Bill Connelly’s updated his 2013 S&P+ rankings and the results confirm everything I’ve thought about that shitty season as I watched it unfold and when I think back upon it afterwards, namely that an otherworldly offense was derailed by a decade’s worth of injuries incurred over a few weeks and finished off by a defense that was not so otherworldly.
The details, if you’re of a mind to see, are that Georgia’s offense, despite missing key parts over much of the year, still managed to finish with Bill’s eighth best ranking. The defense ranks 33rd, better than, say Oklahoma’s defense last season, but not good enough to hold things together as the offense broke down mid-season. Overall, Georgia finished a mere tenth of a point behind Auburn in S&P+. (It’s worth wondering how much that would have changed if you know what hadn’t happened.)
Speaking of Auburn, Gus’ lucky rabbit’s foot should have won the Heisman that season.
Second-order win totals suggest Auburn should have been more like a 9-5 team than 12-2 in 2013. The Tigers had just a 15 percent post-game win expectancy in the 34-28 win over Alabama, 36 percent in the 45-41 win over Texas A&M, 38 percent in the 43-38 win over Georgia, and 43 percent in the 31-24 win over Washington State. For that matter, they were only at 52 percent against Mississippi State and 69 percent against Ole Miss.
Jeez, that’s ridiculous.
Did I mention how much I hate the Neyland Stadium turf? Argh.