If you’re looking for a contrarian analysis of the Georgia-Auburn game, Bleacher Report’s Barrett Sallee and Michael Felder think Auburn wins because of Auburn’s run defense.
More than that, there’s only been one game so far this year in which an opposing defense has held Georgia’s running game under the defense’s average yards per rush on the season. (And that game, South Carolina, was more a result of how lousy the Gamecocks’ defense has been in general (5.90 ypc), not the team shutting down Georgia’s running attack (5.71 ypc)). That includes the games against Clemson’s 4th ranked rushing defense (8.00 ypc) and the 15th ranked Florida run defense (4.41 ypc). So I’m not sure where the confidence in Auburn’s run defense is coming from.
I think Saturday is going to be a track meet. Turnovers are likely to be the key; if not, it may very well turn out to be a case of last team with the ball wins. But I don’t think either team will be slowing down the other’s running game.