Ignore Nick Chubb at your own risk.

Vegas now has Chubb at 20-1 to win the Heisman Trophy this season.  As Seth Emerson puts it, “That may not sound like much, but consider that a) there’s still no timetable for Chubb’s return, and b) there are only nine players with better odds for the Heisman.”

I keep saying the most amazing thing about Chubb is the level of certainty out there that he’ll be a significant contributor this season.

24 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

24 responses to “Ignore Nick Chubb at your own risk.

  1. What is that certainty being driven by? Does the media have info that we don’t?

    • Derek

      The media don’t set odds. Bettors do. You can probably get real bad odds on notre dame winning a natty. Reality doesn’t necessarily matter. Where gamblers put (or where they’re expected to put) their money does.

    • gastr1

      I think it’s lack of awareness regarding the timing and significance of the injury. I think it didn’t look as severe as it was (think about Lattimore for comparison), so there’s an assumption he’ll be back as if he had just sprained an ankle or something.

  2. Still better odds than Leicester.

    • Beat me to it. That dude cashed in.

    • 83dawg

      Beat me to it as well.
      For those that don’t follow the EPL, before the season started the odds on Leicester (‘lester’) City were 5000-1, for a lot of VERY good reasons–think, Vanderbilt winning the football National Championship.

      Meanwhile, the odds on President Obama appearing on television and stating that the moon landings were a hoax were only 200-1😎

      Still, not crying for the bookmakers–this meant everyone betting on the top teams lost–it might really even out, or still give them a profit, and they are just crying about it publicly to encourage people to bet on next year’s 5000-1 shot😎

      (on a personal note–I love watching them play, especially when the announcers try to explain what they are doing. I’m like, ‘dude’ that is old-school pure 4-4-2 with a flat back 4 in a rotational zone and I taught that system from middle school up, and any of my high school players could step right in and completely suck, but they would know were they should be and what they should be doing and what they should be looking for…)

  3. Skeptic Dawg

    “I keep saying the most amazing thing about Chubb is the level of certainty out there that he’ll be a significant contributor…”. Count me in the group that will believe it when I see it. I do not expect Chubb to be back until mid-season at the earliest…if at all. I surely wish the best for the kid, but that was one awful injury that he suffered.

    • Uglydawg

      Skep…Are you a fireman? You sure can throw the cold water.

    • Uglydawg

      Skep…are you a fireman? You can sure throw the cold water.

      • Uglydawg

        You need answer only once. (First time didn’t take, retyped and hit “post comment” and both appeared)

      • Skeptic Dawg

        Nope, not a fireman. As I said above, I just don’t see the kid making it back until mid-season due to the nature of his injury…if he comes back at all. Back in the Red and Black that is. I am rooting like hell for Chubb make a comeback, but I don’t see him offering much this season. If I am reading the Senator’s recent posts on Chubb correctly, he does not expect much either.

        • I still believe he will be back & healthy by the third game.
          I never agree with Skeptic Dawg & I think that I am always correct.
          Skeptic Dawg certainly lives up to his name.

  4. Jared S.

    It’s amazing to think that Richt might have bought himself another year (for better or worse) if Chubb had not gotten injured by the Vol “turf”. I think we would have beaten Tennessee convincingly. We probably would’ve finished 11-2…and maybe even beaten Florida and finished 12-2…. with our only two losses being against an amazing National Championship Alabama squad….. but I realize all this is hypothetical. But I can’t help thinking about how things might have turned out differently (for better or for worse? who’s to say?)

    What I know for sure is that I can remember Gary Danielson saying, during the mid-point of the game or so, that Georgia’s whole team looked like they were still “in shock” about Chubb. He said something like, “They’ve got to feel it. I know I do.” And I couldn’t have agreed more.

    Looking back on it and all the change that has taken place, possibly as a direct result of it, is it fair to say that Chubb’s injury ranks among the most consequential of any in sports history – specifically as how it relates to how it led to long-term and drastic changes in a college football program?

    • Uglydawg

      Jared, that is hypothetical, but would have very possibly been the case. That’s really interesting. I’ll bet CMR has thought about it.

    • dubyadee

      If #47 doesn’t go down in ’95 against UT, is Ray Goff still the coach?

      • ApalachDawg

        In rewriting 1992 UGA footbal history…
        If Hastings doesn’t fumble that pass against UT, does Zeier lead us to victory instead of letting the pumpkin steal Coach Majors job away on that play/victory?
        If UGA doesn’t wet the bed against UF and the gayturds, does Spurrier go on to dominate the series and the SEC East? If the Dawgs won, would we have gotten demolished by Bama in the SEC champ game too?
        …sigh

  5. Argondawg

    If allowed I would ask Chubb if he was going to be a big contributor this season and if he said yes I would bank on it. The kids work ethic and resolve are off the charts and he has made a believer out of me.

    Plus I am not sure he is 100% human.

  6. Atticus

    Just ask an orthopedic surgeon about his injury and the complexity of reattaching those ligaments……as opposed to a straight ACL. But if anyone can do it its that kid.

  7. Nate Dawg

    Come on Nick…come on Nick!!