Coming down the mountain

Bill Connelly posted his five-year S&P+ rankings the other day.  Georgia is 15th, which, in the context of the 2017 season, tells you a little about the program’s direction leading up to that, but the real story is the division’s as a whole.  Here’s where each school ranks overall, along with how much that ranking changed from the five-year run of 2012-6:

  • Georgia: 15th; -0.2
  • Florida:  28th; -4.9
  • Missouri:  32nd; -0.2
  • Tennessee; 34th; -2.8
  • South Carolina:  50th; -2.7
  • Kentucky:  78th; 0.0
  • Vanderbilt:  84th; -0.9

One more added bit for context you should factor in is that Virginia was at the break-even point for S&P+, which ranked it 69th.  That means that every SEC East team either lost ground in S&P+, was already in negative territory, or, in the case of Vanderbilt, both. Yikes, that’s bad.

There are three teams in the division — Florida, Tennessee and South Carolina — that finished in Bill’s list of the top ten programs losing the most ground.  If Georgia had plateaued, what does that say about the rest of the division?  Moreover, Smart got a one year’s head start on the rest of the bunch.  How long will it take them to arrest the slide and turn things in the other direction?

Advertisements

9 Comments

Filed under SEC Football, Stats Geek!

9 responses to “Coming down the mountain

  1. rchris

    So that means 2012 was a little better than 2017. Interesting

    Like

  2. steve

    Any list the suggests Auburn is improving (at anything athletically) suggests Big Bucks Bobby is back in town and sitting at the head of the table with a steak knife in his right hand.

    Like

  3. DawgPhan

    just in case in anyone else is interested.
    S&P+ Margin

    2010 9.2
    2011 15.2
    2012 18.5
    2013 16.4
    2014 21.2
    2015 6.6
    2016 -0.2
    2017 17.5

    Like

    • 2014 UGA is a poor man’s version of 2017 Ohio State with respect to S&P+. Two teams that absolutely wrecked most opponents (good and bad), but had a handful of true duds.

      Like

      • DawgPhan

        also interesting that 2 of Richt’s final 4 teams were “better” than this 2017 team.

        Like

        • Bill C. kept remarking throughout the year as Ohio State continued topping S&P+ that they would have been like 8th in 2016. There were a bunch of really good teams this past season, but Alabama / Clemson 2016 were just on another level. In hindsight, this past season resembled 2007 from a parity perspective minus the wacky losses.

          Like

          • DawgPhan

            last year was the year for a UGA, Wisconsin, or even a UCF to make a run. That group of teams was pretty good and the Bama/Clemson/OSU group had fallen back a little.

            Like