Against all odds

I’m not sure there’s any better evidence of how disruptive a force Tua Tagovailoa has been this season than that it took Vegas weeks to figure out how to set a line for Alabama games without losing money on it.



Filed under Alabama, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

8 responses to “Against all odds

  1. DawgPhan

    I have never been so certain of a football outcome than when Tua came into the game. No way could the dawgs lose.

    I don’t remember any player impacting college football the way that tua has.


  2. St. Johns Dawg

    Kid made the biggest impression on me toward the end of the 3rd qtr of the NC game when THREE, count em, THREE of our best defenders had him surrounded near the sideline for a sack and he got away to complete a first down pass. Bama scored their first TD to end that drive … Then he goes and shakes off the sack in OT to sink the dagger into our Dawg hearts. He’s an absolute gamer and has Sunday star-power already.


    • Brandon M

      Certainly didn’t help that our best defender Roquan got tackled from behind by an Alabama lineman just as he was about to wrap Tua up.


      • The Dawg abides

        I don’t know if it was because of the magnitude of the game, but I can’t recall a game where there were so many key plays, calls, or no-calls that if any one of them go our way, we win the game. Two such things occurred during that one play. If our guys wrap him up there OR Roquan isn’t tackled while closing on him, then they punt. That would be two unsuccessful drives by Tua with over half the 3rd quarter gone. Good chance they panic again and go back to Hurts.

        Liked by 1 person

  3. ASEF

    Bud Elliott has an interesting review of national champs that looks at the “blue chip ratio” of teams playing for a championship. Most of them are 70% or better blue chip, and the exceptions are 50% blue chip with an exceptional talent at QB (think Cam Newton, Jameis Winston, Marcus Mariotta). The argument out of that is that hitting the lottery at the QB position equals about a 20% bump in your roster.

    This year’s Alabama team has 80% blue chips plus that QB. I don’t think we’ve seen that before. But between Tua on top of Alabama’s roster and Fields on top of Georgia’s, I think it’s going to become the new normal.


  4. TSlick

    I’m still taking Alabama HT line in the Iron Bowl.


    • Macallanlover

      I have the full game cover on my “probable” list, so many others ahead of this I am waiting to see how much I want to play it for. Prefer using “house money” and will have a better idea before 3:30 on Saturday. First half bets have been gold though, probably a good call.