The pressure of pressure

Remember the fretting going on before last week’s game about the matchup between Kentucky’s experienced defensive front and Georgia’s banged up offensive line?  That turned out not to be as much of a big deal as some of us feared; Georgia schemed to neutralize Josh Allen and ran the hell out of the ball to neuter the ‘Cats pressure.

All well and good.  Problem is this week.  Auburn’s defensive front really is what we worried about that Kentucky’s would be.  Kentucky is seventh in the conference in sacks, with 22.  Auburn has 29, good for second.  Similarly, with 50, UK is tenth in tackles for loss.  Auburn is first, with 78.

Like I said, that’s a problem.  Especially so, because even with all the good things Jake Fromm brings to the table, dealing with defensive pressure isn’t one of them, as this graphic indicates.

If you don’t want to exclaim “yikes!” looking at that, I’ll do it for you.

Now, there are a couple of ameliorating factors in play here.  For one thing, the Dawgs are going to push the run tomorrow, just like they did last week.  If you look at Auburn’s defensive rushing split stats, there are some valid grounds for expecting that to work, as the average yards per carry number has been steadily rising.  Texas A&M ran the ball 47 times against Auburn last week, while Georgia ran it 50 against Kentucky.  No reason to expect much of a difference there, unless the game gets out of control as it did in Baton Rouge.

One other thing to keep in mind is that the screen pass is a valuable tool to use against pass pressure.  It just so happens that Georgia’s screen game has been one of the conference’s best this season, in terms of picking up yardage.

Say what you will about Jim Chaney, but at least he had the sense to toss the LSU game plan in the trash can.  Kevin Steele, Auburn’s defensive coordinator, has been around the block himself and will no doubt be looking to find a way to shut down Georgia’s running game and force Fromm to deal with the pressure he knows Auburn’s defensive front can bring.  Should make for an interesting chess match.

19 Comments

Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Georgia Football, Stats Geek!, Strategery And Mechanics

19 responses to “The pressure of pressure

  1. gastr1

    One of the reasons Fromm’s completion percentage is so high is because he rarely throws the ball away– takes sacks instead. He didn’t throw the ball away much last year either but it did seem like he escaped and ran a bit more often.

    I’m cool with him not running, but if he’s not going to run he does need to get better at avoiding the sacks.

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  2. ASEF

    I just can’t see how Auburn’s offense does anything at all. I could see a shut out for Georgia. Meaning: Fromm does not handle pressure well, but he won’t be forced to make completions under it. He will in this game be able to toss it to the cheerleaders and live for another series. It’s only an issue if the defense is somehow allowing a putrid Auburn offense to move the ball.

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  3. The other Doug

    We need to start where TAMU left off, and run the ball on them. I’d suggest a heavy dose of Holyfield in the first qtr. Their DL has to be sore from last weekend.

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  4. Just Chuck (The Other One)

    My initial reaction to the post was that we’d be OK if the ball comes out quickly on passing plays. Even better if, as you suggest, a lot of them are screens.

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  5. Dawg in Austin

    Interesting because I saw another stat yesterday that Fromm has one of the best passer ratings in the conference when blitzed. I guess that occurs the other 75% of the time when he doesn’t take the sack. Boom or bust, I guess.

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  6. Bigshot

    You’ve got me to believing that UGA is going to lose this game. Of course that wouldn’t take much.

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  7. AusDawg85

    I’d like to see that stat with the LSU game excluded. Man it seemed like Jake took sacks after holding the ball long beyond when he needed to make a decision. Just a weird game. I still think Kirby was giving the Tigahs a chance to take out Bama for us.

    Interestingly, why didn’t Saban throw the LSU game and guarantee his path to the CFP? Works every other year, amirite?

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  8. DoubleDawg1318

    This stat doesn’t make me feel good about the SECCG. Look at the difference between Jake and Tua.

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  9. Boz

    Couple things I like: 1) Auburn’s front 7 were badass last year and we got to play them twice so we should an idea of what to do and 2) Auburn’s secondary is not LSU’s plus they are prone to pick up pass interference calls.

    I like the trajectory of the team right now.. and the last cold night game in Athens (2014) brings back fond memories.

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  10. W Cobb Dawg

    While we’re on the subject of aubie’s DL… Still bugs me a bit we didn’t land Derek Brown. Imagine our D – this year and last year, with that monster! I’ll be glad when he moves on to the nfl – probably after this season.

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    • DoubleDawg1318

      Missing on him and Aubrey Solomon was critical. Thankfully Jordan Davis has showed up recently but we really need to bump up our efforts in DL recruiting.

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  11. steve

    Someone needs to remind Cheney that N Chubb is in the NFL and to repeatedly run between the tackles against Auburn is harder than swallowing a 4lb Maine lobster tail whole. Do it, but do it to set up a finesse game. Otherwise, we will just see a replay of the UF….. 7 attempts to gain 3 yds debacle….and Kirby rips the headset into confetti.

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