With college football’s first two weeks in the books, Bill Connelly’s updated his win projections. Here’s how the SEC shapes up for him now:
- Alabama: 11 (+1.1)
- Georgia: 10.8 (+0.7)
- Mississippi State: 9.5 (+1.4)
- Vanderbilt: 8.1 (+3.2)
- LSU: 8.0 (+0.8)
- Missouri: 7.9 (+1.1)
- Auburn: 7.7 (-1.2)
- Texas A&M: 7.3 (+0.5)
- Kentucky: 7.8 (+1.8)
- Ole Miss: 6.7 (-0.1)
- South Carolina: 5.8 (-1.2)
- Florida: 5.3 (-1.3)
- Tennessee: 4.7 (-0.7)
- Arkansas: 3.9 (-2.1)
The Vanderbilt number is crazy — even Bill knows it’s crazy.
Who’s falling back to earth? Vanderbilt. I mean, it has to be the Dores, right? They’ve risen a little too far for beating teams in the lower half of Conference USA and the Mountain West.
The best thing the ‘Dores have going for them at this juncture in the season is that they won’t be running into Alabama. That’s not going to be enough for them to avoid a return to the lower reaches of the division, though.
And how about Auburn’s decline in the face of beating Washington? Even if you peg them with losses to the four teams ahead of them — and I think they roll LSU this weekend — that’s still an eight-win season.
On the other hand, how much would I love a football season that ends with South Carolina, Florida and Tennessee all whiffing on bowl eligibility? (Answer: a lot.)