The case for 10-2

Since I’m working out my SEC predictions post, it stands to reason that I’m thinking hard about where I expect Georgia’s regular season to wind up from the relatively uninformed perch I occupy with a week-plus of preseason practice still to go.  I haven’t made my mind up yet, but the header is a fair indication of where I’m basing my analysis; in other words, while I’m not quite ready to go out on a limb and call for ten regular season wins, my take on 2015 seems to be going from that mark as a starting point.

Georgia won nine regular season games in 2014.  The funny thing about that is, before that season started, it’s about where most of us expected the Dawgs would wind up.  Unfortunately, our expectations, along with a lot of other folks’, got ratched up along the way, which resulted in a mark that was simultaneously expected and disappointing.

With that in mind, looking for Georgia to add one more to the win column in 2015 isn’t that huge a reach.  (It’s not a slam dunk, either, mind you.)  But as I ask myself for justification, I keep coming back to four factors, in no particular order.

  • The defense.  I’m not all in, if that’s what you’re expecting.  The descent of Todd Grantham is still lurking in the back of my brain.  But I am convinced about a couple of things.  One, there’s a clear increase in the level of talent that Jeremy Pruitt has at his disposal.  And I think that’s going to payoff at every level of the defense, including the defensive line, probably the biggest area of concern from the end of last season.  Two, as I’ve said, I’m a believer in a defensive coordinator’s impact on a defense in his second year of coaching.  And before you yell Grantham’s name, think back to what happened in 2011, starting with the Mississippi State game and rolling all the way through the first half of the SECCG.  That defense balled.  (I look at Martinez as an extension of VanGorder’s regime, so he’s the exception that proves my rule, in case you’re wondering.)
  • Advanced stats.  Again, it’s not so much that I’m all in.  It’s more that I can’t discount what they tell you about a team.  And what they say is that Georgia’s operated at a high level, relative to most other programs.  The problem, as we know all too well, is that Georgia hasn’t operated at a high level consistently.  Which means advanced stats aren’t a guarantee of ten wins so much as they strongly indicate to me Georgia won’t be much worse than a nine-win team.
  • Offensive strengths > offensive weaknesses.  Really, if you must have questions about the starting quarterback and depth at wide receiver, how nice is that depth at running back and the quality of the offensive line to have as a fall back?  As a bonus, if you look up and down the schedule, most of Georgia’s opponents are facing greater offensive woes than Schottenheimer has to work around.
  • The schedule.  More specifically, the early schedule, which sets up nicely for a certain game on October 3rd:  two cupcakes, including the opener; an SEC road game against the division’s weakest opponent; and Spurrier coming to Athens with a team that has more questions than any he’s coached in a few years.  Admittedly, there are no guarantees in life, but those four games are certainly amenable to sorting out the quarterback question, developing depth and giving the starters the opportunity to stay fresher.  Not to mention there’s the potential momentum of rolling into that Alabama game as an undefeated top ten squad.  If Georgia manages to make hay while the sun shines, it makes it that much easier to get to ten wins.

If I’m so rosy about all that, why two losses as a benchmark?  Well, to start with, I think it’s prudent to figure on a split with the teams from the West, which is not to say that Georgia couldn’t surprise, but, still.  And there’s that pesky brain fart factor.  I don’t pencil in the Florida game as an automatic loss anymore (thanks, Aaron Murray, Todd Gurley and Jarvis Jones!), but I do pencil in one unexpected L until proven otherwise.

So… that’s where I’m at this Monday morning.  Where are you?

94 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football

94 responses to “The case for 10-2

  1. AceDawg

    South Carolina will forever be a tough game with Spurrier there. As tough as Bama or Auburn this year because it just is.

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  2. Corbindawg

    But to your point about the 2006 defense under Martinez in his second year, I want to say the defense gave up something like 16 ppg that season. Aside from the Tennessee debacle, i can’t recall a single game of over 24 points.

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    • Yeah, but you could see the cracks starting to appear. It didn’t play as well as the 2005 defense.

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      • Hogbody Spradlin

        2005 Auburn and Sugar Bowl were both on Willie. I remember players saying they didn’t know what coverage we were in on Auburn’s big play, and the D just mailed it in against West Virginia. That one grated for a long time because half the people on the Grand Strand moved here from West Virginia. Never heard a peep from them before; they never shut up after.

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        • Scorpio Jones, III

          Would assume they pretty quiet now, though. 🙂

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        • In my neighborhood we have a mostly Georgia crowd. Yes there is the SC fan with the big 3 foot high rooster he pretends is lawn art. Shared with me what that art cost him. Lol. And Mr. “T” who use to run a giant T flag up a pole. Haven’t seen it for awhile. But was I ever surprised to discover the closet Tech fan who placed the sign “We run this state” in his front yard. He also jogs in his Tech gear now and golfs with Mr. T. I told my bride I was going to make a sign this season that stated ” 8-0 at Mark Richt Field, Bobby Dodd Stadium” She did not shared my enthusiasm. Things were different when my sons were in junior high. We ran this neighborhood! 😉

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          • Uglydawg

            Of all those pesky neighbors, I’d suffer the GT idiot the least. They are absolutley the deepest boring termites in the college football world, and come out the fastest and with the most flair whenever Georgia screws up enough to give them the very occasional win.
            Many of them don’t know a touchdown from a bunt…but they can read a scoreboard…
            My advice…secretly get a pitbull and train him to hate baby-shit yellow and turn him loose at jogging time…And take pictures to post as Dawgporn.

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          • Macallanlover

            I would limit my conversation/attention to SEC rivals Tech just isn’t worthy, they cut and ran….no wonder they wear piss yellow.

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        • It was 1 guy who “didn’t know what coverage we were in on Auburn’s big play,” namely, free safety Trae Battle. He got a concussion on the play before and did not take himself out. He did not know what coverage we were in because his brain was not functioning due to the concussion . No other player denied knowing the coverage.

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  3. Dean

    I keep looking at the KY game as the brain fart game. Sandwiched between FL and AU, it’s set up perfectly to be a let down game.

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  4. Jim

    Hard to argue with you logic or conclusion

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  5. Scorpio Jones, III

    I find your 10-2 thing almost rational….yet there are, to me, quite a few little question marks…the kind that get you beat in a close game. Kicking game, quarterback poise under game level pressure, ball security (runnng backs, cough, cough)…oh, and did I mention all aspects of the kicking game?

    BTW…watched last year’s Arn Bowl last night…how could anybody have been surprised at Bama’s thud in the playoffs?

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    • Cojones

      Richt says the kicking game is on course to be a good’un and that all kicking aspects have improved. Maybe they aren’t in the worry category this year.

      ‘Vertently or inadvertently, you’ve placed your typing finger on what worries us – the QB play in the arena – not the QB talent level. What is most worrying is that Richt is worried about that also.

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  6. Bulldog Joe

    12-0. Let’s do this!

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  7. TennesseeDawg

    Outback Bowl! Book those Tampa hotel rooms now to get the best rates.

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  8. Hard to argue with that logic of course. But having said that, I’m leaning towards either:

    A) a (close) loss to Bama, let down loss at Tennessee, and then a bed shitter against either Florida or Tech. That gets us to 9-3

    B) a win vs Bama, win at UT, bed shitter against Florida with a regular season capping beat down of the Nerds.

    C) Scratch all of the above. I have no earthly idea what to expect.

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    • Mayor

      I actually think the bed-shitting days are over now that Pruitt has had another full year with everybody–not just the D.. I also think the end of game screw-up that suddenly flips a win to a loss left town and is now in Colorado. We’ll see.

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      • Cosmic Dawg

        Whether you’re referring to the SC game where we only scored a measly 35 points or the Tech game where Bobo’s insane playcalling caused two goal line fumbles, otherwise we would have scored 38, I couldn’t agree more.

        From http://www.georgiadogs.com, January 8th:
        Georgia’s record-setting offense in 2014 led the Southeastern Conference in scoring…[and] Georgia tallied 537 points and averaged 41.3 points a game, both school records.

        I don’t care if he is a Georgia alum, glad that bum’s gone so he can’t screw up any more football games.

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  9. Dawgaholic

    Can’t disagree with you too much here on the conclusion. I’m not big into the “brain fart” meme though as I define it where the team simply does not show up. The only games in recent memory that I think fit that description are SCe in 12 and UF in 14.

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    • I’m using BF as a catch all for the game every season that’s a total head scratcher. Sometimes, it’s a close call, like Tech. Sometimes it’s not, like the Gators.

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      • Dawgaholic

        Ok, understand what you’re saying. Still think Tech had as much to do with a poor squib kick and poor job by the spy as the decision to squib it. A deep kick with poor execution would have yielded a bad result too and the squib essentially eliminated the chance of Tech scoring a TD late.

        Same with SC. Got to believe that HM14 can get rid of the ball without a grounding call if the play is not there. Conventional wisdom would be for SC to load up to stop the run on 1st down and then potentially try to stop a pass on 2nd. Also, got to think Morgan makes the kick if it all goes bad.

        Not to be an apologist but they make plenty of risky calls that work and no one ever says much. Fake FG against Bama, 4th down in 2nd qtr against Auburn with a gimme FG just to name a couple. We also had a TD against Carolina earlier in the 2nd half where we threw from pretty close to the goal line. All these people complained because they could call Richt/Bobo’s plays before we ran them and then they complained when we did something unconventional.

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        • AusDawg85

          Remember 2013 when Murray throws out of the endzone to Hicks in the flats for that big first down? Hicks drops that ball and we all know who would still be squawking about it on here now.

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  10. I just do not see 10-2 with the schedule. Of course that could all change once I see the QB and DL play.

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  11. 9-3 feels about right to me. Between SoCar, Bama, Tenn, Mizzou, AUB, FLA and Tech, I have a hard time seeing UGA go 5-2. It’s certainly possible, but QB/WR issues coupled with the three game stretch of Bama-Tenn-Mizzou scares me.

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  12. Irwin R. Fletcher

    I think you have to look at the season in months. Last season, you could have told me they get through Sept (Clemson, Carolina, and Tennessee) at 3-1 and I would have been excited. I had a hard time going into the year seeing a team that would go 4-0 in any of those ‘months.’

    That’s changed this year. You have to go 4-0 in September. But October gets complicated….the least important game on the schedule is the one that will be hyped the most. The Bama game is important from a program measuring standpoint, but not as important as beating teams in the East. You go and beat Bama and then lose to either Tennessee or Mizzou…it’s like 2004 and LSU all over again…

    Best case scenario is that they go 4-0 in September, the QB situation is sorted out in a good way, and they stay healthy…get out of October 3-1 and are a top 5-7 team with a chance to win the SEC, go to CFP, etc. by running the table against UK, GA Southern and the two November rivals.

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    • charlottedawg

      This

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    • … The Bama game is important from a program measuring standpoint, but not as important as beating teams in the East. You go and beat Bama and then lose to either Tennessee or Mizzou…it’s like 2004 and LSU all over again…

      Yeah, but if you don’t beat ‘Bama, or at least play a competitive game, then it’s like 2008 all over again. 😉

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  13. charlottedawg

    10-2 sounds about right and i agree on splitting the west and getting upset once in the east.

    Right now I’m really concerned we’re not going to have a functional passing game. I really don’t want this to be 2006 all over again. If that doesn’t materialize then we’re looking at 8-4.

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    • Charlotte, good realistic comment here. I’m a “glass half full” guy when it comes to the Dawgs, but I’m as nervous as a cat in a room full of rocking chairs when it comes to our passing game right now.

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  14. Cojones

    Using Zo’s performance as an indicator for D expectations, I think that capable newbies will come forward to make your wish come true, but have to get that game experience behind them (like Zo) to make the difference near the second half of the season. Plus, until I see a man-for-man analysis of what the D-line did last year each game, there’s that silent elephant standing in the middle of the room. Wha’ hoppen? We had talent enough not to be shoved around in the running game. Add to that the bland comments of team members to what we were expecting from Trent not happening yet and my position becomes “I’ll believe it when I see it.”. Will say one thing and that’s the QBs are good enough to throw a few long TDs on the secondary, but their speed should end up taking the day.

    I put credence in the advanced stats also.

    And , yeah, the O will be O-kay. Love it that we don’t mention the TEs much, just like they are secret weapons waiting to extend Schotty’s reputation. And they are starting to click.

    One thing we should be thankful for and that’s the good practice experience our good O gets vs a good D and vice versa. The Freshmen will get good experience in SEC play by practicing with this bunch. The attrition (we are going to lose a bunch) of some great Dawg players next year will hit like a sledge hammer once the season is over. Make hay while the sun shines – indeed!

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  15. Gravidy

    I’m not sold on 10-2. Yet. To go 10-2 most likely means that they would have to beat at least five of these teams:

    SC
    Bammer
    UT
    MO
    Jorts U
    Auburn
    Tech

    Are they capable of winning five or more of those games? Certainly. But until I see them play a few games, I wouldn’t be comfortable putting any money on that happening.

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    • Uglydawg

      If any of these games stood by itself as the only game UGA had to play, I’d bet on the Dawgs in every one.
      Collectively, I’d still bet on 5-2 over 4-3…
      We all are thinking the toughest game will be Bama..
      I put them in this order of difficulty

      Bama
      MO
      Auburn
      Awful Orange
      North Ave. Trade School
      lizzards
      Small Roosters

      Please don’t be overlooking what may be a very challenging Kentucky team…everyone seems to forget them.

      GT will come into the game looking strong from having dominated what is a very, very weak ACC conference.
      Georgia may get the rare opportunity to knock the nerds out of the NC converstations that will going strong by then. If the nerds are having great sucess beating up the ACC..then Georgia’s going to have a great incentive to stomp them in that high-school staduim.

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      • Gravidy

        I hear what you’re saying about KY, but I had to draw the line somewhere. Besides, if I’m really worried about losing that game, then I would be nowhere near considering a nine or ten win regular season.

        If I had to bet right now, I’d probably bet on nine regular season wins. You are obviously more confident than I am, because I wouldn’t bet on UGA winning every one of those games individually. Again, most of my doubt comes from the unknown, not out of a specific pessimism. Let me see them play a few games, and I’ll form a more confident (but equally unreliable) opinion of the team. 🙂 If the defense continues to progress, a reliable QB emerges, and they don’t suffer a crazy amount of injuries, I could see a ten (or even eleven) win season. But those are some pretty big “ifs” that have to occur.

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      • Will (The Other One)

        Are we really buying the Tech Kool-aid? They’ve got 10 games they could lose in a row on that schedule (sure, I doubt they’ll lose to Duke or UVA, but they’ve dropped a few trips to UVA in the past, and lost at home to Duke last season). They do return a great QB, but he gets all new backs, WRs, and lost his best OLineman. On the other side of the ball, you have average dudes who gave up over 6 ypp last season, coached by Ted Roof.

        Don’t let a fluke win in Athens, playing an overrated FSU close, and beating MissSt. overshadow that the team also nearly lost to GASouthern.

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  16. ApalachDawg

    One thing that may play to our advantage in the QB/Offensive side of the ball is that our competitors don’t know Schotty’s tendencies.
    For example, I’m hopeful that on 3rd and 22, we don’t ask a 160 lb tailback to bust it between the tackles. I hope that sheet from Coach Bobo’s playbook followed him to the rockies.

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  17. JCDAWG83

    10-2 would be a great season for me. I can handle 2 losses to better teams, I’m not sure who those might be, Bama and Auburn maybe?

    My realistic side says 8-4 with two losses to better teams and two to teams we should beat.

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  18. AusDawg85

    I think the D will have an element of “NASTY” that’s been missing and sorely needed, even if the talent level is not fully up to where it needs to be. If true, I think that wins a close game we lost last year and makes 10 wins a more reasonable estimate.

    We also need to identify who the next Michael Bennett receiver will be…the sure handed, go-to guy for whoever the QB is. Not sure that will be Mitchell, but maybe a TE or even a RB out of the backfield if Schotty uses them more for short pass plays like in the NFL.

    Maybe we should just take a knee against Bama…the first time?

    So if all rational analysis leads us collectively to assuming a 10 win season, how come the board is not full of “PAAWWWLLLL..Another mediocre 10 win season from Saint Richt and no champeenships?! FIRE HIM!!!1!!1!11!”

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  19. PTC DAWG

    How many does it take to win the East? That is how many I want.

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    • TXBaller

      Is that the “Richt goal” now…..win the east? Actually, that’s always his goal, right? Hasn’t panned out too well in recent 7-8 years. Was refreshing to read that several Baylor players’ & coaches goals are to go 12-0….run the table….”then there will be no excuse to be left out of the playoff”. Is Baylor’s goal loftier than ours? Peachtree City, maybe “how many wins does it take to get to the playoff?” 13 would be a fantastic number.

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      • PTC DAWG

        You have to win the East for any of those other goals…as far as this being Richt’s goal, why don’t you ask him?

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  20. Americus Dawg

    I think 10-2 is doable and not an unreasonable expectation. IMO, the final result depends on previously stated factors … QB play, kicking game and Schotty’s play calling. I’m almost all-in on the defensive side of the ball.

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  21. I think 10-2 is about right – split the West games and lose one to either tech (not likely), Missouri or Tennessee.

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  22. dudemankind

    10-2 sounds a tad optimistic to me considering the amount of playmakers lost from last year and so many questions in key areas. If they let Spurrier steal another it could get ugly quick and be a long year. 9-3 gets my vote though.

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  23. Russ

    I’m still drunk on Koolaid. I see 12-0! Or 11-1 (lose to Bama at home, whip them in the Dome).

    Tennessee worries me the most.

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  24. UGA85

    Getting to Atlanta and winning the SEC championship would make this a great season. I don’t know how many wins that will take, nine or ten, but winning in ATL is the win that counts the most for me.

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  25. Skeptic Dawg

    8-4 or 9-3 is where the Dawgs live. Someone, or 2 someone’s, will always be better and throw in the annual faceplant or 2 and you get 3 to 4 losses. It’s just the current reality for Dawg fans.

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    • PTC DAWG

      10…12…8…10…win totals over the last 4 years.

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      • Skeptic Dawg

        So you chose seasons with 4, 2, 5 and 3 losses make your point. An average of 3.5 losses per year. Or an average of 3.2 losses over 15 years. I stand corrected. Thanks!

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        • PTC DAWG

          We have averaged 10-3…name me two SEC schools that have done that since we hired Richt? Things are never as good, nor as bad as some think.

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    • JCDAWG83

      That’s perfectly fine for most Dawg fans. 10 wins is the new undefeated at Georgia. Add a mediocre bowl game against a mediocre opponent and then everyone can start with the “next year is the year” and “if only”. Lather, rinse, repeat.

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      • AusDawg85

        *10-2 would be a great season for me. I can handle 2 losses to better teams, * -JCDAWG83 posted above

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        • JCDAWG83

          I stick by that. For this season, with a new qb, a new OC, questions at WR and DB and a rush defense that looked like an open gate last season, 10 wins would be a great regular season.

          Giving away 3 losses last year was terrible, but apparently it was great in the eyes of the fans and BM. Everyone got big raises after crapping the bed three times.

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          • PTC DAWG

            Pay the market rate….is it too much? Maybe, but it is what it is.

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            • Somebody in the West is going to be paid $4M this year to lose 5-7 games. The market is what it is for coaches right now. I seriously doubt that Bert or either of the two coaches from Mississippi are going to give their salaries back when they fail to win the West this year.

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              • Mayor

                Here is my prediction about the SEC West: At least one coach will be gone after this season either because he will be fired or because someone will hire him away–possibly both will happen. In five years all the head football coaches presently in the SEC West will be gone from the jobs they presently have. That doesn’t preclude someone moving from one SEC West team to another, however.

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    • Skeptic Dawg's Better Half Relative

      When I saw the headline, I knew I’d find Skeptic Dawg blowing words about 4 losses, and why should we expect anything else from Skeptic who believes the Shitter is always full.

      If we heed the Senator’s words, he said he’s starting at 10-2 and not ending there. Certainly we have room for 9-3, which could easily include one game that includes breaking out some deep wood’s relative’s moonshine that would even put hair on Phyllis from Mulga’s chest. Not a picture anyone wants to imagine, but now you have.

      Nevertheless, we can sit here and argue 10-2 is too lofty because of our past or slice up every question mark and weakness we see to say 8-4 or 7-5 is reasonable, which might be Skeptic, Shitter’s Always Full, Dawg’s wet dream after a bad day (or would that be a good day for him?), but who really wants to do the latter and piss away being able to enjoy the season?

      I say 10-2 sounds glorious and attainable yet unreasonable at the same time because, well, these are college students, but 8-4 sounds so “put Logan Gray back there to call a fair catch.” What ever the Senator or each of us comes to, here’s to pouring out a little something for Larry to start the season and to Ole Lady Luck helping all of those on the field and in the stands who Hunker It Down One More Time to roll into Atlanta 11-1!

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      • Cosmic Dawg

        Cojones, my friend, you can change your handle but you can’t hide your trademark style. We need to have a Write Like Cojones contest, like they do with Faulkner.

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  26. sUGArdaddy

    Lord, I don’t see how some people truly can’t see the forest for the trees. I’m probably what some would call a blind optimist, but I’m not that blind. There are two (sort of three/fourish) that should be harbingers of the season, and the two biggest simply include major analytics. I keep shouting these things to my buddies:

    Mark Richt has had a 1,000 yard rusher 5 times (just including reg. season totals/accomplishments):

    2002 – 11-1 & SEC East Champs
    2007 – 10-2 & tied for SEC East Champs (did not qualify for SECCG)
    2008 – 9-3
    2012 – 11-1 & SEC East Champs
    2014 – 9 – 3

    So, if you believe we’ll have a 1,000 yard rusher, our average under Mark Richt is 10-2. When we have matched that with stellar play elsewhere on the roster (Greene/Pollack) and (Murray/Jones/Ogletree), that gets you to 11-1 status. When you have a porous defense at times or are ineffective throwing the ball (see 2008 and 2014), it’s still good enough to get you 9-3. History would tell us we go 9-3 at worst if Chubb or Michel goes over 1,000. What will that mean if they BOTH go over 1,000 (Which I think is a real possibility).

    Richt has had ONE season since that addition of the 12th game in 2006 in which we played 3 cupcakes and Tech instead of playing 2 cupcakes, Tech and another Power 5 school. That year was 2012, arguably our best regular season under Richt, which, barring the beat down in Columbia showed us come ready to play in our biggest games against our best opponents. Simply, when you don’t have to fire a bullet against a Clemson, Boise St., or Oklahoma St., you have more bullets for the ones that count. The average record for SEC power teams (the big six name brands) since 2006 when they’ve played only 2 cupcakes is 9-3. Nick Saban’s worst season at Bama was 2010, when he had perhaps his most talented team, but they played at Duke and hosted Penn St. out of conference. They went 9-3. They won those games, but how much did those games cost them down the road? The formula is simple: scheduling 2 Power 5 Non-conference games is a recipe for 9-3, even for the very best teams in our league. CMR gets a rare pass from our maniacal scheduling practices this season. It’ll help us tremendously.

    From a non analytic stand point is this. This is the run of games our opponents have leading up to our contest:

    USCjr: UNC (Charlotte), UK, @ UGA
    Bama: About like us, patsy before the big game.
    UT: Oklahoma, West. Carolina, @ Florida, Arkansas, UGA
    Mizzou: @ UK, South Carolina, Florida, @ UGA
    Florida: Tennessee, Ole Miss, @ Mizzou, @ LSU, OPEN, UGA
    UK: Auburn, @ Miss. St., Tennessee, @ UGA
    Auburn: @ Arkansas, Ole Miss, @ A&M, UGA
    Tech: Va Tech (Thurs.), @ Miami, UGA

    We have a tough October stretch, but we play nearly every decent team at the end of a pretty brutal stretch. Don’t sleep on that. Injuries, play calls, and expended energy are huge factors often missed in a college football season.

    Simply, many of the teams we play are a bit of a mess in major areas. Bama, South Carolina, and Florida would kill to have our QB situation. UT hasn’t beaten anyone of note and has a very shaky O-line, and AJ Johnson finally graduated on defense. Auburn is VERY, VERY unproven (and way over-rated, IMHO). Tech lost essentially every skill player that contributed on offense besides the QB.

    Color me confident. We’re more talented than we’ve been in a long time. We are deeper than we’ve probably ever been under Richt, which I believe will make a huge different on special teams. We have senior kickers. We’ll have to be a disaster at QB to undermine those positives. It could happen, but there’s at least 3 teams on our schedule that could be a much bigger disaster at QB.

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  27. Rusty

    I don’t like it, but I guess I have to agree with you.

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  28. I can’t believe I’m going to say this–it goes against deeply ingrained instincts never to predict anything too great for my beloved Dawgs–but I think by some weird miracle or 2 (or 10!), it’s gonna be 11-1 and we’ll be seeing LSU in Atlanta. We should absolutely lose to at least one of the West teams. We should absolutely have an inexplicable loss to someone else. But something (admittedly more gut than brain) tells me one of those won’t happen this year. Makes no sense, I know–while SC, FU and MO should all be down this year and all are capable of messing us up; UT, VU and KY should be up; Bama will be tough; AU will be tough; GT will be tough; even GSU is going to give us a fight. Probably gonna feel like a Koolaid drinkin’ fool come December (maybe even come October), but there it is: 11-1 and I’m sticking to it.

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  29. 69Dawg

    There is just one monster that can totally and completely kill our season, the injury bug. It really makes no difference how deep you are when the bug strikes. You have to adjust and that in and of itself causes problems. All this talk about the OL not having any injuries last year scares the karmic bejesus out of me. If the team stays healthy we will be very good but I’m too Munson to count on that.

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  30. Fourth and Fifteen

    UL MONROE: Dawgs win cupcake sleeper. (Record 1-0)
    VANDERBILT: Dawgs win conference sleeper. (Record 2-0)
    SOUTH CAROLINA: Dawgs lose to inferior team for reasons none can understand. After the game, CMR can only mumble and constantly rub the back of his head. (Record 2-1)
    SOUTHERN: Dawgs win cupcake sleeper. (Record 3-1)
    ALABAMA: Dawgs lose nationally televised game. (Record 3-2)
    TENNESSEE: Dawgs win in blow-out fashion. After the game, CBJ can only mumble and constantly rub the back of his head. (Record 4-2)
    MISSOURI: Dawgs win in blow-out fashion. Dawgs poised to lose eastern division race. (Record 5-2)
    FLORIDA: Dawgs lose to inferior team for reasons everyone can understand. (Record 5-3)
    KENTUCKY: Dawgs lose to inferior team because they are an inferior team. (Record 5-4)
    AUBURN: Dawgs win. After the game, CGM cannot find his rabbit foot. (Record 6-4)
    GEORGIA SOUTHERN: Dawgs win cupcake sleeper. (Record 7-4)
    GEORGIA TECH: Dawgs win in blow-out fashion. CPJ cancels the order for the rings. (Record 8-4)

    Missouri wins eastern division race.

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    • As a fan, that wouldn’t thrill me.

      As a blogger, it’s got potential. 😉

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    • sUGArdaddy

      As I stated above, you implying that something will happen that will completely buck the trend of Mark Richt’s teams with a 1,000 yd. rusher. So, the premise must be that Chubb is hurt or both he and Michel simply aren’t that productive. Because if Chubb goes for 1,500, you can just about bank on 9-3 and maybe better. You might be right. Who knows? But if you are right and Chubb does go for over 1,000, you are predicting something that has never happened to happen.

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    • PTC DAWG

      I’ll take UGA over FU and KY..name your price.

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    • AusDawg85

      We don’t lose to KY at home if our roster is at 90%, so there we are back at 9 – 3 and staring at SC and FL as the games we should win…have to win …if we want to win the East.

      Great write-up 🙂

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  31. Macallanlover

    I think you about dead-on Senator. 10-2 or 9-3 is about perfect and is exactly the 91/2 Over/Under Vegas has us down for. I think if things go badly with injuries. QB, rush defense, 8-4 could be the number, and if things go our way for a change, 11-1 is possible.

    As Sugar said, we are more talented, with more depth, than we have been in years. Our coaching staff is as good as there is in the conference, and things are trending in positive way since last December. Our schedule sets up nicely and gives is a chance to work on those questionable areas before getting the severe tests that October brings. I expect to see us in Atlanta and able to play whomever shows up from the almighty West.

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  32. I need to channel my inner skepticdawg/JCDawg 83
    here’s how it goes
    1)UL MONROE:we kick UL -Monroe 52-3 ,get declared a great team after 1 game
    2)VANDERBILT: players read the press hype don’t show up for the Vandy game (Richt’s fault for not having them ready) and lose to Vandy
    3)SOUTH CAROLINA: the old ball sack comes to Athens and proves he is a better Coach than UGA has ever had and we lose on a missed 37 yard field goal. The field goal attempt should have been a touchdown but the idiot Richt/ Schottenheimer/ Bobo ran 3 straight dive plays to Chubb when everybody in Sanford stadium knew that is what we were going to do ( see what I did there?) USc wins a close one.
    4)SOUTHERN:Beat Southern but look lackadaisical
    5)ALABAMA:lose to Bama because Saban is Saban and Richt is Richt.
    6)TENNESSEE:Lose to Tenn because the wheels are coming off and the Players are just not ready for the noise in that tin can stadium( meme is….. were the players just not prepared for the noise or has Richt lost control of his players?).
    7)MISSOURI:Instead of Mizzou committing 5 turnovers we do and Mizzou virtually clinches the East.
    8)FLORIDA: Dawgs beat the Gaturds for reasons that absolutely no one can understand
    9).KENTUCKY: Dawgs lose to inferior team because they are an inferior team
    10)AUBURN: Auburn: this a tough one for me…if the PlainsWarTigers are good we will find a way to ruin their season but if their season is bad to mediocre they will win ..sorry even pessimists have to hedge some bets . ah hell, Coach Muschamp forces us to understand he is a better coach than any we have and holds UGA to a field goal AU wins.
    11)GEORGIA SOUTHERN: Georgia Southern comes in and gets the upset they should have had against GT against the Dawgs. Big Brother has no idea how bad little brother hates him.
    12)GEORGIA TECH:Their genius is better than our brain farters and they use this victory to catapult the Bees into the Playoffs,
    Dawgs go 3-9 and do not fire Richt and 15% of the blogosphere heads simultaneously explode…Damn this pessimism stuff is easy.

    The dawgs go 3-9 and we still don’t fire Richt and some peoples heads explode,and you know who you are This glass half empty stuff is really easy.

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