Dawg stat watch, Week 13

With the final step in the regular season journey taken, here’s how this year’s team finished against its predecessors who also traveled to Atlanta (stats via cfbstats.com):

  1. Hold opponents under 18 points per game.  As a team, Georgia yielded 17.7 ppg.
  2. Finish at least +8 in turnover margin.  Georgia’s turnover margin is +9.
  3. Average better than 380 yards per game on offense.  Georgia’s offense averaged 463.7 ypg.
  4. Finish in the top five in total defensive yardage.  Georgia’s defense ranks sixth in total defense.
  5. Finish in the top three in first downs.  Georgia is fourth in first downs.
  6. Finish no worse than third in passing yardage.  Georgia is fourth in passing yardage.
  7. Finish no worse than third in sacks.  Georgia is tenth in sacks.

Two categories, defensive scoring and turnover margin, clicked in place after the Tech game.  I tend to see the near misses in defensive yardage, first downs and passing yardage as a consequence of league expansion.  Really, the only thing that’s a true outlier is the sack ranking, some of which can be chalked up to Jarvis Jones missing a couple of games and finishing out the season with two triple-option offenses.  I’ll no doubt return to this in the offseason, but if you pushed me, I’d say what the data shows is that the first three categories are the keys to watching whether a Richt-coached squad is destined for SEC success.

7 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

7 responses to “Dawg stat watch, Week 13

  1. timphd

    Hope the guys keep the turnover ratio positive Saturday. If they don’t give the ball away, they will have a great shot at beating Bammer. Hope Murray stays hot!

  2. Oh they are destined for Success ..huge big wonderful success. Thank you G-D.

  3. Fun With a Purpose:

    We rank very highly nationally in plays over 20 yards (we rank highly in plays of 10+ yards but the numbers spike when you move to 20+; we go from teens to top 3-4 in every yard category up to 70 or something); A&M leads the SEC in first downs and they rank highly as well (for the record it’s 221 plays of 10+ for them, 201 for us). I reckon that having an unusual number of those sorts of plays can screw with your first down numbers though, and not in a deterministic way. Also, A&M has a whopping 28 first downs from penalties. We have 11 (#s 2 and 3 have 17 each).

    Alabama’s defense leads the SEC in only having allowed 89 plays of 10+ yards. Nobody else is even close.

  4. Obviously, we have to blame Grantham since we can no longer blame Bobo. I mean, those defense stats are horrendous.