Tavarres King’s step up season

Here’s something I posted about Tavarres King a little over a year ago:

King’s numbers are interesting.  His catch rate is barely above 50%, but some of that can be attributed to the number of deep routes he ran.  What’s really noteworthy is the breakdown of his catch rate between standard downs (63.3%) and passing downs (38.5%).  Despite that disparity, he was actually targeted more on passing downs than on standard downs.  For comparison’s sake Charles’ standard down catch rate was 72.7% and passing down catch rate was 56.5%; Mitchell’s respective rates were 71.4% and 78.9%.  Both Charles and Mitchell were targeted less on passing downs than on standard downs.

Of course, I can’t say whether that was by design (i.e., the play call) or the way that Murray let the play develop, but either way, it seems there should be some focus on making the passing game more efficient with the targeting of the big (in terms of numbers) receivers.

There were two ways to accomplish that.  One would have been to throw to receivers with better catch rates.  The other would have been for King to step up his game.

Per Bill Connelly, that’s exactly what happened.  If you click on the link that takes you to Bill’s spreadsheet, you’ll find that King improved his catch rate numbers across the board, with his catch rate percentage on passing downs skyrocketing to 57.7%.

Bill’s come up with a new metric to judge receivers.  Here’s how he describes it:

The idea behind RYPR is to figure out who were the most truly dangerous receivers in the country in a given year. (In this sense, “RYPR” is a pretty good, menacing name, huh?) It combines your yards per target data with a look at the frequency with which your team passed and the quality of the passing game as a whole. It isn’t a measure of pure productivity, necessarily, but pure per-target quality.

In other words, the more your team passed, the more your team passed to you and the more yardage you gained on your catches, the better your RYPR.  King’s 2011 RYPR was 109.9, good for 73rd nationally.  His 2012 number was 184.7, good enough to be eighth best in the country.  That’s what you want out of your #1 receiving option.

King is gone, but if you want some good news for Georgia’s passing game in 2013, check out Malcolm Mitchell’s catch rates last season.  Talk about your heir apparent.

12 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

12 responses to “Tavarres King’s step up season

  1. pantslesspatdye

    My initial thoughts were how awesome is this metric (in gauging performance & as a catchy acronym). However, due to the acronym, there’s no way this puppy makes it to ESPN. Therefore, there’s no way most sports writers will ever hear of it.

    I see all of this as a good thing. Malcolm Mitchell, as well.

  2. DawgPhan

    I wish the spreadsheet had the formulas…I was going to play the what if game with Mitchell. As usual, Connelly comes through with the goods.

  3. William

    I just loved for TK, that last year he had big drops, and this year he was Mr. Clutch! That catch against AL (the one where he got his bell rung) was as good a catch as you’ll see.

  4. By Georgia We Did It

    Hated that he didn’t get that last TD against Nebraska.

  5. Year Team Player Rk (Year) Rk (All) Targets Catches Yards CatchRate YdsPerTarget Target % YdsPerCatch Target No.
    2012 Georgia Tavarres King 8 74 68 42 950 61.8% 14.0 17.9% 22.6 1
    2012 Georgia Malcolm Mitchell 65 560 52 40 572 76.9% 11.0 13.7% 14.3 2
    2012 Georgia Marlon Brown 116 943 40 26 461 65.0% 11.5 10.5% 17.7 3
    2012 Georgia Arthur Lynch 132 1079 34 24 431 70.6% 12.7 8.9% 18.0 4
    2012 Georgia Michael Bennett 209 1578 34 24 345 70.6% 10.1 8.9% 14.4 5
    2012 Georgia Chris Conley 212 1599 32 20 342 62.5% 10.7 8.4% 17.1 6
    2012 Georgia Rantavious Wooten 450 3338 27 15 187 55.6% 6.9 7.1% 12.5 7
    2012 Georgia Jay Rome 536 3987 17 11 152 64.7% 8.9 4.5% 13.8 11
    2012 Georgia Rhett McGowan 541 4026 19 12 150 63.2% 7.9 5.0% 12.5 9
    2012 Georgia Justin Scott-Wesley 597 4424 9 6 135 66.7% 15.0 2.4% 22.5 12
    2012 Georgia Todd Gurley 667 4903 20 16 117 80.0% 5.9 5.3% 7.3 8
    2012 Georgia Keith Marshall 766 5703 18 11 91 61.1% 5.1 4.7% 8.3 10
    2012 Georgia Merritt Hall 1381 10317 5 2 19 40.0% 3.8 1.3% 9.5 13

  6. The984

    Come on, Senator. With an article about a passing game and the belief that Mitchell will be the #1 guy next year for sure, you should have labelled him the Air Apparent. Need more puns.

  7. Uglydawg

    It would be interesting to know the percent of the times a reciever was passed to, and his stats on catching…when he was primary reciever vs a check-off or safety valve. I believe Murray was very succesful at hooking up with the primary guy. (I’m thinking on most pass plays there is a primary and a default )..The default guy would be getting a later throw and maybe a hotter ball to handle or one not thrown with the QB set solidly in the pocket.

  8. Hogbody Spradlin

    I ain’t no stats guy. Math and numbers are for work. But when Bennett and Mitchell went down this year, Tavarres gave it the old college try to make a man proud. The bomb against Nebraska was a work of art.

  9. Keese

    Yeah, but wasn’t our pass defense statistically much better this year compared to 2011? My thought was Murray threw more quality passes on passing downs this year. Much more effective with the deep pass this year.

    • Keese

      ‘Pass protection

      • Uglydawg

        Although it did make a huge difference, AM seems to get in his zone after he’s been flushed from the pocket a time or two. He’s pretty good at finding and hitting his recievers when he’s on the run.