This strong sense of pessimism many of you are giving about Georgia’s chances Saturday makes me feel weird, like there’s some big secret news you know about that I’m not privy to. (Gurley’s not hurt, is he?) Because on paper, it’s hard for me to see what’s the basis for all the gloom and doom.
For instance, take the advanced stats appraisal of the game.
The F/+ and S&P+ View of Tennessee-Georgia
When UT Has the ball…
When UGA has the ball…
F/+ Rk (Overall)
F/+ Change From Last Week
S&P+ Rk (Overall)
Rushing S&P+ Rk
Passing S&P+ Rk
It’s not close. Where Georgia is weak, Tennessee is even weaker. And where UT is at its best, the Dawgs are dominant.
You guys gesture at a shaky Georgia secondary and fret. I look at Tennessee’s offensive line and understand why Leonard Floyd can barely contain his glee.
Georgia beat Clemson at home by 24 points. Tennessee’s defense isn’t as good as Clemson’s. Georgia lost on the road to South Carolina by a mere three points. Tennessee’s offense isn’t as good as South Carolina’s.
Believe me, I get the any given Saturday aspect of this game as much as the next guy. But it’s Tennessee that hemorrhages turnovers on the road to ranked teams.
What am I missing here, guys?