Bill Connelly takes a look at his S&P+ 5-year rankings and what he comes up with shouldn’t surprise you.
On the flip side, here are the 10 power programs whose 2016s compared least favorably with their 2011s, making their five-year averages suffer the most:
- Oregon (-4.5)
- Georgia (-3.1)
- Rutgers (-3.0)
- Oklahoma State (-2.9)
- South Carolina (-2.7)
- Vanderbilt (-2.4)
- Missouri (-2.2)
- Arizona State (-2.1)
- Michigan State (-1.9)
- Illinois (-1.8)
Yikes. (By the way, how ’bout that SEC East, baby! Four teams out of ten on that list… if you’re wondering how Georgia missed out on winning a weak division, it’s because the Dawgs fell off more than anybody else did.)
One explanation for the drop might come under the heading youth will be served.
I emphasize the word “might”, because you probably notice like I did that the two SEC division winners both had higher numbers of true freshmen snaps than did Smart’s team.
Whatever the cause, if Georgia shows up next to last again after the 2017 numbers are compiled, it’s not gonna be a happy time in Athens.