average of 5.5 per game. Meanwhile, Auburn is 121st in the country in third down conversion percentage. That’s not a good combination if you’re the Tiger offense.
It’s hard to see how Auburn keeps things close if VanGorder can’t find a way to keep Georgia’s offense from breaking off a few big plays. The Tigers lack the offensive firepower to trade punches.