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Maybe I’m in the minority on this, but I like this take on “who you gonna believe, the stats or your lying eyes?”
The work that guys like Brian and Bill Connelly do may not be definitive — not that either of them have come anywhere near making a claim like that — but it is often illuminating and so is the process they go through to fine tune their formulas. Which is a big part of the reason I’ll keep citing them here at the blog.
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