Hey, if you need to get your blood boiling today, Ken Starr is doing a live Q&A right now. Sample bullshit:
Yeah, that’ll work.
Daily Archives: September 24, 2016
Game day thoughts, Georgia-Ole Miss edition
Okay, it’s go time. A few seasonal stats for your perusal:
- For Georgia’s defense, it’s déjà vu all over again. Missouri and Mississippi are one and two in the conference in offensive pass yardage. Missouri and Mississippi are the SEC’s twelfth and thirteenth ranked teams in offensive rushing yardage. These are both pass first and ask questions later offenses. Missouri got off to a quick start last week throwing the ball all over creation and it’s reasonable to expect Ole Miss to do the same. How Georgia deploys its safeties in the first half could be a big deal; Lock had a much rougher go of things after Tucker gave Briscoe safety help on his side of the field in the game’s second half.
- Yeah, it would be nice indeed if Georgia’s defense racked up a few sacks today. They’re next to last in the SEC in that department. What I’m really curious to see, though, is how the inside linebackers hold up. Between Kelly’s threat to run and Evan Engram, they’ll really be challenged.
- One thing’s pretty certain: if either team gets in the red zone, look for a score. The Rebels defense is 14 of 14 there; Georgia isn’t doing much better at nine of ten. (It’s worth noting that Ole Miss’ offense is a little better at converting than Georgia’s.)
- For Georgia’s offense, at first glance, things look tougher this week, as Mississippi is fourth in the SEC in defensive passing yards, compared to Missouri at thirteenth. But when you scratch the surface and look at defensive passer rating, it’s a different story: Missouri is fourth and Ole Miss is twelfth. Ole Miss is the only team in the conference without an interception. Neither team’s run defense has been stellar so far, although Mississippi’s has had it tougher. That being said, Missouri did pretty well loading the box last week. It’s not unreasonable to expect Ole Miss to come out the same way. Chaney and Eason have to make them pay for that, or it’s gonna be a long day.
In other words, expect this game to look a lot like last week’s, with one big difference. Ole Miss’ offense has a lot more experience in its offensive system than Missouri’s did. It’s hard to see how Georgia’s defense doesn’t face some of the same struggles it had in the first half in Columbia. If we can expect the Rebels’ defense to sell out against Chubb and Company, is it reasonable to think Georgia’s defense makes a similar decision with regard to Kelly?
You’ll notice one thing I haven’t mentioned is special teams. If I don’t mention them in tomorrow’s Observations post, it will have been a good day. Unfortunately, I expect them to merit a bullet point or two.
I wrote yesterday that I don’t have a good feeling about this game. I don’t think Georgia is going to be able to maintain the time of possession advantage that’s help power it through its three wins and without doing so, I think Ole Miss, with its more dynamic offense, wins and covers. Call it a ten-point difference. Sure hope I’m wrong.
Consider this your game day comment thread home.
Filed under Georgia Football
Mr. Conventional Wisdom’s key to the game
EHHHHHH!!! Wrong, Hans.
Or, at least it could very well be wrong if the Rebels decide to commit their safeties to stopping the run. Georgia didn’t throw the ball so much in the Missouri game because it wanted to. It had to. Until Ole Miss shows that it respects the pass threat from Eason and his receivers, Chaney won’t have any choice this week, either.
Funny thing is that Barnhart gets much closer to a real key with his next tweet.
The big deal in Columbia wasn’t Georgia throwing the ball 55 times. It was Georgia running over ninety plays on offense. If that happens again today, the Dawgs will have made a real game of it.
Filed under Georgia Football
Your weekly non-Dawg game day post
All football Saturdays are good. This one’s a little gooder than average.
 #11Wisconsin |
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12:00 PM |
Sparty is only a 3.5-point favorite at home. Not sure why.
 #19Florida |
 #14Tennessee |
3:30 PM |
Meteor game alert! I like the Gators to cover here, for two reasons: one, I respect a streak and two, the Florida defense is by far the best unit on the field today.
| Vanderbilt |
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4:30 PM |
From the venue to the spread — Vanderbilt is an eight-point road dog to a mid-major — there is something really wrong about this game.
 #18LSU |
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6:00 PM |
Hoo, boy, there are gonna be some tight sphincters at game time.
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7:30 PM |
This is the kind of game where each team’s fan base is pessimistic about their chances.
| #7Stanford |
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8:00 PM |
Stanford is a slight favorite.
 #17Arkansas |
 #10Texas A&M |
9:00 PM |
This game’s been a little under the radar this week, but should be a good one. Nobody wants to lose in the West.
Feel free to toss in any other games of interest in the comments.
Filed under College Football
Get The Picture 