Let’s round up the usual suspects.
- Massey-Peabody still shows Georgia squarely in the middle of the five-team group sporting the best odds of making the CFP.
- Georgia remains third in ESPN’s FPI. LSU remains the only opponent left on the schedule with better than a 20% chance of beating the Dawgs.
- Fueled by its offensive efficiency, Georgia is first in Brian Fremeau’s FEI ratings.
- Bill Connelly’s S&P+ ratings have Georgia fourth, with close to a 60% chance of suffering no more than one regular season loss.
The fan base (or at least a visible part of it) has been more freaked out over the Missouri game than the computers are. In fact, if you’re looking for something really interesting about Georgia’s first four games, check out Bill’s percentile performances (figures in parentheses are offense, defense):
- Austin Peay: 89% (84%, 94%)
- South Carolina: 88% (87%, 78%)
- Middle Tennessee: 73% (82%, 69%)
- Missouri: 81% (35%, 37%)
In short, notwithstanding a 4-0 start and a +125 points differential, Georgia still hasn’t played a game in which it’s been hitting on all cylinders. (By comparison, the 2017 team played nine games that finished with a performance percentile in the nineties.) Kinda scary, isn’t it?