Just a couple of random pieces for your reading pleasure:
- First, Football Study Hall asks the musical question, “How does wind affect a college football game (and its over/under)?” Evidently, enough that you can make a little money betting the under when the wind is whipping.
- Speaking of making money, over the last ten seasons, the sweet spot in betting Georgia ATS is here: “When the Dawgs are favored by fewer than 14 points (-13.5 to -0.5) they’ve gone 36-28-3 ATS.” Overall, though, they’re in the hole.
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UPDATE: How about rain?
36-28-3? Doesn’t sound like much of a sweet spot.
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Over a long enough period, most teams are going to end up around .500 against the spread. Since 2003, everyone with a statistically significant sample fell between .412 and .603, with the vast majority between .450 and .550 at this site:
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/trends/ats_trends/?range=yearly_since_2003
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At a Thousand a pop, you made good money.
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Last season we made up quite a bit of ground ATS from the Richt era.
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Good work with the moniker, Hog …..
Wonder if UGA will cover with Austin Peah?
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