September 29, 2018 · 8:58 AM

When advanced stats go boldly beyond where no man has gone before

Check out Brian Fremeau’s score projection for today’s Georgia-Tennessee game.  Prepare to be gobsmacked.  (Not that there’s anything wrong with that.)

25 Comments

Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

25 responses to “When advanced stats go boldly beyond where no man has gone before”

  1. Huntindawg
    September 29, 2018 at 9:11 AM

    I see a lot of numbers here. It might involve math, and I am opposed to math. Even the idea of the possibility of math.

    Somebody explain it in terms a 5 year old can understand.

    Liked by 1 person

    • Huntindawg
      September 29, 2018 at 9:14 AM

      Ok, so we win 50-0? Argh, you made me look at lots of numbers before adequate coffee. Just tell me 50-0 and I’m happy.

      Liked by 1 person

    • MillyDawg
      September 29, 2018 at 9:14 AM

      I think the projection is 50-0. I don’t know about that. I see Kirby calling off the Dawgs before it gets to that point. Unless he just wants to make an absolute statement to Pruitt and UT to just demoralize them.

      Like

      • Greg
        September 29, 2018 at 9:21 AM

        The rumor is he won’t because of the recruits there …..and probably some that may or may not be on the fence. If we are in the position to keep scoring, I hope we do.

        Like

  2. HirsuteDawg
    September 29, 2018 at 9:15 AM

    Please let it be so. If ever a team needed to be beaten 50 to zip it is 10RC. I hope we kick out their last tooth.

    Like

  3. Russ
    September 29, 2018 at 9:16 AM

    I’m fine with 50-0. I just hope this isn’t the week that Tennessee decides to grow a pair. Can’t see them winning, but I don’t want any doubt in the outcome. Send a message.

    Like

    • Greg
      September 29, 2018 at 9:32 AM

      Same here, the game always makes me nervous….seen too many times in past years where the snuck up and beat us. Also not looking for them to have 6 turnovers, aberration imo. Not sure if we have ever beat them that bad (50-0)….but 41-0 last year and 44-0 in “81 comes close. I just want to beat them, but much rather embarrass them. Too much history, if the shoe was on the other foot…they would run it up imo.

      Like

      • Ben
        September 29, 2018 at 10:16 AM

        I keep thinking of the year we made fun of Kiffin and assumed a win. Or 97 when we were favored at home. Or the year fulmer and them dropped half a hundred (04 or 05?).

        Each of those games we were supposed to win.

        I know what the stats say, and I know we’ve got more talent. Weird shit happens in this game, though.

        Like

  4. dawgtired
    September 29, 2018 at 9:18 AM

    Wow. Our matchup against UT is equal to Bama’s and Aub’s matchups against mid-majors. Man, has the mighty orange program fallen to the lowest depths. It couldn’t happen to a better fan base.

    Like

  5. Greg
    September 29, 2018 at 9:19 AM

    The fellow looks amazing close in some of his other predictions. But 50-0??….I certainly do not expect an ass beating that bad, but I would certainly love it. Nothing too good for those hillbillies. The game I look forward to most, hate those mofo’s.

    Like

  6. S.E. Dawg
    September 29, 2018 at 9:28 AM

    I don’t want to hear rocky too played a single time.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. RangerRuss
    September 29, 2018 at 9:52 AM

    Tarleton’s quarter. The Dogs need to utterly demoralize their team,coach and especially that obnoxious,trash fan base.

    Like

  8. Governor Milledge
    September 29, 2018 at 9:53 AM

    I’m ok with hanging half a hundred in a shutout.

    Like

  9. Mayor
    September 29, 2018 at 10:34 AM

    Anyone notice Kentucky is favored over the Dicks…er….Cocks? UK may be the second best team in the East and we have to play them at their place.

    Like

    • dawgtired
      September 29, 2018 at 10:37 AM

      I seriously think they may be the best competition in the East. If their QB finds a better passing game, they could become irritating. They have a pass rush and run game. No match for the Dawgs in the end but competitive.

      Like

    • dawgtired
      September 29, 2018 at 10:37 AM

      P.S. I picked them against SC.

      Like

    • dawgtired
      September 29, 2018 at 10:57 AM

      I’m under house arrest so I can’t get out to share football with friends. I’ll need my fix here with internet friends…so, in continuing football talk…in other games.

      The match up UF vs MsSt. Which teams show up? UT made UF look better and UK made MsSt look bad. This may be a close one.

      Ole Miss vs LSU – if the OM offense gets on track it could put pressure on Burrow to keep pace. OM’s defense is really bad but if the LSU offense self destructs, this could be a closer game than expected.

      Like

  10. Derek
    September 29, 2018 at 12:03 PM

    How about 82-0? Records are meant to be broken…

    The reality is that cresting 50 isnt happening because Downing is going in when the game is out of reach. We can’t afford to lose a qb trying to be obnoxious.

    Something like last year will do.

    Like

  11. Macallanlover
    September 29, 2018 at 12:42 PM

    Could KS name the score? Probably. But unless TN gifts us 7 TOs, and I don’t think they will, we won’t see 50-0. First, it isn’t Kirby’s style. Secondly, we are banged up with more difficulty ahead of us so we play the backups early. And last, a lot of this is based off the FU game last week which was overstated by the ball security issues. Had Florida won 21-17, the expectations would be UGA by 20.

    Thing I hate about this matchup is UGA cannot win perception wise. If we blow them out it was expected because Florida did, and 50-0 like projections. Also, it raises the whole East is weak and UGA doesn’t play anyone comments. TN will play hard in a losing battle, Pruitt will have them focused this week. Their OL is so bad, the offense is toothless so we won’t learn much about any improvement in our run defense. I think we cover but wouldn’t be surprised if TN scores at the end to get back to keep the loss under 30.

    Liked by 1 person

  12. AusDawg85
    September 29, 2018 at 1:54 PM

    Seems about right to me.

    Like