“I feel like Pedro Cerrano with Jobu anytime I talk about Georgia.”

Football Study Hall’s Tennessee win probability chart from Saturday is truly something to behold.

Not in a good way, I mean.

27 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

27 responses to ““I feel like Pedro Cerrano with Jobu anytime I talk about Georgia.”

  1. Derek

    Wasn’t it something like one billion to one that we’d leave scoreless after 1st down at the 2 vs. Clemson? What were the chances that Josh Harvey would tip it to an auburn wr on 4th and 18? What were the odds of the ball landing in Conley’s hands at the dome? Terrence Edwards’ drop vs. Florida in 2002? I question those who say Richt is a bad coach. That he’s the most unlucky football coach in history? How can you argue?

    Most, like Pedro Cerrano, having found such misfortune would have turned to “Jabo” to help win football game well before Sony Michel fumbled the KO return.

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    • On the first fourth down conversion, it looked to me like the receiver slipped and the ball hit him on the chest while he was lying flat on his back. If he doesn’t slip, no way he makes the catch The other fourth down conversion, it appeared at least one player mistimed a jump to miss what looked like an easy tip.

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      • Bulldog Joe

        What bothered us most about that first play is we had no one near him.

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        • Bulldog Joe

          One Tennessee figured out we were not fighting to get around their receivers, they just re-ran that three yard pass play the rest of the game.

          We never adjusted.

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      • Macallanlover

        That play gets minimized with all the other “big impact plays” of that game. But it was a 14, 17, or 21 point swing, and while there are many games that have those in the CFB season but what makes this one unique is that the pass was incomplete if, both, the receiver doesn’t fall, and the QB doesn’t make a really bad throw to the one exact spot where the receiver lay. That is as weird as the helmet play in the Bama/Ole Miss game except it required two unlikely scenarios to occur simultaneously. If that set of coincidences do not occur on thay 4th down play, UGA gets the ball at midfield, and wins the game. Yes, we should have better coverage, and it doesn’t excuse the poor play, but you have be damned unlucky to have that happen.

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    • No One Knows You're a Dawg

      Because it’s not just the losses, it’s that the team isn’t playing well either.

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    • I’m reminded of the wise words of the great Vince Dooley, “Luck is when Preparation meets Opportunity”. Vince didn’t when them all, but it sure looked like the UGA Dawgs of his era were prepared. And maybe I view the past through rose colored glasses, but something I always admired about Dooley’s Dawgs, long before I became a fan of UGA, was they always GATA. Doesn’t feel like we do that anymore.

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  2. Will (The Other One)

    The defensive stats are horrific. I get that the secondary’s young, and Jenkins was hurt, but a sack rate of 0? I know Pruitt can pressure mobile QBs, see last year’s Auburn game, but pressure/havoc rate has been nonexistent this season and that’s troubling.

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  3. JT (the other one)

    We are simply jinxed. No other way to explain it. Jinxed. Curse you Jan Kemp!

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  4. Will Trane

    That goes with the coin toss win / loss percentage.
    You would think the AD would be on top of this since CMR is not a gambling man. Would he no go out and buy the services of some an exorcist or something that breaks the spells.

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  5. Will Trane

    Dawgs are 100% assured a starting QB or starting RB will injured. Has it not happened 4 seasons in a row.

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  6. @gatriguy

    As crazy as this is, it’s not even the worst in the last year. We were something like 98.2% to win vs Tech last year.

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  7. RocketDawg

    “I say Fuck You Jobu, I do it myself”

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  8. JCDAWG83

    If Richt is truly snakebit, doesn’t it make sense to get rid of him and get rid of the bad luck he brings? If Richt were a sailor on an old time sailing ship, he would have been thrown overboard as a “Jonah” by now.

    Just a little something for the “it’s just bad luck” crowd to think about.

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    • Derek

      You are assuming it’s CMR. We could just be the Cubs of college football who once were fortunate enough to have had Mr. Walker. Hell, whose to say we could have won an seccg and two playoff games in 1980? Given our 136 yards of total offense vs. Notre Dame, it’s unlikely we beat Alabama and then a couple of teams like Oklahoma and USC. It is for this reason that I think basing success on nattys fails all logic. Have we ever had that team that could win a seccg and two top-4 teams back to back? Why would we suddenly because we changed coaches? I want more than anything to get there but I’m not sure that resting our hopes on a revolving door of coaches is likely to get us there. The odds are that stability is a better recipe for catching that lighting in a bottle any hopefully before I leave this earth.

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      • Bulldog Joe

        The Cubs are going to win it all this season.

        The reason is their owner brought in a no-nonsense GM who had a track record of winning it all and the patience to not take shortcuts to appease the masses.

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  9. DugLite

    We have seen these charts before for an entire season. Schizophrenic team UGA is.

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    • Bulldog Joe

      No killer instinct and not enough ruthless type A’s.

      That’s the essence of it all for Georgia.

      The country club won’t allow it.

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      • Derek

        Why would anyone aspire to be a ruthless killer? Plenty of country clubs in Alabama. Nice restricted country clubs filled with true assholes. Hasn’t prevented any winning there. I really don’t think it’s about being inhuman. It’s about getting the right people and getting the best they are able to give. Saban happens to be inhuman but that isn’t the reason he’s winning. It’s more of a happenstance. He’s winning because he’s recruited along the line of scrimmage better than anybody. IMHO we’ve been moving in the right direction for a while. I think if we hang in there that we’ll be ok.

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        • JCDAWG83

          I love how people bash Saban as inhuman, an asshole, ruthless, etc. Saban is paid millions to win football championships and he does his job. Richt is paid millions to win football championships and he doesn’t do his job, yet, somehow, Richt should be admired and Saban should be made fun of.

          It doesn’t matter why you think Saban is winning, the fact is; he’s winning. Maybe Richt needs to do a better job recruiting along the line of scrimmage instead of practicing consistently poor roster management? The bottom line is; Richt is paid millions to win big in big time college football and he’s not doing his job. Saban is paid big to win big in college football and he is doing his job.

          I don’t look at Bama and think “I’m glad we’re not like them”, I look at Bama and think “what are they doing that we’re not”. The simplest answer is; they hired a coach who makes winning games a top priority. Georgia fans hide behind Richt’s religion and being a “good man” and automatically assume Saban is a jerk and unethical and somehow not “good” and assume that Bama’s winning is somehow “evil”. I’ve never heard a bad word about Saban from a former player or asst coach or really anyone. I hear Georgia fans say “I don’t want to be like Bama where they sell their soul for championships”. What exactly is Bama doing that is so bad?

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          • Derek

            Ever heard of Darius Philon? Jonathan Taylor? The unique rate at which the medical staff puts a medical redshirt on guys who are playing somewhere else the next season? They treat people as expendable. If you haven’t heard the stories about: scholarship offers being pulled at the last minute or bogus medical redshirts or just bs like Taylor was admitted for academic reasons either 1) you aren’t paying attention or 2) you don’t care. He is a scumbag of epic proportions. I wouldn’t have him for any number of trophies.

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  10. Yo bartender, Jobu needs a refill!

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  11. ScubaDawg

    Clearly Jobu demands a sacrifice.

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