“There’s no sense in dragging it out once we know all the pieces to the puzzle.”

There are times when I honestly wonder whether the Big 12 deserves to exist.  Take, for example, Bob Bowlsby’s latest thumb up his ass move.

As the Big 12 inches closer to decisions about its future, most of the data is in.

Big 12 commissioner Bob Bowlsby said Monday that data compiled by consultants — up to 40,000 simulations from Navigate Research — indicated the best model for placing a team in the College Football Playoff is a 12-team conference playing eight league games plus a championship game.

Yes, that is something he actually spent money on.  And how much of an advantage would such a format give the conference in grasping the Holy Grail?

Bowlsby, who said the computer modeling showed the 12-member, eight-game schedule would slightly increase the league’s likelihood of getting teams into the Playoff, believes the data “will probably persuade some people one way or another.” But he said he wasn’t sure what his recommendation would be. He confirmed that the 12-team, eight-game modeled result indicated a four- to five-percent increased likelihood for a team to make the Playoff.[Emphasis added.]

To repeat, yes, that is something he actually spent money on.

In other words, in a best case scenario, rejiggering your conference from ten to twelve teams and adding a championship game (currently unnecessary with the Big 12’s round robin regular season schedule) would net you one additional appearance in the CFP every twenty to twenty five years.  That seems like a whole lot of trouble to go through when you consider they’ll expand the playoffs to eight teams long before then.

Maybe I ought to see if Bowlsby would pay me something for this post.

Honestly, I think the conference will vote to expand, but not because of this silliness.  It’ll be because of other silliness.

Bowlsby reiterated something he’s said before, too. For its financial stability, the Big 12 needs to act. The Big Ten’s recent reported $250 million deal for a portion of its media rights only highlighted the issue.

“If we do nothing, we’ll fall behind with the SEC and Big Ten,” Bowlsby said. “We may still be just as competitive as we are today, but we’ll fall behind financially.”

Aside from bruised egos, what exactly would that mean for the Big 12 schools?  A touch less opulence in locker rooms?  One less recruiting trip to Dubai?  A little less money in athletic administrators’ pockets?  What?  I doubt Bowlsby knows anything concrete.  He just knows they need to do something.  Now there’s a recipe for success.



Filed under Big 12 Football

15 responses to ““There’s no sense in dragging it out once we know all the pieces to the puzzle.”

  1. Jared S.

    The Big12’s ten team make-up borders on malfeasance. I have been baffled for years that the schools in the Big12 have allowed this to go on for so long. I can’t figure out if they’re lazy, stupid or just plain stubborn.


  2. Raleigh St. Claire

    I wish we could give them back Missouri and Texas A&M, neither of whom fit culturally or make any sense being in the SEC.


  3. Russ

    Was that the XBox or PS4 version of the “simulation”? Something tells me ol’ Bob is a Wii kind of guy.


  4. old dog

    Politics and college football conferences make for strange bedfellows…if we live long enough, the Big 12 will eventually get it right (trial and error takes time)…


  5. Go Dawgs!

    The Big 12 would need the University of Texas to give up the Longhorn Network in order for their TV money to be on par with what the SEC and Big Ten are getting. The University of Texas will not be giving up the Longhorn Network. So… have a nice day, Bob.

    Also, you’re one for two on getting teams into the CFBP. Don’t piss on my leg and tell me it’s raining. The undefeated Sooners or Longhorns or Mountaineers or whoever the hell is undefeated in your conference will be playing in the Final Four. This is about money. Ya know, so you can keep funding these ridiculous studies.


  6. AusDawg85

    AJ Maestas, President & Founder of Navigate, is the smartest man in CFB to get paid to tell the Big12 they should have…wait for it…12 teams and be more like the SEC to improve their odds of getting into the playoffs.

    I’ve got to find more clients like that.


  7. Comin' Down The Track

    P. T. Barnum would’ve loved this guy. :\


  8. Steve

    ‘…..who said the computer modeling showed….’ GIGO


  9. Bulldog Joe

    Getting wined and dined by prospective conference institutions is fun.

    Why ruin it by making a decision?


  10. Kobby

    We’ve had 8 playoff teams, hardly a reliable sample for some kind of crazy ass Monte Carlo simulation. It’s clear he’s got expansion on the mind as this is s great example of hiring consultants, telling them what you want to do, and them feeding it back to you almost verbatim with some “analysis” tacked on.