Num, num, num…
- A professional handicapper looks at some projected SEC win totals.
- Here’s an update on the hostage act holding up a $208 million settlement from the NCAA to former student-athletes.
- Bill Connelly ranks all 130 D-1 programs, and Georgia’s on his short list for the CFP.
- Groo thinks Georgia’s defensive backfield is going to get tested early and deep.
- Bud Elliott’s back with this year’s Blue Chip Ratio study. Kirby’s got the Dawgs climbing to fourth: “His last two classes are right on par with those of Saban and Meyer.”
- Mike Bobo’s back.
- Mike Bianchi’s gonna Mike Bianchi.
- Not like you didn’t already know this, but Jimmy Sexton’s a wizard, at least in comparison with your average AD.
A team that gave up 30+ last year to Austin Peay has no business talking about how they should be national champions. Bianchi is an idiot.
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I don’t know Bianchi from a doorman in some hotel I may have stayed in, but his first paragraph saved me from reading any further. At least it saved me time by leading with that stupidity. No more clicks from me, learned my lesson. And that guys gets paid to write about college football? Barnum was right, there is a fool around every corner.
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Secondary is still my biggest concern too.
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our offense should be killing folks. They might give up some big plays but it wont matter. Offense should provide plenty of cover until they get the defense sorted.
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From the handicapper link, Bluto how did you gloss over this? Easy answer!
And how the heck did Bielema’s offensive line slip so far?
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Glad to see some good news about Bobo.
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I can’t remember wanting to see a team/program fail as badly as I do UCF this season.
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How about Ohio State 2018?
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Solid point.
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I am glad Bobo is back that is a scary situation.
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Bill Connelly is a dope. UCF at #29? Does he not read his twitter feed? 😉
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Looking over Bill’s prior years blue chip ratios. From 2015 to 2018 UGA has gone up 18% in the blue chip ratio. (2015 51%, 2016 52%, 2017 63%, and 2017 69%). It is absolutely INSANE what Kirby is doing @ Georgia. We have another potential top 3 class this year (depending on what others do) and we should be only looking up at Bama and potentially OSU from here on out. Add that we have gone from a finesse O-line style to potentially the best overall O-line in college football for 2019 bodes well for what Kirby wants to do going forward. We are indeed living in heady times right now for Georgia football.
Looking at the 2018 list anyone that thinks Auburn (62%) at home and LSU (63%) on the road and probably at night aren’t going to be really tough games this year is kidding themselves. I know coach O is a disaster as a HC, but Aranda can coach D. If they get a traditional ground and pound game going on offense with a downfield threat from Burrows they will be a tough out. If I had to pick one loss this year @LSU would be it.
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Looking at this SEC slate for the week of the LSU game (http://www.secsports.com/schedule/football/_/year/2018/type/2/week/7) and I can’t see it being a night game. This has 3:30 CBS written all over it, unless LSU just falls completely off the map with multiple losses, which might kick it out of consideration.
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I’ll tailgate on this by predicting that Jimbo will mimic LSU’s success/failure and if things fall off badly enough for Orgeron to be gone, then Jimbo will fail at A&M, get paid over 67M to leave and then he would be hired by LSU. Great scam, eh? 🙂
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‘cepting LSU doesn’t have that much cash. Hell, all the Cajuns collectively couldn’t pay that buyout. And then pay Orgeron off? I would say O is gone before Christmas but they could be stuck with him for a while. Alleva=genius…..again.
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I don’t really like Elliott’s formula for blue chip ratio. He takes the average of the last four classes and doesn’t include transfers. The only thing that matters is this year’s roster. Using the same 247 composite roster he uses, we have 84 scholarship players for 2018. 14 of those are 5 stars, 47 are 4 stars. So the actual blue chip ratio for 2018 is 72.6%.
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Good point. I find this a good tool for what you are looking for https://247sports.com/Season/2017-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite. Unfortunately the 2018 data has yet to be released
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By my count we’ve got 62 blue chip players and 2 who aren’t. Which comes to almost 74%. I agree that I don’t like the formula he uses. The biggest thing for me is he’s not actually counting players on the roster. He’s counting signing class numbers. So guys from 2015 that haven’t been with the program for years are being counted into this year’s totals. It’s an easier count that way but not as accurate. And I like our staffs evaluations. If we go after a 3* player…he’s at least got a high ceiling based on measurables and what we think we can develop him into.
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I’m going to get Jimmy Sexton to negotiate my next employment contract.
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You can always look back and say “why didn’t I bet that”, and there are many winners on that list of SEC win totals when all the dust clears, but I don’t see see the absolute, can’t miss lock that UGA was last season (and I told everyone here that in August. No, I didn’t see us being that off-the-charts great, but you could not lose, and that is when you like a bet, when it is win, or push.) Hard to have that kind of confidence when the team hasn’t run a snap yet, plus you have to tie your money up until December.
I would say the closest thing to it is SC over, if you get it at 7. I am not a fan of SC being as good as some are saying, but they would have to go
6-6 for you to lose. They don’t have the upside UGA had last year but I only see 2 guaranteed losses (UGA and Clemson), with three toss up games (FU, A&M, and Mizzou). If they lose all of them, you still push with 7-5. I would say Florida is the most likely loss of the toss-up games, and Kentucky may test them. I won’t bet them because there are too many questions about where the offense will come from, but that looks like a can’t lose bet to me, and one you could play. Might not win, but doubtful it will lose unless they get hit with a bad run of injuries. They look like an 8-4 team to me with a pretty equal chance of going one game off of the either way (9-3 7-5) There, I said something positive about the Coots.
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Had to look up peripheral neuropathy. Glad that is treated.
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