Somebody’s gotta win.

One of the tougher games for me to pick in this week’s Fabris Pool is Auburn-Miss. State.  In a way, it’s a little surprising, because my hesitation stems from how poorly both offenses have played, MSU since it got into conference play and Auburn for much of the season.

Now that I’ve seen them play, the Bulldogs’ problem is obvious:  Fitzgerald hasn’t progressed as a passer, so making them one-dimensional pretty much shuts them down.

Auburn’s struggles on offense are more widespread, as Bill Connelly explains.

Auburn’s rebuilt line has not gained traction, and the Tigers’ running back corps, rebuilt around junior Kam Martin and a couple of freshmen (Boobie Whitlow and Shaun Shivers), hasn’t taken full advantage of chances it has had. On top of all this, Stidham is holding onto the ball too long in the face of a happy pass rush.

How bad is it for AU? Freshman kicker Anders Carlson has already been asked to attempt six field goals of 50 yards or longer. He’s made one.

That isn’t… um… good.

It’s not like I’m expecting a rerun of the 3-2 debacle from a decade ago Bill references, but I do think, barring a turnover run, points are going to be hard to come by.

34 Comments

Filed under SEC Football

34 responses to “Somebody’s gotta win.

  1. Cojones

    Explains a lot of their play thus far. Of course, they probably will be hitting on all cylinders when we play them, but hope we wipe them out sufficiently to turn Pappoe.

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  2. Spike

    Hail State! The enemy of my enemy thing..

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  3. Doug

    It’s not like I’m expecting a rerun of the 3-2 debacle from a decade ago Bill references…

    Me neither. I’d be perfectly happy with 6–4, though.

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  4. ChiliDawg

    Can anyone explain to me how Virginia Tech snuck back into the top 25? I must have dreamed that home loss to Old Dominion, I guess?

    Liked by 1 person

  5. stoopnagle

    I’ll look forward to Auburn sucking, thanks.

    Liked by 2 people

  6. Will Trane

    Good to see more info / comments re other SEC teams and future opponents.
    Too much about the Dawgs not doing too much in reaching a #2 status.
    Everybody is complaining they have not been tested, the line play is woeful, the “QB plan” is a problem or not one, too much talking from players and their head coach. their schedule is too light, and etc.
    Well, it ok for other SEC members to have issues, but not the Dawgs.
    Must have absolute perfection in every facet of the game. There is Bama is hailed as perfect, til the are beat [logic says if they are perfect and get beat it can not be an upset.
    Take LSU and Kentucky. Kentucky is loaded with Heisman candidates!. LSU is legendary team coached by a folk hero.
    To be a truly recognized team by ESPN, the AJC, and the likes of PAUL, the SEC apostle you have to reside in the states Alabama, Kentucky, Florida, or Louisiana, or Texas.
    If you are Georgia you really have not accomplished anything with this staff, only #2 rankings. Your losses have been to Bama and Auburn who beat Bama and who the Dawgs trucked in the SECCG.
    So thanks Senator for pointing out the QB problems and offensive problems among the alleged “legends” teams.
    Time for an a full broadside and aerial bombardment on the Dores.

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    • Russ

      You know this is a Dawgs blog, right?

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      • Got Cowdog

        Sometimes he seems to, other times not so much. I do like the “stream of consciousness” posting though. I imagine Will in a smoky, dimly lit room fragrant with the burning of devil’s lettuce and incense…..

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        • DawgFlan

          I like to think it is the side effects of poorly made moonshine. Will, you gotta cut out more of the head and tail of the distillate, brother!

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        • 92 grad

          It’s like he thinks we can hear all the stuff going on in his head and then he posts up all his reactions to the stuff he’s read earlier in the day.

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    • paul

      I am as bad as anyone about coming here and venting. But this is family. Brothers complaining to brothers about little brothers. It’s all in house. Those outside better watch out if they want to mouth off. You know what they say. You can’t do that to our pledges, only WE can do that to our pledges. My older brothers used to beat me up pretty regular. But if somebody else tried to mess with me they were going to have to mess with all three of us. That’s how I perceive this blog. As the senator says, your mileage may vary.

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  7. Biggus Rickus

    3-2 is an almost impossible score, but if this thing ends 12-6 with 6 field goals representing all of the scoring, I won’t be shocked.

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    • Biggus Rickus

      Now that I’ve typed that and because it seems so likely that neither team will do anything offensively, it’ll probably turn into a shootout.

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  8. Mayor

    Remind me….is this the same Auburn team you are talking about that is 4-1 whose only loss is to #6 LSU by one point?

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    • ChiliDawg

      Auburn and LSU are both teams ranked highly largely based on how they played against each other. Neither team looks like a top 10 team, IMO.

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    • Cojones

      You gotta’ include their game with Washington, the first of the season. Their grand credit for that game has diminished a bit because W ain’t as strong as preseason projections driven by Pac-12 and Big-10 pundits, but at least they have played two major ranked teams.

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      • ChiliDawg

        So, while they get credit for that win, it’s not THAT good a win to me for a couple of reasons. 1 – that was a home game for Auburn and an extremely long road trip for Washington to make for the first game of the season. 2 – Washington hasn’t looked particularly good since then. I think they’re maybe the 3rd best team in the Pac-12 North.

        Auburn and LSU both have very good defenses, but are both offensively challenged. That was expected from LSU, but surprising for Auburn. I just hope LSU gets out of Gainesville with a win so they’re still top 5 when we play them the following week. Auburn I don’t know will last that long.

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    • Russ

      Here you go. 🙂

      Liked by 1 person

      • Cojones

        Aha! Their D line is implicated from practice results that makes some think that the O line is ok. Rumor is that they are partying and toking up after practice where they build each other up to the press. Whatever you do, don’t bogart that joint rumor, my friends. 🙂

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        • Macallanlover

          The OL problem is real. It could help wear down the highly touted defense as the year goes along, they aren’t sustaining many drives. Stronger teams will be able to keep the offense off the field unless they mysteriously solve the OL riddle, and that is usually not accomplished mid-year.

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  9. PTC DAWG

    Here’s to AU never winning another game.

    Liked by 1 person

  10. Down island way

    A different type of DAWG porn……GOOOOOOOO DAAAWWWGS!!!!!!!!

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  11. W Cobb Dawg

    I don’t know how MSU supporters feel, but to me Moorhead’s been a disappointment as HC so far. He’d better start showing some competitive juices or his tenure at MSU is going to be pretty short. Putting up 7 against Kentuck is not a good look.

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  12. AusDawg85

    6-4 in double OT. As you say…somebody’s got to win.

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  13. Chopdawg

    I’d actually love to see that game!…altho, I don’t think it’s possible. It would be possible in triple OT, tho. How cool would it be to see a team get thrown for a safety from the other team’s 25 yard line? And for a 6-4 final in 3 OT’s, that would have to happen 3 times.

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