Bill Connelly explains what gives me hope for tomorrow.
This game was clinched nearly a month ago, and we’ve been waiting to see if either stumbles before the finish line. They did not.
Alabama was slightly less dominant in November than earlier, but the Tide have been remarkable at erasing hope. Per their SB Nation stat profile, their post-game win expectancy (a statistical look at in-game dominance) was 100 percent in all 12 wins. For comparison, 12-0 Clemson hit that mark nine times, 11-0 UCF six times, and 12-0 Notre Dame just three times. Bama’s been on a different level this year.
Georgia has too, of late. The Dawgs have been at 96 percent post-game win expectancy or higher in 10 of 11 wins (only the Missouri game was in any doubt) and averaged 98 percent since losing to LSU. If they can finish drives with touchdowns instead of field goals, they can give Bama a battle.
The Georgia team that got embarrassed in Baton Rouge would be beyond hope facing the Alabama juggernaut. The Georgia team of the last five games of the regular season is much better and more complete than any other team Alabama has faced this year. That’s what matters in Saturday’s game.
Is that enough to win? Can’t say, although I’m certainly not putting any money on it. But it’s certainly enough to make me believe Georgia’s gonna make Alabama work for whatever it gets tomorrow.