“… it’s a do-or-die SEC game in November, which is all that really needs to be said.”

Matt Hinton’s preview of the Georgia-Auburn game is both exhaustive and excellent.  I won’t go into much detail, since you ought to read it in its entirety, but there are a few tidbits worth bringing to your attention.

  • Based on a comparison of the two teams national rankings in a variety of statistics, I can see why Georgia should be favored.  When Auburn’s on offense, it doesn’t get a single nod of advantage, while when the situation is reversed, it’s a fairly close match between the two.
  • If you’re wondering what game has the potential to be the year’s quickest to play, “The Bulldogs run more often (on 72.7 percent of all offensive snaps) than any other Power 5 offense except the triple-option attack at Georgia Tech”.
  • This is pretty remarkable:  “An incredible 31 of Nizialek’s 33 punts have either resulted in a fair catch or come down inside the 20-yard line, where they typically roll dead; only six have been returned, for a grand total of nine yards.”

Cutting to the chase, he’s predicting Georgia wins by nine.  Now, go read it.

17 Comments

Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Georgia Football

17 responses to ““… it’s a do-or-die SEC game in November, which is all that really needs to be said.”

  1. Wow, great breakdown and the dude can write.

    Not sure it’s “do or die” for us. We still can win out and will go to playoff. Going to have to beat Bama at some point- might as well do it in SECC.

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    • paul

      I don’t think we stay in the top four with a loss even if we win the SEC championship game.

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      • Respectfully disagree. We aren’t getting blown out tomorrow and if we slay Bama we are in.

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        • paul

          I hope you’re right. I just feel like the committee is looking for a reason for us to end up fifth or lower and I think one loss is all it takes. The conspiracy theorist in me says the only reason we’re being ranked number one is so they can justify Notre Dame at number three. Not that fifth in the nation is anything to be ashamed of. Especially after last year.

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    • Dylan Dreyer's Booty

      “Not sure it’s “do or die” for us. We still can win out and will go to playoff.”

      With all due respect, that is the sort of statement that CMR made from time to time. Yes, it is a true statement, but I would rather the team believe they have to win and play like their hair is on fire. So I hope Kirby isn’t saying stuff like that.

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  2. J.G.

    I’ll take it. But I’d prefer to see us shut down Awbun’s run game and make Stidham wish he’d stayed at Rape U.

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  3. paul

    His prediction for the game sounds about right although it also sounds like it’s going to be very difficult to watch, at least until it’s over.

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  4. Mayor

    I believe Georgia can and will score 27 points on Auburn–maybe more. I do not believe Auburn will score 18 points on the Georgia D. Is Hinton predicting 6 Auburn FGs? Stuff like that makes me question the sanity of the writer. I agree the Dawgs win, though.

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    • Dylan Dreyer's Booty

      TD with PAT; TD with 2 point conversion and a FG. 18 points. There are other ways to get there, too. Mainly, I’m just hoping for a solid Dawg win.

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      • Mayor

        Sure that adds up to 18. So does 2 TDs, 2 two point conversions and a safety. So does three TDs with 3 missed extra point attempts. None of those things are going to happen, though.

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  5. Jared S.

    Roquan Smith.

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  6. Cojones

    They are going to get one td or two on Stidham’s arm and their receivers’ height and speed. The FG kicker will do damage as well, but hopefully no more than two. They are capable of 20+ points if Stidham runs out of trouble.

    We will have to be happy with maybe one td throw from Fromme and one rushing TD from Fromme (surprise!). Our runners get at least two tds, Wild Thang gets a couple FGs and we run one back.

    We have the horses to notch about 40 while they can hit high 20s, but the variation comes when they play the game. I feel we will win, but pickin’ a score is ludicrous.

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  7. The 984

    Nizialek Vetter get some All SEC and Ray Guy Award love.

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  8. 92 grad

    I’ve fallen and can’t get up so I turned the sec network on. F-bomb is in the barn and has had an awkward segment with Dye and then some hick that is all about the orange. Gawd I hope we beat these folks. I hate how they are all about putting aburn up on a pedestal, like they are pre ordained to dominate. Grrrrr.

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  9. Busta

    It’ll be so nice when the surrender pigeons lose to both us and Bama. Funny how they always ride the coattails of UGA and Bama when we’re making waves…guess the paper tigers will always be relevant in that regard. Hearing about their notch above Nerds offense is just as annoying as hearing about how “difficult” the triple option is. It’s not new and both Guts and Pawl are labeled as “geniuses” for running peewee football offenses. Keep chop’n wood Dawgs.

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