Another random data point

These are fun.  Even better, this one’s something the selection committee weighs.

That Notre Dame win looks like the gift that keeps on giving.  Hope that keeps up.

23 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

23 responses to “Another random data point

  1. Silver Britches

    Let’s just focus on the fact that you referenced the selection committee with a straight face.

    We’ve passed through the looking glass, my friends.

    Liked by 2 people

  2. Jared S.

    I am speaking only for myself here, after all I’m not in any of your heads, let a lone the heads of any Georgia players or coaches….

    It feels like we’re getting ahead of ourselves. And I feel like this is especially true since it feels like we’re in front of a three-week lull before our next “big” game.

    I trust Kirby is doing a good job of helping his team stay focused on Vandy this week. But I have to admit I’m finding it really hard not to assume we’re going to be 7-0 heading into Jacksonville….

    Liked by 1 person

    • CB

      I’ll be pretty surprised if we aren’t 9-0 and ranked in the top 3 headed into Auburn,

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      • Jared S.

        STOP IT!!!

        But yeah, I am right there with you. I’ll be surprised if we lose to anyone, including UF, between now and Auburn.

        Which is pleasantly shocking because starting this season I was thinking 9 wins total sounded good. Now I expect us to get at least 10 wins. And ‘ll actually be disappointed if we don’t get 11. The only “acceptable” or understandable loss (barring horrible injuries) would be Auburn. Considering the way our defense is playing and the way our offense is being managed (ie, using the most talented/deepest backfield in the country in a very good way) I don’t see how a loss to anyone other than Auburn would be acceptable to anyone.

        And to be clear, I’m not saying we “should” lose to Auburn. I think we have at least a 50/50 chance in that game.

        Which means I think we have at least a 50/50 chance of going undefeated this season. My lands. Talk about some Kool Aid.

        Like I said in my original post…. I’m getting ahead of myself. Ha.

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        • SCIllinois

          If it helps keep you grounded, take a “rules of probability” cold shower.

          50/50 chance at Auburn isn’t the same as 50/50 chance of going undefeated.

          Vandy, Mizzou, etc may be some heavily weighted coin tosses in our favor, but you still gotta flip the coin and have it come up right.

          That said, holy spit, this is an exciting season!

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          • Jared S.

            My wife is an engineer and tries to explain statistics to me. I’m a history major/sales rep. I don’t have time for that. lol

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            • SCIllinois

              That’s totally fair. It’s also a well-known fact that the laws of probability and statistics do not truly apply when it comes to a team you love.

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        • CB

          In the preseason I took the under on 2.5 teams from Georgia’s schedule ending the season in the top 25 (excluding SECCG opponent). I wasn’t sure who those two would be at the time, but it’s looking like ND and Auburn (I’ll give Florida an outside shot of making it in because we are basically the only good team they will play all year). In any event, the schedule is more than favorable and the team is playing much better than expected, so it’s Atl or bust imo.

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  3. mdcgtp

    With Mizzou and Vandy on the slate, that number is going to get worse the next two weeks. We need all of the teams we have already beaten (save UT) to keep winning for our benefit.

    Notre Dame’s games against Stanford and USC will define how good our win looks at the end of the season.

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    • Sanford222view

      ND’s remaining schedule after UNC (1-4) is brutal. On the road at the Fighting Richts of Miami (3-0) and Stanford (3-2) plus home tilt’s versus USC (4-1), NC State (4-1), Wake (I know, I know but 4-1), and currently undefeated Navy(4-0). The Irish remaining schedule is currently 23-9. They could win all of those or lose all of them. My guess is they lose one at home and one on the road.

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  4. paul

    Well, the selection committee claims they weigh strength of schedule. But playing three or four cupcakes will never keep Alabama or Ohio State out. They might weigh schedule strength for TCU or some other team hoping to crash the club. But if you’re Michigan or Penn State or any other pedigreed program you needn’t worry if you’ve only faced a couple of legitimate teams all season.

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    • Snoop Dawgy Dawg

      need that SOS in case the undefeated Dawgs of Georgia lose to Alabama in the SECCG, and hoping to still sneak into the playoffs.

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      • PTC DAWG

        LOL, they aren’t taking two teams from any one conference….not without some crazy circumstances being involved…like multiple conference champs having 2-3 losses and the UGA/BAMA loser only having one.

        Liked by 2 people

  5. 1smartdude

    I think strength of schedule matters to the committee and if it comes down needing it to get ahead of one of the other conference champs, you better have it. At the same time, chances are if you don’t win the SEC, you’ll be left out in the cold if the team that beats you is good enough to make the final four. I also think there have been seasons when two SEC teams could make the cut, but as bad as I hate to admit it, the SEC might be the weakest I’ve ever seen it right now. It’s not just the East this time, the West has fallen way off too,IMO.

    Liked by 1 person

  6. Auburn’s opponents are 11-11 in case anyone is wondering. Prob 11-12 after GSU plays Ark St tomorrow.

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  7. 69Dawg

    When all this playoff stuff started I said that once you beat somebody you need to pull like heck for them. The days of wishing losing records on your defeated enemies is over if you want to be “Selected”. That said the East does not help us out much. Baring an upset of biblical proportions Alabama and Clemson are going to be in. The selection committee has to pull for tOSU to win the conference this year because they were embarrassed by the beat down last year but some B1G school will be in (the committee is stacked for them). That leaves a 12-1/11-2 UGA out in the cold. We might get one of the consolation prize bowls but I wouldn’t bet on it. So just seat back and enjoy the journey.

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  8. kfoge

    Georgia beats Auburn, Auburn beats Alabama, Georgia beats Auburn again in SECCG, Alabama and Georgia make the playoff, win each of their semi-finals game, play for the National Championship, Kirby defeats the King and Georgia wins it all. I’m 50/50 on this scenario 🙂

    Liked by 1 person

    • Jared S.

      I totally get what you’re saying. But I really don’t think there’s any way in hell that the committee puts two SEC teams in the CFP

      UNLESS

      All other P-5 conference champions and Notre Dame have at least two losses.

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    • waterloodawg

      Or Alabama gets the nod.

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  9. greg63

    I’m so damn conflicted. I hate ND, but I find myself rooting for them for obvious reasons. Damn it! Rich man problems I guess, which is uncharted territory for us since forever. As an aside…Senator you must really enjoy posting articles right now. It’s a plethora of great shit!

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  10. Rampdawg

    This is just fantasizing but, UGA vs ND in the playoff. Hmmmm!
    Oh shit! Fuck the koolaid, Fuck the koolaid, Fuck the koolaid, Fuck the koolaid. At least till after the Auburn game.
    For now I’m going with a Laggie IPA.

    Like