More proof that FPI is the new QBR

The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.”

So obviously, we can take this bad boy to the bank.

I guess ESPN was really impressed with G-Day.

17 Comments

Filed under ESPN Is The Devil, Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

17 responses to “More proof that FPI is the new QBR

  1. I disagree with the headline. Clearly, while QBR is a made-up statistic that doesn’t matter, FPI is a valid statistical model based on real-life information honed over the course of centuries to reach the perfect conclusion as to this year’s SEC.

    sarcasm off

    Like

  2. Jack Klompus

    Fox Sports is very pro-Bauta

    Like

    • Hullinger (local Fox affiliate) had a guest on Sunday night who was high on Lambert because he is tall .wtf…maybe we can mount a cell tower on him for better connectivity. I’m afraid this is like the SEC media making their pick….who ever they pick is screwed. Just don’t let the players buy into this crap.

      Like

  3. kckd

    Didn’t this thing have us as a virtual lock to win the East right up until Mizzou’s last game?

    Like

  4. 3rdandGrantham

    That FPI makes me nervous in that it gives UT just as good of a chance of winning the SEC as it does Bama.

    Like

  5. Irwin R. Fletcher

    The same index has UGA as the 3rd best team in the SEC.

    http://espn.go.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings

    The SEC % is so high because the “Index” says 6 of the top 17 teams in the country are in the SEC West.

    Funny, you look at their index and it basically tells you that schools like OSU, Baylor, Oregon…they are good and play in weaker conferences. Funny how that doesn’t fit the meme they are setting up this preseason with “how the SEC has fallen”.

    Like

  6. Cojones

    While the conversation is beginning to drift concerning Tenn and Aub as the rabbits who pull the magician out of the hat, ESPN may be pouring water on my anticipated Oracle-ing move this season. Unsung LSU is probably going to win the West and play us in the SECCG and ESPN just called attention to that with the thundering 3% chance on Aub. While Tenn is still up there, that will change downward as their games evolve and everyone realizes that the storm can’t match the wind of hype. At least everyone seems to be taking Gus’s hype about his D-coor with less gusto after perusing the team’s chances. I’ll never understand how a Coach’s assessment of his own team’s chances could detour the analysts as much as Tenn and Aub’s self-analysis has done. Meanwhile LSU has quietly assembled another good team and the absence of Chavis won’t be felt as much as predicted by some.

    This provides a caution to us for anticipating how much our D will improve with the addition of new players without the fire of the arena thrown into the calculation. Here’s hoping Pruitt can pull the proverbial rabbit out of the briar patch, the secondary performs beyond what’s hoped for and we have a whole team effort before midseason.

    Like

    • Cojones, good post. LSU has athletes stacked like firewood because they have the highest fence in the country around the HS talent in Louisiana. Miles does some crazy things but is a darn good football coach. If the Bayou Bengals find a QB, they are clearly the “sleeper” team in the West. It may be trendy to pick the Gus Bus/Boom, but … The line of scrimmage wins in the SEC, and LSU probably has better overall talent on both lines. I think the West comes down to 11/7 in T-town.

      Like

    • Irwin R. Fletcher

      It is interesting the Auburn is getting little love there…they play UGA, but so does Bama. Bama also draws U10 while Auburn draws Kentucky. Auburn has UGA, Bama, Miss St, and Ole Miss at Home.

      I don’t think FPI takes into account the departure of Chavis or the addition of Muschamp. (or the loss of Bobo for that matter) …but ‘statistics’!

      Like

      • Cojones

        The mention of Chavis was my opinion of why the pundits have given LSU short shrift previously when rating the West powers and wasn’t based on FPI rankings. Could have thrown in too early QBR as well. Quite frankly, I think their game against Aub will be like clubbing baby seals. By the time that that particular game starts I also predict that Aub D will not stack up against LSU D. People forget that LSU D has been devastated by those leaving early for the draft two years running. They have quietly reassembled talent that a D idiot could make competitive.

        Like

        • Irwin R. Fletcher

          “They have quietly reassembled talent that a D idiot could make competitive.”

          The Two Thumbs resents that joke.

          Like

    • “…Coach’s assessment of his own team’s chances…Aub’s self-analysis…”

      Huh?

      Like

      • Cojones

        Sorry to take so long to review. That was a shot across the bloviation bow of Sarge’s elevation of QB talent to fit the WRs of his new class(in my view) and Gus’s rant about Muschamp being the best in the land (therefore will shore up his analysis of why he lost last year [poor D]).

        Like

  7. Reservoir Dawg

    Is this the same outfit that picked Bama to win the West and Auburn to win the SEC? I get so confused.

    Like

    • Cojones

      A lot of us have been confused and frustrated by inability to conjure up how that could be. Course it probably explains why sports writers aren’t living off the fat of their Vegas winnings.

      Like