I like Dan, but he’s got this wrong. I’m not saying I don’t respect Tech’s chances to pull off an upset, but scared I’m not.
Sagarin has Tech ranked 32nd, which makes the Jackets his top five-win team in the country. That appears to be premised on their respectable strength-of-schedule and wins over (#18) Virginia Tech and (#24) Wake Forest. But Georgia can counter with wins over (#10) Notre Dame and (#15) Mississippi State.
Georgia also has a 41-0 win over (#83) Tennessee. Tech, not so much.
If you skip past the rivalry aspect as well as the novelty of defending the triple option, I’ve already shown Georgia matches up quite favorably against Tech in a number of statistical measurements. Barring the kind of turnover margin meltdown that did in Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl, there’s a good likelihood that Georgia is going to play the kind of game it likes to play and grind the Jackets down steadily over the course of the afternoon.
I like the intangibles today, too. Tech is playing for a chance to salvage a disappointing season, and while, as someone who still smiles over the memory of the 2009 game, I don’t discount that as motivation, the Dawgs have a lot more to play for. I have the feeling that leaving Tech with a losing record is even more abhorrent to Nick, Sony and the rest of the seniors than it is to me, and that, more than anything else, is why I think Georgia prevails comfortably today.
And with that, I’m off. Game day comment away, folks. One thing, though — better make it quick. With the way these two teams like to emphasize the run, this may very well turn out to be one of the shortest games of the season, time-wise.