Friend of the blog (and studly political blogger himself) Ed Kilgore asked me an interesting question:
BCS rules require a Top 14 finish for any non-conference-champion to be eligible for a BCS bowl.
Looking at the remaining SEC games (and the championship), there’s a non-trivial chance that no SEC team other than Bama will finish with fewer than 3 losses. Is it possible Bama will go to the championship game yet the SEC will be shut out of the Sugar Bowl?
Actually, yeah, there’s a decent possibility of that happening if the Tide runs the regular season table. Take a look at the current SEC standings. There are five teams with one or two losses: Missouri and South Carolina in the East, and Auburn, LSU and Texas A&M in the West. LSU and TAMU will face off; so will Missouri and TAMU. LSU and Auburn have to face Alabama. Auburn also plays Georgia. South Carolina may not have an extremely tough conference game left on its schedule, but it does have the season finale with Clemson.
Then, one of the East squads faces ‘Bama in the SECCG.
To me, if Alabama goes 12-0, it looks like Auburn and whichever of Missouri and South Carolina doesn’t play in Atlanta have the best chances of avoiding that third loss. Would that be enough to avoid missing out on finishing ranked highly enough? What do you guys think?