Monday morning buffet

Plenty to put on your plate.

  • Somehow, Notre Dame is in ESPN’s FPI top ten, but Georgia isn’t.
  • But Georgia is numero uno in special teams S&P+ this week.
  • And this advanced stats blog rates Georgia’s defensive effort from Saturday night the nation’s best of last week… yeah, I know… better than ‘Bama.  Somehow.
  • How many five-stars play for teams ranked in the AP Top 25 Poll?
  • Awesome story on Hal Mumme and the Air Raid offense here.
  • Alabama has won eighteen straight conference games.  Average margin of victory:  23.1 points.
  • “Is it possible the SEC might be just pedestrian enough, and Texas A&M just good enough, to save Sumlin’s job?”
  • These are not fun times to be a Missouri fan.
  • “By moving up four spots to No. 7 in the latest AP poll, Georgia has now been ranked in the Top 10 at some point during each of the last six seasons.”

28 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Nick Saban Rules, Recruiting, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, Strategery And Mechanics

28 responses to “Monday morning buffet

  1. Biggus Rickus

    A&M just played arguably the second worst SEC team on their schedule. If he gets through the Alabama to Auburn stretch with better than a 1-3 record, I’ll be shocked.

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    • Stoopnagle

      Man, the Ags finish 3rd in that division with everything going their way. And now, with the whole program in chaos and no once-in-a-lifetime player to pull them through, they’re somehow going to finish second? jenniferlawrenceyeahright.gif

      And did the non-Tide SEC West just get Dawg-graded?

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  2. ASEF

    Advanced stats thought a lot more of MSU than VU.

    Kirby ate Mullen’s lunch when he was at Bama, but it was easy to dismiss over talent differential.

    I can’t find an SEC East team with a better unit – O, D, ST – than the Dawgs. Season off to a spectacular start.

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    • Biggus Rickus

      I’m not sure Georgia’s offense is as good as it looked against Mississippi State, so I don’t think it’s very far ahead of the other potential East contenders. The defense is going to separate this team from everyone on the schedule up to Auburn, though, and the special teams are beautifully boring. I also get the feeling Hardman will explode on someone this season.

      Liked by 2 people

      • Greg

        Thinks the offense is better than what they showed (pts.)…shoulda put another 14 on the board.

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        • Mayor

          I’m with you Greg. The O is getting better by the week. By season’s end the O will be as good as anybody in the nation.

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        • Biggus Rickus

          Yes, they should have in that particular game. I’m not sure they can replicate that performance every week. The OL is the same one that looked pedestrian in the previous three games. Fromm’s progression from week-to-week has been great, though.

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          • Russ

            I agree BR. It will be hard to replicate last Saturday, but I love the progression. Every week we seem to take steps forward.

            If the defense shuts down the Vowels like I think they will, then I suspect Chaney will dial back the offense a tad to avoid any potential drama and grind out a good win. Kirby doesn’t seem interested in style points.

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        • Macallanlover

          The offense is better than what we have seen, we have shut it down in the 3rd Quarter three times in our four games. You can argue, and I would, that seems a little early in today’s game, but it seems we have more horses under the hood than we have used. Having a defense that is reliable enough to trust that we can hold off everyone on our schedule allows you to play it close to the vest.

          The ND game looked as if it was way too conservative offensively, and the coaches had little trust in Fromm which made the entire offense look constipated. Too be honest, I think ND has a pretty good defense, not Georgia good, but seemed to have us blanketed because we didn’t use all our weapons. It didn’t help that we had well over a hundred yards in penalties which changed field position, had a 70 yard penalty on a kickoff return, and dropped a couple of key passes.

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          • Stoopnagle

            Irish are going to win a lot of games this year. Looking like they’ll be 5-1 when they play SC in a few weeks. That win is going to look pretty good in November.

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            • Macallanlover

              I thought their defense was pretty good, and our defense may have made the ND offense look weaker than they are. Could easily win 8-9, possibly 10. The USC game is one I look forward to, they look vulnerable and may be the most over rated team near the top. Wouldn’t be surprised in they ended the year in the Top 5.

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    • dawgtired

      “I can’t find an SEC East team with a better unit – O, D, ST – than the Dawgs. Season off to a spectacular start.”

      I agree on the D & ST but I don’t know if I would put our O in the ‘better unit’ list. We are definitely as effective as most in the east so far. I would also say we look (right now) like the better team as a whole than the rest on the schedule. Also, in a previous post, the Senator noted that Auburn may have the best D. I have not watched their games but the thought of that comment hurts my feelings, ’cause we look dang good at every level on D. I’ll check some replays on Auburn before we play them for sure.
      No team in the East looks overly daunting. All and all, right now I feel we have to have a ‘let down’ to lose a game the rest of the way on the regular season schedule. Then it will be Satan vs little devil in Atlanta 🙂

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  3. Scorpio Jones, III

    “By moving up four spots to No. 7 in the latest AP poll, Georgia has now been ranked in the Top 10 at some point during each of the last six seasons.”

    At some point.

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  4. Greg

    Guess the FPI feels good about their remaining schedule. Would not surprise me if Notre Dame wins the rest of them.

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    • Mayor

      ND winning out actually helps Georgia with the “committee.”

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      • Got Cowdog

        If (!) we win out the regular season then lose to Bama in the SECCG, I supposed we could be treated to another Tide V Irish showdown. Anyone want to speculate on how that would turn out?
        The suckitude of that scenario is mind boggling.

        Liked by 1 person

      • Greg

        Yes, correct….but was referring to this on the FPI (projection):

        “The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.”

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        • JS

          This is one of my big issues with rankings generally – what are they supposed to measure?? The “best” teams, but what does that mean? Is it what a team has earned in terms of wins and losses? Who you think would beat who? Where you think the team will end up?

          For most people it’s a mix of these factors, but when you hear the reasoning some pollsters put forward it just makes me scratch my head. I’ve heard some people explain a team’s lower ranking because of its difficult schedule – so you’re basically double penalizing them by starting them out low based on anticipated losses, then dropping them again if/when they actually lose. Some voters count losses less if injuries likely played a part. Some consider margin of victory (or defeat) more than others. Losses later in the season hurt more than early season ones, but not everyone thinks they should.

          Bit of a tangent, and none of this really matters much anymore with the playoff, but I guess my point is that it’s frustrating to me that voters can essentially do whatever they want – say, rank ND ahead of UGA, Ohio State ahead of Oklahoma, or LSU ahead of Miss State – and pull one of a myriad of justifications out their ass, and no one can really object because there’s no clear guidance on what the rankings are supposed to measure anyway.

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          • Greg

            Would have to look again, but pretty sure that FPI is not used when calculating the BCS rankings.

            Liked by 1 person

            • There is no BCS-type of ranking. The CFB rankings are how the people in the committee room rank the teams. I have no idea if the WWL puts the FPI in front of them but wouldn’t be surprised.

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              • Greg

                Yep, you’re right…. changed that a few years ago – had a brain fart.

                Selection committee ranks teams based on the evaluation of teams’ performance. Use on the field, using conference championships won, strength of schedule, head-to-head results, and comparative scores to decide
                final four…. now, “The Plus One” system. Thanks!

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  5. Dawg151

    From the Advanced Stats Blog:

    “Immoral Victory – These teams may have finished with more points than their opponent, but it was ugly and they should be ashamed it was so close.”

    Tennessee was mentioned…but I have a bone to pick, here: Isn’t every Tennessee victory an immoral victory in one way or the other?

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  6. AusDawg85

    Hmmmm…take a spreadsheet ranking coaching, 5 star talent and schedule and I might just know who the 4 playoff teams will be right now. Might consider building that before my next trip to Vegas.

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  7. Bulldog Joe

    http://www.espn.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings

    Notre Dame is ranked ahead of us and MSU is poised to jump us with a win over Auburn this weekend.

    Thank goodness ‘Dawgrading’ Georgia’s opponents is finally a thing of the past.

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